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This paper considers a general stochastic SIR epidemic model driven by a multidimensional Levy jump process with heavy tailed increments and possible correlation between noise components. In this framework, we derive new sufficient…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Nicolas Privault , Liang Wang

The existence and local stability of some non-negative equilibrium points of a class of SIRS infectious disease models with non-linear infection and treatment rates are investigated under the condition that the total population is a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Mengqi Tan

Applied to the master equation, the usual numerical integration methods, such as Runge-Kutta, become inefficient when the rates associated with various transitions differ by several orders of magnitude. We introduce an integration scheme…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Ronald Dickman

The SIR model is used extensively in the field of epidemiology, in particular, for the analysis of communal diseases. One problem with SIR and other existing models is that they are tailored to random or Erdos type networks since they do…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-10-22 M. S. S. Khan

We discuss the criticality in the stochastic SIR model for infectious diseases. We adopt the path-integral formalism for the propagation of infections among susceptible, infectious, and removed individuals, and perform the perturbative and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-14 Shigehiro Yasui , Yutaka Hatakeyama , Yoshiyasu Okuhara

Some properties of numerical time integration methods using summation by parts operators and simultaneous approximation terms are studied. These schemes can be interpreted as implicit Runge-Kutta methods with desirable stability properties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-20 Hendrik Ranocha

We provide a note on continuous-stage Runge-Kutta methods (csRK) for solving initial value problems of first-order ordinary differential equations. Such methods, as an interesting and creative extension of traditional Runge-Kutta (RK)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-05-28 Wensheng Tang

Heterogeneity is an important property of any population experiencing a disease. Here we apply general methods of the theory of heterogeneous populations to the simplest mathematical models in epidemiology. In particular, an SIR…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-02-28 Artem S Novozhilov

High order spatial discretizations with monotonicity properties are often desirable for the solution of hyperbolic PDEs. These methods can advantageously be coupled with high order strong stability preserving time discretizations. The…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Sigal Gottlieb , Zachary J. Grant , Daniel Higgs

In this article, we construct a numerical method for a stochastic version of the Susceptible Infected Susceptible (SIS) epidemic model, expressed by a suitable stochastic differential equation (SDE), by using the semi-discrete method to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Yiannis Kiouvrekis , Ioannis S. Stamatiou

We further develop a simple modification of Runge--Kutta methods that guarantees conservation or stability with respect to any inner-product norm. The modified methods can be explicit and retain the accuracy and stability properties of the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-05-27 David I. Ketcheson

We present a class of SEIR Markov chain models for infectious diseases observed over discrete time in a random human population living in a closed environment. The population changes over time through random births, deaths, and transitions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-30 Divine Wanduku , Chinmoy Rahul

In this work we present a class of high order unconditionally strong stability preserving (SSP) implicit multi-derivative Runge--Kutta schemes, and SSP implicit-explicit (IMEX) multi-derivative Runge--Kutta schemes where the time-step…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-08-10 Sigal Gottlieb , Zachary J. Grant , Jingwei Hu , Ruiwen Shu

In this paper, we study an analytically tractable SIS model with a non-linear incidence rate for the number of infectious individuals described through a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We guarantee the existence of a positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-23 J. S. Builes , Cristian F. Coletti , Leon A. Valencia

The integration of empirical data in computational frameworks to model the spread of infectious diseases poses challenges that are becoming pressing with the increasing availability of high-resolution information on human mobility and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2013-04-24 Anna Machens , Francesco Gesualdo , Caterina Rizzo , Alberto E Tozzi , Alain Barrat , Ciro Cattuto

We introduce a stochastic SIR-type partial differential equation model incorporating random diffusion, reinfection, vital dynamics, and a randomly varying transmission rate. For the associated random dynamical system, we prove the existence…

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

Since 1927, until recently, models describing the spread of disease have mostly been of the SIR-compartmental type, based on the assumption that populations are homogeneous and well-mixed. The focus of these models have typically been on…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-07-23 Lara Goscé , David A W Barton , Anders Johansson

The impact of spatial structure on the spread of an epidemic is an important issue in the propagation of infectious diseases. Recent studies, both deterministic and stochastic, have made it possible to understand the importance of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-01-09 Alphonse Emakoua

The infection dynamics of a population under stationary isolation conditions is modeled. It is underlined that the stationary character of the isolation measures can be expected to imply that an effective SIR model with constant parameters…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-19 Alejandro Cabo Montes de Oca , Nana Geraldine Cabo Bizet