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Forecasting multiple future events within a given time horizon is essential for applications in finance, retail, social networks, and healthcare. Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPP) provide a principled framework to model both the timing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Ivan Karpukhin , Foma Shipilov , Andrey Savchenko

The assumption of using a static graph to represent multivariate time-varying signals oversimplifies the complexity of modeling their interactions over time. We propose a Dynamic Multi-hop model that captures dynamic interactions among…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-26 Yi Yan , Fengfan Zhao , Ercan Engin Kuruoglu

There has been an increasing interest in inferring future links on temporal knowledge graphs (KG). While links on temporal KGs vary continuously over time, the existing approaches model the temporal KGs in discrete state spaces. To this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Zhen Han , Zifeng Ding , Yunpu Ma , Yujia Gu , Volker Tresp

Recurrent neural nets are widely used for predicting temporal data. Their inherent deep feedforward structure allows learning complex sequential patterns. It is believed that top-down feedback might be an important missing ingredient which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-10-20 Kamil M Rocki

Knowledge graphs (KGs) have proven to be effective for high-quality recommendation, where the connectivities between users and items provide rich and complementary information to user-item interactions. Most existing methods, however, are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-16 Xiao Sha , Zhu Sun , Jie Zhang

Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs) have attracted significant attention from researchers across various domains due to their brain-like information processing mechanism. However, SNNs typically grapple with challenges such as extended time…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-10-24 Yiting Dong , Dongcheng Zhao , Yi Zeng

Temporal networks are suitable for modeling complex evolving systems. It has a wide range of applications, such as social network analysis, recommender systems, and epidemiology. Recently, modeling such dynamic systems has drawn great…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-15 Jiayun Wu , Tao Jia , Yansong Wang , Li Tao

Temporal knowledge graphs (TKGs) represent time-stamped relational facts and support a wide range of reasoning tasks over evolving events. However, existing methods produce entity representations that are static at the entity level, in that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Seunghan Lee , Jun Seo , Jaehoon Lee , Sungdong Yoo , Minjae Kim , Tae Yoon Lim , Dongwan Kang , Hwanil Choi , SoonYoung Lee , Wonbin Ahn

Predicting discrete events in time and space has many scientific applications, such as predicting hazardous earthquakes and outbreaks of infectious diseases. History-dependent spatio-temporal Hawkes processes are often used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Negar Erfanian , Santiago Segarra , Maarten de Hoop

Traffic prediction is a fundamental and vital task in Intelligence Transportation System (ITS), but it is very challenging to get high accuracy while containing low computational complexity due to the spatiotemporal characteristics of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-11-05 Xiaoyu Wang , Cailian Chen , Yang Min , Jianping He , Bo Yang , Yang Zhang

Links in most real networks often change over time. Such temporality of links encodes the ordering and causality of interactions between nodes and has a profound effect on network dynamics and function. Empirical evidences have shown that…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Disheng Tang , Wenbo Du , Louis Shekhtman , Yijie Wang , Shlomo Havlin , Xianbin Cao , Gang Yan

The modelling of temporal patterns in dynamic graphs is an important current research issue in the development of time-aware GNNs. Whether or not a specific sequence of events in a temporal graph constitutes a temporal pattern not only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Jan von Pichowski , Vincenzo Perri , Lisi Qarkaxhija , Ingo Scholtes

Foundational marked temporal point process (MTPP) models, such as the Hawkes process, often use inexpressive model families in order to offer interpretable parameterizations of event data. On the other hand, neural MTPPs models forego this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-04 Alex Boyd , Andrew Warrington , Taha Kass-Hout , Parminder Bhatia , Danica Xiao

We propose a novel probabilistic framework to model continuous-time interaction events data. Our goal is to infer the \emph{implicit} community structure underlying the temporal interactions among entities, and also to exploit how the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-24 Sikun Yang , Heinz Koeppl

In this paper, we investigate a realistic but underexplored problem, called few-shot temporal knowledge graph reasoning, that aims to predict future facts for newly emerging entities based on extremely limited observations in evolving…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Ruijie Wang , Zheng Li , Dachun Sun , Shengzhong Liu , Jinning Li , Bing Yin , Tarek Abdelzaher

Representation learning models for graphs are a successful family of techniques that project nodes into feature spaces that can be exploited by other machine learning algorithms. Since many real-world networks are inherently dynamic, with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Simone Piaggesi , André Panisson

Understanding and predicting the duration or "return-to-normal" time of traffic incidents is important for system-level management and optimisation of road transportation networks. Increasing real-time availability of multiple data sources…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-18 Kieran Kalair , Colm Connaughton

Determining temporal relations (e.g., before or after) between events has been a challenging natural language understanding task, partly due to the difficulty to generate large amounts of high-quality training data. Consequently, neural…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-09-04 Qiang Ning , Sanjay Subramanian , Dan Roth

Temporal knowledge graph reasoning (TKGR) is increasingly gaining attention for its ability to extrapolate new events from historical data, thereby enriching the inherently incomplete temporal knowledge graphs. Existing graph-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-27 Jinze Sun , Yongpan Sheng , Lirong He , Yongbin Qin , Ming Liu , Tao Jia

Human motion prediction (HMP) involves forecasting future human motion based on historical data. Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs) have garnered widespread attention in this field for their proficiency in capturing relationships among…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Jiexin Wang , Yiju Guo , Bing Su