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We answer two questions raised by Bryant, Francis and Steel in their work on consensus methods in phylogenetics. Consensus methods apply to every practical instance where it is desired to aggregate a set of given phylogenetic trees (say,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-14 Emanuele Delucchi , Linard Hoessly , Giovanni Paolini

The Lasso has been widely used as a method for variable selection, valued for its simplicity and empirical performance. However, Lasso's selection stability deteriorates in the presence of correlated predictors. Several approaches have been…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-05 Mahdi Nouraie , Houying Zhu , Samuel Muller

Extensively evaluating the capabilities of (large) language models is difficult. Rapid development of state-of-the-art models induce benchmark saturation, while creating more challenging datasets is labor-intensive. Inspired by the recent…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-02 Alan Sun

In this article, we study finite dynamical systems defined over graphs, where the functions are applied asynchronously. Our goal is to quantify and understand stability of the dynamics with respect to the update sequence, and to relate this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-09-10 Matthew Macauley , Henning S. Mortveit

For many machine learning algorithms, two main assumptions are required to guarantee performance. One is that the test data are drawn from the same distribution as the training data, and the other is that the model is correctly specified.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-03 Kun Kuang , Ruoxuan Xiong , Peng Cui , Susan Athey , Bo Li

There is an emerging interest in generating robust counterfactual explanations that would remain valid if the model is updated or changed even slightly. Towards finding robust counterfactuals, existing literature often assumes that the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Faisal Hamman , Erfaun Noorani , Saumitra Mishra , Daniele Magazzeni , Sanghamitra Dutta

The problem of corrupted data, missing features, or missing modalities continues to plague the modern machine learning landscape. To address this issue, a class of regularization methods that enforce consistency between imputed and fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Yinsong Wang , Shahin Shahrampour

We find that the performance of state-of-the-art models on Natural Language Inference (NLI) and Reading Comprehension (RC) analysis/stress sets can be highly unstable. This raises three questions: (1) How will the instability affect the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Xiang Zhou , Yixin Nie , Hao Tan , Mohit Bansal

Randomized smoothing has shown promising certified robustness against adversaries in classification tasks. Despite such success with only zeroth-order access to base models, randomized smoothing has not been extended to a general form of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-16 Aref Miri Rekavandi , Olga Ohrimenko , Benjamin I. P. Rubinstein

Clinical prediction models estimate an individual's risk of a particular health outcome, conditional on their values of multiple predictors. A developed model is a consequence of the development dataset and the chosen model building…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-15 Richard D Riley , Gary S Collins

Predictive models make mistakes. Hence, there is a need to quantify the uncertainty associated with their predictions. Conformal inference has emerged as a powerful tool to create statistically valid prediction regions around point…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-14 Luben M. C. Cabezas , Mateus P. Otto , Rafael Izbicki , Rafael B. Stern

Time series forecasting remains a critical challenge across numerous domains, yet the effectiveness of complex models often varies unpredictably across datasets. Recent studies highlight the surprising competitiveness of simple linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Zheng Wang , Kaixuan Zhang , Wanfang Chen , Xiaonan Lu , Longyuan Li , Tobias Schlagenhauf

Several applications of Reinforcement Learning suffer from instability due to high variance. This is especially prevalent in high dimensional domains. Regularization is a commonly used technique in machine learning to reduce variance, at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-12 Pierre Thodoroff , Audrey Durand , Joelle Pineau , Doina Precup

We consider the task of learning Ising models when the signs of different random variables are flipped independently with possibly unequal, unknown probabilities. In this paper, we focus on the problem of robust estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-11 Ashish Katiyar , Vatsal Shah , Constantine Caramanis

Regularization for optimization is a crucial technique to avoid overfitting in machine learning. In order to obtain the best performance, we usually train a model by tuning the regularization parameters. It becomes costly, however, when a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-18 Jingfeng Wu , Vladimir Braverman , Lin F. Yang

In this paper, we consider a stabilization problem of an uncertain system in a networked control setting. Due to the network, the measurements are quantized to finite-bit signals and may be randomly lost in the communication. We study…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-03-07 Kunihisa Okano , Hideaki Ishii

Quantifying uncertainty and updating reliability are essential for ensuring the safety and performance of engineering systems. This study develops a hierarchical Bayesian modeling (HBM) framework to quantify uncertainty and update…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Xinyu Jia , Weinan Hou , Costas Papadimitriou

Gradient boosting is a state-of-the-art prediction technique that sequentially produces a model in the form of linear combinations of simple predictors---typically decision trees---by solving an infinite-dimensional convex optimization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-18 Gérard Biau , Benoît Cadre

In industrial data analytics, one of the fundamental problems is to utilize the temporal correlation of the industrial data to make timely predictions in the production process, such as fault prediction and yield prediction. However, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-23 Hongzhi Wang , Yijie Yang , Yang Song

The reduced-rank regression model is a popular model to deal with multivariate response and multiple predictors, and is widely used in biology, chemometrics, econometrics, engineering, and other fields. In the reduced-rank regression…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Canhong Wen , Qin Wang , Yuan Jiang
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