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Several key actors -- police, prosecutors, judges -- can alter the course of individuals passing through the multi-staged criminal justice system. I use linked arrest-sentencing data for federal courts from 1994-2010 to examine the role…

General Economics · Economics 2022-04-25 Brendon McConnell

Risk assessment tools are widely used around the country to inform decision making within the criminal justice system. Recently, considerable attention has been devoted to the question of whether such tools may suffer from racial bias. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Riccardo Fogliato , Max G'Sell , Alexandra Chouldechova

Large language models (LLMs) are rapidly being integrated into high-stakes public safety systems, including emergency call triage and dispatch decision support, yet their demographic fairness in this context remains largely untested. Here…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-05 William Guey , Wei Zhang , Pierrick Bougault , Yi Wang , Bertan Ucar , Vitor D. de Moura , José O. Gomes

In studies of discrimination, researchers often seek to estimate a causal effect of race or gender on outcomes. For example, in the criminal justice context, one might ask whether arrested individuals would have been subsequently charged or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Johann Gaebler , William Cai , Guillaume Basse , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel , Jennifer Hill

Racial disparities in recidivism remain a persistent challenge within the criminal justice system, increasingly exacerbated by the adoption of algorithmic risk assessment tools. Past works have primarily focused on bias induced by these…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Jessy Xinyi Han , Kristjan Greenewald , Devavrat Shah

Fairness studies of algorithmic decision-making systems often simplify complex decision processes, such as bail or loan approvals, into binary classification tasks. However, these approaches overlook that such decisions are not inherently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Ayan Majumdar , Deborah D. Kanubala , Kavya Gupta , Isabel Valera

Tests for racial bias commonly assess whether two people of different races are treated differently. A fundamental challenge is that, because two people may differ in many ways, factors besides race might explain differences in treatment.…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-18 Nora Gera , Emma Pierson

Algorithmic systems are known to impact marginalized groups severely, and more so, if all sources of bias are not considered. While work in algorithmic fairness to-date has primarily focused on addressing discrimination due to individually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-14 Vishwali Mhasawade , Rumi Chunara

Observational studies are a key resource for causal inference but are often affected by systematic biases. Prior work has focused mainly on detecting these biases, via sensitivity analyses and comparisons with randomized controlled trials,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-03 Ilker Demirel , Zeshan Hussain , Piersilvio De Bartolomeis , David Sontag

Large language models (LLMs), despite their remarkable capabilities, are susceptible to generating biased and discriminatory responses. As LLMs increasingly influence high-stakes decision-making (e.g., hiring and healthcare), mitigating…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Jingling Li , Zeyu Tang , Xiaoyu Liu , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang , Liu Leqi , Yang Liu

Predictive policing has its roots in crime hotspot modeling. In this paper we give an example of what goes into mathematical crime hot spot modeling and show that the modeling assumptions perpetuate systemic racism in policing. The goal of…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2021-03-23 Heidi Goodson , Alanna Hoyer-Leitzel

Law enforcement regularly faces the challenge of ranking suspects from their facial images. Deep face models aid this process but frequently introduce biases that disproportionately affect certain demographic segments. While bias…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Andrea Atzori , Gianni Fenu , Mirko Marras

While rankings are at the heart of social science research, little is known about how to analyze ranking data in experimental studies. This paper introduces a potential-outcomes framework to perform causal inference when outcome data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Yuki Atsusaka

Although researchers have found evidence contextual bias in forensic science, the discussion of contextual bias is currently qualitative. We formalize years of empirical research and extend this research by showing quantitatively how biases…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-09 Maria Cuellar , Jacqueline Mauro , Amanda Luby

Causal inference is a science with multi-disciplinary evolution and applications. On the one hand, it measures effects of treatments in observational data based on experimental designs and rigorous statistical inference to draw causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-05 Jingying Zeng , Run Wang

Automated systems built on artificial intelligence (AI) are increasingly deployed across high-stakes domains, raising critical concerns about fairness and the perpetuation of demographic disparities that exist in the world. In this context,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Drago Plecko

Policymakers and researchers often seek to understand how a policy differentially affects a population and the pathways driving this heterogeneity. For example, when studying an excise tax on sweetened beverages, researchers might assess…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-06 Gary Hettinger , Youjin Lee , Nandita Mitra

The need to address representation biases and sentencing disparities in legal case data has long been recognized. Here, we study the problem of identifying and measuring biases in large-scale legal case data from an algorithmic fairness…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jackson Sargent , Melanie Weber

The cause-to-effect analysis can help us decompose all the likely causes of a problem, such as an undesirable business situation or unintended harm to the individual(s). This implies that we can identify how the problems are inherited, rank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Moses Openja , Gabriel Laberge , Foutse Khomh

Many frameworks exist to infer cause and effect relations in complex nonlinear systems but a complete theory is lacking. A new framework is presented that is fully nonlinear, provides a complete information theoretic disentanglement of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-12 Peter Jan van Leeuwen , Michael DeCaria , Nachiketa Chakaborty , Manuel Pulido