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The cross entropy loss is widely used due to its effectiveness and solid theoretical grounding. However, as training progresses, the loss tends to focus on hard to classify samples, which may prevent the network from obtaining gains in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-14 Barak Battash , Lior Wolf , Tamir Hazan

Scenario optimization and conformal prediction share a common goal, that is, turning finite samples into safety margins. Yet, different terminology often obscures the connection between their respective guarantees. This paper revisits that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-23 Giuseppe C. Calafiore

We consider the problem of sequential decision making under uncertainty in which the loss caused by a decision depends on the following binary observation. In competitive on-line learning, the goal is to design decision algorithms that are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Vladimir Vovk

We consider the distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problem with spectral risk-based uncertainty set and $f$-divergence penalty. This formulation includes common risk-sensitive learning objectives such as regularized condition…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-24 Ronak Mehta , Vincent Roulet , Krishna Pillutla , Zaid Harchaoui

Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) provides a framework for decision-making under distributional uncertainty, yet its effectiveness can be compromised by outliers in the training data. This paper introduces a principled approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Shuyao Li , Ilias Diakonikolas , Jelena Diakonikolas

Recent advances in learning or identification of nonlinear dynamics focus on learning a suitable model within a pre-specified model class. However, a key difficulty that remains is the choice of the model class from which the dynamics will…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-29 Charis Stamouli , Evangelos Chatzipantazis , George J. Pappas

Linear structural error-in-variables models with univariate observations are revisited for studying modified least squares estimators of the slope and intercept. New marginal central limit theorems (CLT's) are established for these…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Yuliya V. Martsynyuk

We introduce a constrained optimization framework for training transformers that behave like optimization descent algorithms. Specifically, we enforce layerwise descent constraints on the objective function and replace standard empirical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Javier Porras-Valenzuela , Samar Hadou , Alejandro Ribeiro

Though deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has obtained substantial success, it may encounter catastrophic failures due to the intrinsic uncertainty of both transition and observation. Most of the existing methods for safe reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Chengyang Ying , Xinning Zhou , Hang Su , Dong Yan , Ning Chen , Jun Zhu

Machine learning models are increasingly trained or fine-tuned on synthetic data. Recursively training on such data has been observed to significantly degrade performance in a wide range of tasks, often characterized by a progressive drift…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Nail B. Khelifa , Richard E. Turner , Ramji Venkataramanan

In many real-world prediction tasks, class labels contain information about the relative order between labels that are not captured by commonly used loss functions such as multicategory cross-entropy. Recently, the preference for unimodal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-21 Jaime S. Cardoso , Ricardo Cruz , Tomé Albuquerque

Calibration allows predictions to be reliably interpreted as probabilities by decision makers. We propose a decision-theoretic calibration error, the Calibration Decision Loss (CDL), defined as the maximum improvement in decision payoff…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Lunjia Hu , Yifan Wu

In recent years research on credit risk modelling has mainly focused on default probabilities. Recovery rates are usually modelled independently, quite often they are even assumed constant. Then, however, the structural connection between…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-06 Alexander F. R. Koivusalo , Rudi Schäfer

This paper aims to develop an optimality theory for linear discriminant analysis in the high-dimensional setting. A data-driven and tuning free classification rule, which is based on an adaptive constrained $\ell_1$ minimization approach,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 T. Tony Cai , Linjun Zhang

On-policy reinforcement learning methods like GRPO suffer from mode collapse: they exhibit reduced solution diversity, concentrating probability mass on a single solution once discovered and ceasing exploration of alternative strategies. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Xiaozhe Li , Yang Li , Xinyu Fang , Shengyuan Ding , Peiji Li , Yongkang Chen , Yichuan Ma , Tianyi Lyu , Linyang Li , Dahua Lin , Qipeng Guo , Qingwen Liu , Kai Chen

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

Curriculum Learning - the idea of teaching by gradually exposing the learner to examples in a meaningful order, from easy to hard, has been investigated in the context of machine learning long ago. Although methods based on this concept…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Daphna Weinshall , Dan Amir

In most machine learning applications, classification accuracy is not the primary metric of interest. Binary classifiers which face class imbalance are often evaluated by the $F_\beta$ score, area under the precision-recall curve, Precision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-02 Alan Mackey , Xiyang Luo , Elad Eban

An interesting phenomenon arises: Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) sometimes outperforms methods specifically designed for out-of-distribution tasks. This motivates an investigation into the reasons behind such behavior beyond algorithmic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Hong Zheng , Fei Teng

Virtually all machine learning tasks are characterized using some form of loss function, and "good performance" is typically stated in terms of a sufficiently small average loss, taken over the random draw of test data. While optimizing for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-01 Matthew J. Holland , Kazuki Tanabe