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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

We study aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty estimation in a learned regressive system dynamics model. Disentangling aleatoric uncertainty (the inherent randomness of the system) from epistemic uncertainty (the lack of data) is crucial for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Zhiyu An , Zhibo Hou , Wan Du

In this article, we employ a collection of stochastic differential equations with drift and diffusion coefficients approximated by neural networks to predict the trend of chaotic time series which has big jump properties. Our contributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 Luxuan Yang , Ting Gao , Yubin Lu , Jinqiao Duan , Tao Liu

This review maps developments in stochastic modeling, highlighting non-standard approaches and their applications to biology and epidemiology. It brings together four strands: (1) core models for systems that evolve with randomness; (2)…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Yassine Sabbar , Kottakkaran Sooppy Nisar

Stochastic diffusion is the noisy and uncertain process through which dynamics like epidemics, or agents like animal species, disperse over a larger area. Understanding these processes is becoming increasingly important as we attempt to…

Control barrier functions are widely used to synthesize safety-critical controls. However, the presence of Gaussian-type noise in dynamical systems can generate unbounded signals and potentially result in severe consequences. Although…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-21 Chuanzheng Wang , Yiming Meng , Jun Liu , Stephen Smith

Simulating turbulent fluid flows is a computationally prohibitive task, as it requires the resolution of fine-scale structures and the capture of complex nonlinear interactions across multiple scales. This is particularly the case in direct…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-22 Ismaël Zighed , Nicolas Thome , Patrick Gallinari , Taraneh Sayadi

Stochastic Gumbel graph networks are proposed to learn high-dimensional time series, where the observed dimensions are often spatially correlated. To that end, the observed randomness and spatial-correlations are captured by learning the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Jin Guo , Ting Gao , Yufu Lan , Peng Zhang , Sikun Yang , Jinqiao Duan

Autoregressive next-step prediction models have become the de-facto standard for building data-driven neural solvers to forecast time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Denoise training that is closely related to diffusion…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Zijie Li , Anthony Zhou , Amir Barati Farimani

We introduce a method based on Gaussian process regression to identify discrete variational principles from observed solutions of a field theory. The method is based on the data-based identification of a discrete Lagrangian density. It is a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-07-11 Christian Offen

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is widely used in deep learning due to its computational efficiency, but a complete understanding of why SGD performs so well remains a major challenge. It has been observed empirically that most…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Carmina Fjellström , Kaj Nyström

Modern single-particle-tracking techniques produce extensive time-series of diffusive motion in a wide variety of systems, from single-molecule motion in living-cells to movement ecology. The quest is to decipher the physical mechanisms…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-14 Henrik Seckler , Ralf Metzler

Recently, extracting data-driven governing laws of dynamical systems through deep learning frameworks has gained a lot of attention in various fields. Moreover, a growing amount of research work tends to transfer deterministic dynamical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-05 Cheng Fang , Yubin Lu , Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) and its variants are mainstream methods for training deep networks in practice. SGD is known to find a flat minimum that often generalizes well. However, it is mathematically unclear how deep learning can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Zeke Xie , Issei Sato , Masashi Sugiyama

Sequential data often originates from diverse domains across which statistical regularities and domain specifics exist. To specifically learn cross-domain sequence representations, we introduce disentangled state space models (DSSM) -- a…

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are an important class of time-series models, used to describe stochastic systems evolving in continuous time. Simulating paths from these processes, particularly after conditioning on noisy…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-03 Xinyi Pei , Minhyeok Kim , Vinayak Rao

It is proposed to use stochastic differential equations with state-dependent switching rates (SDEwS) for sampling from finite mixture distributions. An Euler scheme with constant time step for SDEwS is considered. It is shown that the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-08 M. V. Tretyakov

In this paper, we introduce a new method of sampling from transition densities of diffusion processes including those unknown in closed forms by solving a partial differential equation satisfied by the quotient of transition densities. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Yasin Kikabi , Juma Kasozi

Simulating parameter-dependent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) presents significant computational challenges, as separate high-fidelity simulations are typically required for each parameter value of interest. Despite the success of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-03 Minglei Yang , Sicheng He

Motivated by learning dynamical structures from static snapshot data, this paper presents a distribution-on-scalar regression approach for estimating the density evolution of a stochastic process from its noisy temporal point clouds. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-26 Rentian Yao , Atsushi Nitanda , Xiaohui Chen , Yun Yang