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Conformal Prediction offers a powerful framework for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models, enabling the construction of prediction sets with finite-sample validity guarantees. While easily adaptable to non-probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Eshant English , Christoph Lippert

Human trajectory forecasting is important for intelligent multimedia systems operating in visually complex environments, such as autonomous driving and crowd surveillance. Although Conditional Flow Matching (CFM) has shown strong ability in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Xuepeng Jing , Wenhuan Lu , Hao Meng , Zhizhi Yu , Jianguo Wei

Despite the wide implementation of machine learning (ML) techniques in traffic flow modeling recently, those data-driven approaches often fall short of accuracy in the cases with a small or noisy dataset. To address this issue, this study…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Yun Yuan , Xianfeng Terry Yang , Zhao Zhang , Shandian Zhe

In this paper, we extend a famous motion planning approach GPMP2 to multi-robot cases, yielding a novel centralized trajectory generation method for the multi-robot formation. A sparse Gaussian Process model is employed to represent the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Shuang Guo , Bo Liu , Shen Zhang , Jifeng Guo , Changhong Wang

Graph convolutional networks (GCNs) are \emph{discriminative models} that directly model the class posterior $p(y|\mathbf{x})$ for semi-supervised classification of graph data. While being effective, as a representation learning approach,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Tianchun Wang , Farzaneh Mirzazadeh , Xiang Zhang , Jie Chen

When constructing a Bayesian Machine Learning model, we might be faced with multiple different prior distributions and thus are required to properly consider them in a sensible manner in our model. While this situation is reasonably well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sarem Seitz

The existing methods for trajectory prediction are difficult to describe trajectory of moving objects in complex and uncertain environment accurately. In order to solve this problem, this paper proposes an adaptive trajectory prediction…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Hu Jin

This paper investigates the connections between rectified flows, flow matching, and optimal transport. Flow matching is a recent approach to learning generative models by estimating velocity fields that guide transformations from a source…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Johannes Hertrich , Antonin Chambolle , Julie Delon

Predicting pedestrian motion trajectories is crucial for path planning and motion control of autonomous vehicles. Accurately forecasting crowd trajectories is challenging due to the uncertain nature of human motions in different…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Yu Liu , Yuexin Zhang , Kunming Li , Yongliang Qiao , Stewart Worrall , You-Fu Li , He Kong

The task of detecting anomalous data patterns is as important in practical applications as challenging. In the context of spatial data, recognition of unexpected trajectories brings additional difficulties, such as high dimensionality and…

We introduce a new generative modeling framework, \textbf{Flow Matching with Arbitrary Auxiliary Paths (AuxPath-FM)}, which generalizes conditional flow matching by incorporating an auxiliary variable drawn from an arbitrary distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Xin Peng , Ang Gao

Flow matching has become a leading framework for generative modeling, but quantifying the uncertainty of its samples remains an open problem. Existing approaches retrain the model with auxiliary variance heads, maintain costly ensembles, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Jiarui Xing , Song Wang , Jian Wang

A novel multi-task Gaussian process (GP) framework is proposed, by using a common mean process for sharing information across tasks. In particular, we investigate the problem of time series forecasting, with the objective to improve…

Computation · Statistics 2022-05-25 Arthur Leroy , Pierre Latouche , Benjamin Guedj , Servane Gey

Alongside optimization-based planners, sampling-based approaches are often used in trajectory planning for autonomous driving due to their simplicity. Model predictive path integral control is a framework that builds upon optimization…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Georg Rabenstein , Lars Ullrich , Knut Graichen

In this paper, we introduce Masked Multi-Step Multivariate Forecasting (MMMF), a novel and general self-supervised learning framework for time series forecasting with known future information. In many real-world forecasting scenarios, some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Yiwei Fu , Honggang Wang , Nurali Virani

Human motion prediction is an essential part for human-robot collaboration. Unlike most of the existing methods mainly focusing on improving the effectiveness of spatiotemporal modeling for accurate prediction, we take effectiveness and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Jin Liu , Jianqin Yin

Bayesian posterior inference is prevalent in various machine learning problems. Variational inference provides one way to approximate the posterior distribution, however its expressive power is limited and so is the accuracy of resulting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Guoqing Zheng , Yiming Yang , Jaime Carbonell

This work presents mixed variational flows (MixFlows), a new variational family that consists of a mixture of repeated applications of a map to an initial reference distribution. First, we provide efficient algorithms for i.i.d. sampling,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-03 Zuheng Xu , Naitong Chen , Trevor Campbell

We propose a novel modular inference approach combining two different generative models -- generative adversarial networks (GAN) and normalizing flows -- to approximate the posterior distribution of physics-based Bayesian inverse problems…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Agnimitra Dasgupta , Dhruv V Patel , Deep Ray , Erik A Johnson , Assad A Oberai

Multi-output Gaussian process (MGP) models have attracted significant attention for their flexibility and uncertainty-quantification capabilities, and have been widely adopted in multi-source transfer learning scenarios due to their ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Duo Wang , Xinming Wang , Chao Wang , Xiaowei Yue , Jianguo Wu
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