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Reciprocity, or the tendency of individuals to mirror behavior, is a key measure that describes information exchange in a social network. Users in social networks tend to engage in different levels of reciprocal behavior. Differences in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-22 Daniel Cirkovic , Tiandong Wang

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

Systemic liquidity risk, defined by the IMF as "the risk of simultaneous liquidity difficulties at multiple financial institutions", is a key topic in macroprudential policy and financial stress analysis. Specialized models to simulate…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-12-08 V. Macchiati , G. Brandi , G. Cimini , G. Caldarelli , D. Paolotti , T. Di Matteo

We employ the mathematical programming approach in conjunction with the graph theory to study the structure of correspondent banking networks. Optimizing the network requires decisions to be made to onboard, terminate or restrict the bank…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-09 Nima Safaei , Ivan A. Sergienko

Most of the analyses concerning signed networks have focused on the balance theory, hence identifying frustration with undirected, triadic motifs having an odd number of negative edges; much less attention has been paid to their directed…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-07 Anna Gallo , Fabio Saracco , Renaud Lambiotte , Diego Garlaschelli , Tiziano Squartini

Although most of the real networks contain a mixture of directed and bidirectional (reciprocal) connections, the reciprocity $r$ has received little attention as a subject of theoretical understanding. We study the expected reciprocity of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Gorka Zamora--López , Vinko Zlatić , Changsong Zhou , Hrvoje Štefančić , Jürgen Kurths

A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion…

An important problem of reconstruction of diffusion network and transmission probabilities from the data has attracted a considerable attention in the past several years. A number of recent papers introduced efficient algorithms for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-24 Andrey Y. Lokhov , Theodor Misiakiewicz

Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-09 Kara Karpman , Sumanta Basu , David Easley

We present a probabilistic generative model and efficient algorithm to model reciprocity in directed networks. Unlike other methods that address this problem such as exponential random graphs, it assigns latent variables as community…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-09-07 Hadiseh Safdari , Martina Contisciani , Caterina De Bacco

Financial spillovers in interconnected systems, such as global banking networks, require tools that capture temporal and frequency dynamics, while incorporating the underlying network topology. While current network time series models are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Marina I. Knight

The prediction of both the existence and weight of network links at future time points is essential as complex networks evolve over time. Traditional methods, such as vector autoregression and factor models, have been applied to small,…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-15 Shu Takahashi , Kento Yamamoto , Shumpei Kobayashi , Ryoma Kondo , Ryohei Hisano

Real-world complex systems exhibit intricate interconnections and dependencies, especially social networks, technological infrastructures, and communication networks. These networks are prone to disconnection due to random failures or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Rajesh Kumar , Suchi Kumari , Anubhav Mishra

With an increasing amount of observations on the dynamics of many complex systems, it is required to reveal the underlying mechanisms behind these complex dynamics, which is fundamentally important in many scientific fields such as climate,…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-19 Zhendong Yu , Haiping Huang

Network reconstruction is the task of inferring the unseen interactions between elements of a system, based only on their behavior or dynamics. This inverse problem is in general ill-posed, and admits many solutions for the same…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-12 Tiago P. Peixoto

From the perspective of network analysis, the ubiquitous networks are comprised of regular and irregular components, which makes uncovering the complexity of network structures to be a fundamental challenge. Exploring the regular…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-08-30 Tao Wu , Shaojie Qiao , Xingping Xian , Xi-Zhao Wang , Wei Wang , Yanbing Liu

The recent financial crisis has stressed the need to understand financial systems as networks of interdependent countries, where cross-border financial linkages play the fundamental role. It has also been emphasized that the relevance of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-03 Alessandro Spelta , Tanya Araújo

Network inference, the task of reconstructing interactions in a complex system from experimental observables, is a central yet extremely challenging problem in systems biology. While much progress has been made in the last two decades,…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-12 Stephen Y Zhang

The interbank market is considered one of the most important channels of contagion. Its network representation, where banks and claims/obligations are represented by nodes and links (respectively), has received a lot of attention in the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-01-26 Leonardo Bargigli , Giovanni di Iasio , Luigi Infante , Fabrizio Lillo , Federico Pierobon

Since 2008, the network analysis of financial systems is one of the most important subjects in economics. In this paper, we have used the complexity approach and Random Matrix Theory (RMT) for analyzing the global banking network. By…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-30 Ali Namaki , Jamshid Ardalankia , Reza Raei , Leila Hedayatifar , Ali Hosseiny , Emmanuel Haven , G. Reza Jafari