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Counterfactual explanations offer an intuitive and straightforward way to explain black-box models and offer algorithmic recourse to individuals. To address the need for plausible explanations, existing work has primarily relied on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Patrick Altmeyer , Mojtaba Farmanbar , Arie van Deursen , Cynthia C. S. Liem

An open question in \emph{Imprecise Probabilistic Machine Learning} is how to empirically derive a credal region (i.e., a closed and convex family of probabilities on the output space) from the available data, without any prior knowledge or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-29 Michele Caprio , David Stutz , Shuo Li , Arnaud Doucet

With deep neural networks providing state-of-the-art machine learning models for numerous machine learning tasks, quantifying the robustness of these models has become an important area of research. However, most of the research literature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Tsui-Wei Weng , Pin-Yu Chen , Lam M. Nguyen , Mark S. Squillante , Ivan Oseledets , Luca Daniel

Hallucinations are a persistent problem with Large Language Models (LLMs). As these models become increasingly used in high-stakes domains, such as healthcare and finance, the need for effective hallucination detection is crucial. To this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Dylan Bouchard , Mohit Singh Chauhan

Machine learning models have undeniably achieved impressive performance across a range of applications. However, their often perceived black-box nature, and lack of transparency in decision-making, have raised concerns about understanding…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-03 Sein Minn

Explaining Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) has garnered significant attention due to the need for interpretability, enabling users to understand the behavior of these black-box models better and extract valuable insights from their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Jiaxing Zhang , Xiaoou Liu , Dongsheng Luo , Hua Wei

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf

Black box neural networks are an indispensable part of modern robots. Nevertheless, deploying such high-stakes systems in real-world scenarios poses significant challenges when the stakeholders, such as engineers and legislative bodies,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Som Sagar , Aditya Taparia , Harsh Mankodiya , Pranav Bidare , Yifan Zhou , Ransalu Senanayake

Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model failures. Conformal prediction is a user-friendly paradigm for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates

Advances in the general capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have led to their use for information retrieval, and as components in automated decision systems. A faithful representation of probabilistic reasoning in these models may…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-21 Gabriel Freedman , Francesca Toni

Confidence calibration is of great importance to the reliability of decisions made by machine learning systems. However, discriminative classifiers based on deep neural networks are often criticized for producing overconfident predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-17 Yezhen Wang , Bo Li , Tong Che , Kaiyang Zhou , Ziwei Liu , Dongsheng Li

We study the source of uncertainty in DeepSeek R1-32B by analyzing its self-reported verbal confidence on question answering (QA) tasks. In the default answer-then-confidence setting, the model is regularly over-confident, whereas semantic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Jakub Podolak , Rajeev Verma

The decision-making process of many state-of-the-art machine learning models is inherently inscrutable to the extent that it is impossible for a human to interpret the model directly: they are black box models. This has led to a call for…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-07-09 Ilse van der Linden , Hinda Haned , Evangelos Kanoulas

We develop a hypothesis testing framework for the formulation of the problems of 1) the validation of a simulation model and 2) using modeling to certify the performance of a physical system. These results are used to solve the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-27 Clint Scovel , Ingo Steinwart

Large language models (LLMs) often produce confident yet incorrect responses, and uncertainty quantification is one potential solution to more robust usage. Recent works routinely rely on self-consistency to estimate aleatoric uncertainty…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Kimia Hamidieh , Veronika Thost , Walter Gerych , Mikhail Yurochkin , Marzyeh Ghassemi

Explaining the decisions of machine learning models is becoming a necessity in many areas where trust in ML models decision is key to their accreditation/adoption. The ability to explain models decisions also allows to provide diagnosis in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Pierre Blanchart

Research in both machine learning and psychology suggests that salient examples can help humans to interpret learning models. To this end, we take a novel look at black box interpretation of test predictions in terms of training examples.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-25 Rajiv Khanna , Been Kim , Joydeep Ghosh , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Trustworthy machine learning is driving a large number of ML community works in order to improve ML acceptance and adoption. The main aspect of trustworthy machine learning are the followings: fairness, uncertainty, robustness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Gregory Scafarto , Nicolas Posocco , Antoine Bonnefoy

Existing works on "black-box" model interpretation use local-linear approximations to explain the predictions made for each data instance in terms of the importance assigned to the different features for arriving at the prediction. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-28 Kartik Ahuja , William Zame , Mihaela van der Schaar

An increasing number of machine learning models have been deployed in domains with high stakes such as finance and healthcare. Despite their superior performances, many models are black boxes in nature which are hard to explain. There are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-16 Zhengze Zhou , Giles Hooker , Fei Wang