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Estimating and disentangling epistemic uncertainty, uncertainty that is reducible with more training data, and aleatoric uncertainty, uncertainty that is inherent to the task at hand, is critically important when applying machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-08 Matthew A. Chan , Maria J. Molina , Christopher A. Metzler

We propose a method for simultaneously detecting shared and unshared communities in heterogeneous multilayer weighted and undirected networks. The multilayer network is assumed to follow a generative probabilistic model that takes into…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-25 Hafiz Tiomoko Ali , Sijia Liu , Yasin Yilmaz , Romain Couillet , Indika Rajapakse , Alfred Hero

Population synthesis is a critical task that involves generating synthetic yet realistic representations of populations. It is a fundamental problem in agent-based modeling (ABM), which has become the standard to analyze intelligent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Min Tang , Peng Lu , Qing Feng

We present a new subspace-based method to construct probabilistic models for high-dimensional data and highlight its use in anomaly detection. The approach is based on a statistical estimation of probability density using densities of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-16 Cetin Savkli , Catherine Schwartz

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

Subsampling is a computationally efficient and scalable method to draw inference in large data settings based on a subset of the data rather than needing to consider the whole dataset. When employing subsampling techniques, a crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Amalan Mahendran , Helen Thompson , James M. McGree

Allocation of samples in stratified and/or multistage sampling is one of the central issues of sampling theory. In a survey of a population often the constraints for precision of estimators of subpopulations parameters have to be taken care…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Jacek Wesolowski , Robert Wieczorkowski

Considering discrete models, the univariate framework has been studied in depth compared to the multivariate one. This paper first proposes two criteria to define a sensu stricto multivariate discrete distribution. It then introduces the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-07 Pierre Fernique , Jean Peyhardi , Jean-Baptiste Durand

In this paper, different strands of literature are combined in order to obtain algorithms for semi-parametric estimation of discrete choice models that include the modelling of unobserved heterogeneity by using mixing distributions for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-12 Dietmar Bauer , Sebastian Büscher , Manuel Batram

We propose a generalizable framework for the population estimation of dense, informal settlements in low-income urban areas--so called 'slums'--using high-resolution satellite imagery. Precise population estimates are a crucial factor for…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-09-18 Konstantin Klemmer , Godwin Yeboah , João Porto de Albuquerque , Stephen A Jarvis

The problem of overdispersion in multivariate count data is a challenging issue. Nowadays, it covers a central role mainly due to the relevance of modern technologies data, such as Next Generation Sequencing and textual data from the web or…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-24 Noemi Corsini , Cinzia Viroli

Comparison of two univariate distributions based on independent samples from them is a fundamental problem in statistics, with applications in a wide variety of scientific disciplines. In many situations, we might hypothesize that the two…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-08 Ted Westling , Kevin J. Downes , Dylan S. Small

Learning to sample from complex unnormalized distributions is a fundamental challenge in computational physics and machine learning. While score-based and variational methods have achieved success in continuous domains, extending them to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lei Li , Zhen Wang , Lishuo Zhang

A generative modeling framework is proposed that combines diffusion models and manifold learning to efficiently sample data densities on manifolds. The approach utilizes Diffusion Maps to uncover possible low-dimensional underlying (latent)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Dimitris G. Giovanis , Ellis Crabtree , Roger G. Ghanem , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Geographical data are generally autocorrelated. In this case, it is preferable to select spread units. In this paper, we propose a new method for selecting well-spread samples from a finite spatial population with equal or unequal inclusion…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-11 Raphaël Jauslin , Yves Tillé

We study the problem of learning from unlabeled samples very general statistical mixture models on large finite sets. Specifically, the model to be learned, $\vartheta$, is a probability distribution over probability distributions $p$,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-04-13 Jian Li , Yuval Rabani , Leonard J. Schulman , Chaitanya Swamy

Particle filtering is used to compute good nonlinear estimates of complex systems. It samples trajectories from a chosen distribution and computes the estimate as a weighted average. Easy-to-sample distributions often lead to degenerate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-07 Fernando Gama , Nicolas Zilberstein , Richard G. Baraniuk , Santiago Segarra

A probability distribution allows practitioners to uncover hidden structure in the data and build models to solve supervised learning problems using limited data. The focus of this report is on Variational autoencoders, a method to learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Vasanth Kalingeri

We consider the problem of deciding on sampling strategy, in particular sampling design. We propose a risk measure, whose minimizing value guides the choice. The method makes use of a superpopulation model and takes into account uncertainty…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-06 Edgar Bueno , Dan Hedlin

We propose a novel crowd counting approach that leverages abundantly available unlabeled crowd imagery in a learning-to-rank framework. To induce a ranking of cropped images , we use the observation that any sub-image of a crowded scene…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-03-09 Xialei Liu , Joost van de Weijer , Andrew D. Bagdanov