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An empirical power comparison is made between two tests based on the empirical characteristic function and some of the best performing tests for normality. A simple normality test based on the empirical characteristic function calculated in…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-06 J. Martin van Zyl

Model misspecification can create significant challenges for the implementation of probabilistic models, and this has led to development of a range of robust methods which directly account for this issue. However, whether these more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Oscar Key , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol , Tamara Fernandez

We present parton distribution functions which include a quantitative estimate of its uncertainties. The parton distribution functions are optimized with respect to deep inelastic proton data, expressing the uncertainties as a density…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2007-05-23 Walter T. Giele , Stephane A. Keller , David A. Kosower

We investigate the Large Deviations properties of bootstrapped empirical measure with exchangeable weights. Our main result shows in great generality how the resulting rate function combines the LD properties of both the sample weights and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-24 José Trashorras , Olivier Wintenberger

Detecting weak, systematic distribution shifts and quantitatively modeling individual, heterogeneous responses to policies or incentives have found increasing empirical applications in social and economic sciences. Given two probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-29 YoonHaeng Hur , Tengyuan Liang

It is well known that a binomial $(n,p)$ can be approximated by a Poisson distribution with parameter $np$. The typical approach in undergraduate probability texts is to show a convergence result for the distribution of the binomial as $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-05 Rinaldo B. Schinazi

In the Bayes paradigm and for a given loss function, we propose the construction of a new type of posterior distributions, that extends the classical Bayes one, for estimating the law of an $n$-sample. The loss functions we have in mind are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-05 Yannick Baraud

We consider goodness-of-fit tests with i.i.d. samples generated from a categorical distribution $(p_1,...,p_k)$. For a given $(q_1,...,q_k)$, we test the null hypothesis whether $p_j=q_{\pi(j)}$ for some label permutation $\pi$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-30 Chao Gao

We present a new, analytic, Poisson likelihood derived, technique to account for the statistical uncertainties inherent in simulation samples of limited size. This method has better coverage properties than other techniques, is valid for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-07-26 Carlos A. Argüelles , Austin Schneider , Tianlu Yuan

We derive a new discrepancy statistic for measuring differences between two probability distributions based on combining Stein's identity with the reproducing kernel Hilbert space theory. We apply our result to test how well a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-04 Qiang Liu , Jason D. Lee , Michael I. Jordan

We consider a stationary linear AR($p$) model with observations subject to gross errors (outliers). The autoregression parameters are unknown as well as the distribution function $G$ of innovations. The distribution of outliers $\Pi$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Michael Boldin

We present a novel Bayesian framework for inverse problems in which the pos terior distribution is interpreted as the intensity measure of a Poisson point process (PPP). The posterior density is approximated using kernel density estimation,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Zhiliang Deng , Zhiyuan Wang , Xiaomei Yang , Xiaofei Guan

We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-08 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution of $n$ independent random variables. Our approach is based on a family of candidate probabilities that we shall call a model and which is chosen to either contain the true…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Yannick Baraud

Most signal processing and statistical applications heavily rely on specific data distribution models. The Gaussian distributions, although being the most common choice, are inadequate in most real world scenarios as they fail to account…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-17 Ilya Soloveychik

The object of this paper is to study and develop a Poisson distribution in generalized Wright function form.

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-22 Dharmendra Kumar Singh

We describe likelihood-based statistical tests for use in high energy physics for the discovery of new phenomena and for construction of confidence intervals on model parameters. We focus on the properties of the test procedures that allow…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-06-25 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

We consider the problem of hypotheses testing with the basic simple hypothesis: observed sequence of points corresponds to stationary Poisson process with known intensity against a composite one-sided parametric alternative that this is a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Serguei Dachian , Yury A. Kutoyants

Our purpose in this paper is to apply the general methodology for model selection based on T-estimators developed in Birg\'{e} [Ann. Inst. H. Poincar\'{e} Probab. Statist. 42 (2006) 273--325] to the particular situation of the estimation of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Lucien Birgé

The Gaussian graphical model is routinely employed to model the joint distribution of multiple random variables. The graph it induces is not only useful for describing the relationship between random variables but also critical for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Thien-Minh Le , Ping-Shou Zhong , Chenlei Leng
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