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Data-driven weather models have advanced global medium-range forecasting, yet high-resolution regional prediction remains challenging due to unresolved multiscale interactions between large-scale dynamics and small-scale processes such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Weiqi Chen , Wenwei Wang , Qilong Yuan , Lefei Shen , Bingqing Peng , Jiawei Chen , Bo Wu , Liang Sun

Short fixed-length inputs are the main bottleneck of deep learning methods in long time-series forecasting tasks. Prolonging input length causes overfitting, rapidly deteriorating accuracy. Our research indicates that the overfitting is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-05 Chao Ma , Yikai Hou , Xiang Li , Yinggang Sun , Haining Yu

Recent advances in deep learning have mainly relied on Transformers due to their data dependency and ability to learn at scale. The attention module in these architectures, however, exhibits quadratic time and space in input size, limiting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Ali Behrouz , Michele Santacatterina , Ramin Zabih

With an ever-increasing number of sensors in modern society, spatio-temporal time series forecasting has become a de facto tool to make informed decisions about the future. Most spatio-temporal forecasting models typically comprise distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Lars Ødegaard Bentsen , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Roy Stenbro , Paal Engelstad

We present a robust Distributed and Localized Model Predictive Control (rDLMPC) framework for large-scale structured linear systems. The proposed algorithm uses the System Level Synthesis to provide a distributed closed-loop model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-29 Carmen Amo Alonso , Jing Shuang Li , Nikolai Matni , James Anderson

Machine learning approaches have recently been leveraged as a substitute or an aid for physical/mathematical modeling approaches to dynamical systems. To develop an efficient machine learning method dedicated to modeling and prediction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-01 Gouhei Tanaka , Tadayoshi Matsumori , Hiroaki Yoshida , Kazuyuki Aihara

Multivariate time series data provide a robust framework for future predictions by leveraging information across multiple dimensions, ensuring broad applicability in practical scenarios. However, their high dimensionality and mixing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Xuanbing Zhu , Dunbin Shen , Zhongwen Rao , Huiyi Ma , Yingguang Hao , Hongyu Wang

Generating forecasts for time series with multiple seasonal cycles is an important use-case for many industries nowadays. Accounting for the multi-seasonal patterns becomes necessary to generate more accurate and meaningful forecasts in…

Applications · Statistics 2020-04-28 Kasun Bandara , Christoph Bergmeir , Hansika Hewamalage

While collaborative forecasting on distributed time series is highly desirable, directly pooling localized datasets is often impractical due to data sharing constraints. Federated learning offers a promising alternative, yet conventional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yiming Zhou , Jiahao Wang , Mingyue Cheng , Hao Wang , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

This work contributes to the development of neural forecasting models with novel randomization-based learning methods. These methods improve the fitting abilities of the neural model, in comparison to the standard method, by generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-06 Grzegorz Dudek

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Tensor time series (TTS) data, a generalization of one-dimensional time series on a high-dimensional space, is ubiquitous in real-world scenarios, especially in monitoring systems involving multi-source spatio-temporal data (e.g.,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-08 Jiewen Deng , Jinliang Deng , Renhe Jiang , Xuan Song

Randomized neural networks for representation learning have consistently achieved prominent results in texture recognition tasks, effectively combining the advantages of both traditional techniques and learning-based approaches. However,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Ricardo T. Fares , Lucas C. Ribas

Time series forecasting plays a crucial role in decision-making across various domains, but it presents significant challenges. Recent studies have explored image-driven approaches using computer vision models to address these challenges,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Zhen Zeng , Rachneet Kaur , Suchetha Siddagangappa , Tucker Balch , Manuela Veloso

Spatiotemporal forecasting is critical for real-world applications like traffic management, yet capturing reliable interactions remains challenging under noisy and non-stationary conditions. Existing methods primarily rely on historical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Yinghao Ai , Yukai Zhou , Ruoxi Jiang , Junyi An , Chao Qu , Zhijian Zhou , Shiyu Wang , Fenglei Cao , Zenglin Xu , Furao Shen , Yuan Qi

Recurrent Neural Networks were, until recently, one of the best ways to capture the timely dependencies in sequences. However, with the introduction of the Transformer, it has been proven that an architecture with only attention-mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Radostin Cholakov , Todor Kolev

Time series forecasting attempts to predict future events by analyzing past trends and patterns. Although well researched, certain critical aspects pertaining to the use of deep learning in time series forecasting remain ambiguous. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Kiran Madhusudhanan , Shayan Jawed , Lars Schmidt-Thieme

Time series forecasting is a fundamental tool with wide ranging applications, yet recent debates question whether complex nonlinear architectures truly outperform simple linear models. Prior claims of dominance of the linear model often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Md Rakibul Haque , Vishwa Goudar , Shireen Elhabian , Warren Woodrich Pettine

Recent research has shown an increasing interest in utilizing pre-trained large language models (LLMs) for a variety of time series applications. However, there are three main challenges when using LLMs as foundational models for time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Wenzhe Niu , Zongxia Xie , Yanru Sun , Wei He , Man Xu , Chao Hao

In many data-driven applications, collecting data from different sources is increasingly desirable for enhancing performance. In this paper, we are interested in the problem of probabilistic forecasting with multi-source time series. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tian Guo
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