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We give a classical confidence belt construction which unifies the treatment of upper confidence limits for null results and two-sided confidence intervals for non-null results. The unified treatment solves a problem (apparently not…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-11-26 Gary J. Feldman , Robert D. Cousins

Nurses should rely on the best evidence, but tend to struggle with statistics, impeding research integration into clinical practice. Statistical significance, a key concept in classical statistics, and its primary metric, the p-value, are…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Christopher Holmberg

In this paper we propose a procedure to evaluate Bayesian confidence intervals in counting experiments where both signal and background fluctuations are described by the Poisson statistics. The results obtained when the method is applied to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-03-19 F. Loparco , M. N. Mazziotta

Testing differences between a treatment and control group is common practice in biomedical research like randomized controlled trials (RCT). The standard two-sample t-test relies on null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) via p-values,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-18 Riko Kelter

This paper presents a Bayesian framework for assessing the adequacy of a model without the necessity of explicitly enumerating a specific alternate model. A test statistic is developed for tracking the performance of the model across…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Kathryn Blackmond Laskey

We are concerned with testing replicability hypotheses for many endpoints simultaneously. This constitutes a multiple test problem with composite null hypotheses. Traditional $p$-values, which are computed under least favourable parameter…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Anh-Tuan Hoang , Thorsten Dickhaus

Several scientific fields including psychology are undergoing a replication crisis. There are many reasons for this problem, one of which is a misuse of p-values. There are several alternatives to p-values, and in this paper we describe a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Brian D. Segal

Violation of the assumptions underlying classical (Gaussian) limit theory often yields unreliable statistical inference. This paper shows that the bootstrap can detect such violations by delivering simple and powerful diagnostic tests that…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-09 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Luca Fanelli , Iliyan Georgiev

In the hypothesis testing framework, p-value is often computed to determine rejection of the null hypothesis or not. On the other hand, Bayesian approaches typically compute the posterior probability of the null hypothesis to evaluate its…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-26 Guosheng Yin , Haolun Shi

Sensitivity Analysis is a framework to assess how conclusions drawn from missing outcome data may be vulnerable to departures from untestable underlying assumptions. We extend the E-value, a popular metric for quantifying robustness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-31 Wu Xue , Abbas Zaidi

Many multiple testing procedures make use of the p-values from the individual pairs of hypothesis tests, and are valid if the p-value statistics are independent and uniformly distributed under the null hypotheses. However, it has recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-25 Joshua D. Habiger , Edsel A. Pena

In this paper, we propose a simple and easy-to-implement Bayesian hypothesis test for the presence of an association, described by Kendall's \tau coefficient, between two variables measured on at least an ordinal scale. Owing to the absence…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-09 Shen Zhang , Keying Ye , Min Wang

When conducting large scale inference, such as genome-wide association studies or image analysis, nominal $p$-values are often adjusted to improve control over the family-wise error rate (FWER). When the majority of tests are null,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-20 Sarah Fletcher Mercaldo , Jeffrey D. Blume

Since its introduction by Fisher, the method of hypothesis testing that relies on computing error probabilities has witnessed several developments. Perhaps the most significant development was the seminal contributions of Neyman and Pearson…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-05-08 Reason Machete

Identifying differences in networks has become a canonical problem in many biological applications. Here, we focus on testing whether two Gaussian graphical models are the same. Existing methods try to accomplish this goal by either…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-01 Sen Zhao , Stephen Ottinger , Suzanne Peck , Christine Mac Donald , Ali Shojaie

A recurring debate in the philosophy of statistics concerns what, exactly, should count as a measure of evidence for or against a given hypothesis. P-values, likelihood ratios, and Bayes factors all have their defenders. In this paper we…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Ben Chugg , Aaditya Ramdas , Peter Grünwald

Disease models are used to examine the likely impact of therapies, interventions and public policy changes. Ensuring that these are well calibrated on the basis of available data and that the uncertainty in their projections is properly…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-24 Daria Semochkina , Cathal Walsh

In recent years, empirical Bayesian (EB) inference has become an attractive approach for estimation in parametric models arising in a variety of real-life problems, especially in complex and high-dimensional scientific applications.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-01 Hien D Nguyen , Mayetri Gupta

All scientific interpretations of statistical outputs depend on background (auxiliary) assumptions that are rarely delineated or explicitly interrogated. These include not only the usual modeling assumptions, but also deeper assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-01 Sander Greenland , Zad Rafi , Robert Matthews , Megan Higgs

When performing Bayesian inference, we frequently need to work with conditional probability densities. For example, the posterior function is the conditional density of the parameters given the data. Some might worry that conditional…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Alex Yan , Cathal Mills , Augustin Marignier , Younjung Kim , Ben Lambert