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In recent years, machine learning has established itself as a powerful tool for high-resolution weather forecasting. While most current machine learning models focus on deterministic forecasts, accurately capturing the uncertainty in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Joel Oskarsson , Tomas Landelius , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Fredrik Lindsten

We introduce a new approach to probabilistic unsupervised learning based on the recognition-parametrised model (RPM): a normalised semi-parametric hypothesis class for joint distributions over observed and latent variables. Under the key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 William I. Walker , Hugo Soulat , Changmin Yu , Maneesh Sahani

The complex reasoning ability of Large Language Models (LLMs) poses a critical bottleneck for their practical applications. Test-time expansion methods such as Tree-of-Thought (ToT) and Graph-of-Thought (GoT) enhance reasoning by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-01 Yujiao Yang , Jing Lian , Linhui Li

The Random Geometric Graph (RGG) is a random graph model for network data with an underlying spatial representation. Geometry endows RGGs with a rich dependence structure and often leads to desirable properties of real-world networks such…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-25 Quentin Duchemin , Yohann de Castro

Graphical Gaussian models have proven to be useful tools for exploring network structures based on multivariate data. Applications to studies of gene expression have generated substantial interest in these models, and resulting recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-12 Michael A. Finegold , Mathias Drton

Understanding how social networks form, whether through reciprocity, shared attributes, or triadic closure, is central to computational social science. Exponential Random Graph Models (ERGMs) offer a principled framework for testing such…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Yidan Sun , Mayank Kejriwal

With the growth of interest in network data across fields, the Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) has emerged as the leading approach to the statistical analysis of network data. ERGM parameter estimation requires the approximation of an…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-10 Christian S. Schmid , Bruce A. Desmarais

Diffusion models trained on different, non-overlapping subsets of a dataset often produce strikingly similar outputs when given the same noise seed. We trace this consistency to a simple linear effect: the shared Gaussian statistics across…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Binxu Wang , Jacob Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

Although traditional symbolic reasoning methods are highly interpretable, their application in knowledge graphs link prediction has been limited due to their computational inefficiency. A new RNNNTP method is proposed in this paper, using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Yu-hao Wu , Hou-biao Li

The miscalibration of Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) undermines their reliability in high-stakes domains, necessitating methods to accurately estimate the confidence of their long-form, multi-step outputs. To address this gap, we introduce…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-22 Reza Khanmohammadi , Erfan Miahi , Simerjot Kaur , Ivan Brugere , Charese H. Smiley , Kundan Thind , Mohammad M. Ghassemi

We demonstrate how a sequence model and a sampling-based planner can influence each other to produce efficient plans and how such a model can automatically learn to take advantage of observations of the environment. Sampling-based planners…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Yen-Ling Kuo , Andrei Barbu , Boris Katz

Our work aimed at experimentally assessing the benefits of model ensembling within the context of neural methods for passage reranking. Starting from relatively standard neural models, we use a previous technique named Fast Geometric…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-01-22 Luís Borges , Bruno Martins , Jamie Callan

Claiming causal inferences in network settings necessitates careful consideration of the often complex dependency between outcomes for actors. Of particular importance are treatment spillover or outcome interference effects. We consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-18 Duncan A. Clark , Mark S. Handcock

The role of uncertainty in data management has become more prominent than ever before, especially because of the growing importance of machine learning-driven applications that produce large uncertain databases. A well-known approach to…

Databases · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Efthymia Tsamoura , Jaehun Lee , Jacopo Urbani

Product search is one of the most popular methods for customers to discover products online. Most existing studies on product search focus on developing effective retrieval models that rank items by their likelihood to be purchased. They,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Qingyao Ai , Yongfeng Zhang , Keping Bi , W. Bruce Croft

Reward models (RMs) are essential for aligning large language models (LLM) with human expectations. However, existing RMs struggle to capture the stochastic and uncertain nature of human preferences and fail to assess the reliability of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Xingzhou Lou , Dong Yan , Wei Shen , Yuzi Yan , Jian Xie , Junge Zhang

This paper presents the Entity-Duet Neural Ranking Model (EDRM), which introduces knowledge graphs to neural search systems. EDRM represents queries and documents by their words and entity annotations. The semantics from knowledge graphs…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Zhenghao Liu , Chenyan Xiong , Maosong Sun , Zhiyuan Liu

Models for human choice prediction in preference learning and psychophysics often consider only binary response data, requiring many samples to accurately learn preferences or perceptual detection thresholds. The response time (RT) to make…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-13 Michael Shvartsman , Benjamin Letham , Stephen Keeley

Test-time compute scaling allocates inference computation uniformly, uses fixed sampling strategies, and applies verification only for reranking. In contrast, we propose a verifier-guided adaptive framework treating reasoning as iterative…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Ahsan Bilal , Ahmed Mohsin , Muhammad Umer , Ali Subhan , Hassan Rizwan , Ayesha Mohsin , Dean Hougen

Energy-based models (EBMs) have experienced a resurgence within machine learning in recent years, including as a promising alternative for probabilistic regression. However, energy-based regression requires a proposal distribution to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön