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In this note, we provide upper bounds on the expectation of the supremum of empirical processes indexed by H\"older classes of any smoothness and for any distribution supported on a bounded set in $\mathbb R^d$. These results can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-18 Nicolas Schreuder

This paper is devoted to studying the average optimality in continuous-time Markov decision processes with fairly general state and action spaces. The criterion to be maximized is expected average rewards. The transition rates of underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Xianping Guo , Ulrich Rieder

This paper is devoted to the estimators of the mean that provide strong non-asymptotic guarantees under minimal assumptions on the underlying distribution. The main ideas behind proposed techniques are based on bridging the notions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-07 Stanislav Minsker

Researchers increasingly use meta-analysis to synthesize the results of several studies in order to estimate a common effect. When the outcome variable is continuous, standard meta-analytic approaches assume that the primary studies report…

In extreme value statistics, the peaks-over-threshold method is widely used. The method is based on the generalized Pareto distribution characterizing probabilities of exceedances over high thresholds in $\mathbb {R}^d$. We present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Ana Ferreira , Laurens de Haan

This paper investigates the supervised learning problem with observations drawn from certain general stationary stochastic processes. Here by \emph{general}, we mean that many stationary stochastic processes can be included. We show that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-11 Hanyuan Hang , Yunlong Feng , Ingo Steinwart , Johan A. K. Suykens

In the field of sampling algorithms, MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) methods are widely used when direct sampling is not possible. However, multimodality of target distributions often leads to slow convergence and mixing. One common…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Holden Lee , Zeyu Shen

Whereas classical invariance principles for ergodic Markov chains address the situation in which the time horizon of observations is much larger than the mixing time, the quality of approximation is questionable when this is not the case…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Gabriele Bellerino , Angelika Rohde

Finite mixture models are widely used in econometric analyses to capture unobserved heterogeneity. This paper shows that maximum likelihood estimation of finite mixtures of parametric densities can suffer from substantial finite-sample bias…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Raphaël Langevin

Systematic inaccuracy is inherent in any computational estimate of a non-linear average, such as the free energy difference (Delta-F) between two states or systems, because of the availability of only a finite number of data values, N. In…

Computational Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Daniel M. Zuckerman , Thomas B. Woolf

In this paper we present a study of the mixing time of a random walk on the largest component of a supercritical random graph, also known as the giant component. We identify local obstructions that slow down the random walk, when the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Nikolaos Fountoulakis , Bruce Reed

We recall some of the history of the information-theoretic approach to deriving core results in probability theory and indicate parts of the recent resurgence of interest in this area with current progress along several interesting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-28 Lampros Gavalakis , Ioannis Kontoyiannis

The convergence rate of a Markov chain to its stationary distribution is typically assessed using the concept of total variation mixing time. However, this worst-case measure often yields pessimistic estimates and is challenging to infer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-06 Geoffrey Wolfer , Pierre Alquier

This work contains two single-letter upper bounds on the entropy rate of a discrete-valued stationary stochastic process, which only depend on second-order statistics, and are primarily suitable for models which consist of relatively large…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-03-11 Ran Tamir

Average-case analysis computes the complexity of an algorithm averaged over all possible inputs. Compared to worst-case analysis, it is more representative of the typical behavior of an algorithm, but remains largely unexplored in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-05 Courtney Paquette , Bart van Merriënboer , Elliot Paquette , Fabian Pedregosa

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is at the heart of efficient approximation schemes for a wide range of problems in combinatorial enumeration and statistical physics. It is therefore very natural and important to determine whether…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Pawel Wocjan , Anura Abeyesinghe

The contribution of this paper is to introduce change of measure based techniques for the rare-event analysis of heavy-tailed stochastic processes. Our changes-of-measure are parameterized by a family of distributions admitting a mixture…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-06-15 Jose Blanchet , Jingchen Liu

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

We develop an abstract framework for obtaining optimal rates of mixing and higher order asymptotics for infinite measure semiflows. Previously, such results were restricted to the situation where there is a first return Poincar\'e map that…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-25 Henk Bruin , Ian Melbourne , Dalia Terhesiu

We study the convergence speed of distributed iterative algorithms for the consensus and averaging problems, with emphasis on the latter. We first consider the case of a fixed communication topology. We show that a simple adaptation of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-06-13 Alex Olshevsky , John N. Tsitsiklis