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For the nonparametric regression models with covariates contaminated with normal measurement errors, this paper proposes an extrapolation algorithm to estimate the nonparametric regression functions. By applying the conditional expectation…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-28 Weixing Song , Kanwal Ayub , Jianhong Shi

For the general parametric regression models with covariates contaminated with normal measurement errors, this paper proposes an accelerated version of the classical simulation extrapolation algorithm to estimate the unknown parameters in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-13 Kanwal Ayub , Weixing Song

The problem of regression extrapolation, or out-of-distribution generalization, arises when predictions are required at test points outside the range of the training data. In such cases, the non-parametric guarantees for regression methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-31 Gloria Buriticá , Sebastian Engelke

Extrapolation is defined as making predictions beyond the range of the data used to estimate a statistical model. In ecological studies, it is not always obvious when and where extrapolation occurs because of the multivariate nature of the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-09 Meridith L Bartley , Ephraim M Hanks , Erin M Schliep , Patricia A Soranno , Tyler Wagner

The presence of measurement error is a widespread issue which, when ignored, can render the results of an analysis unreliable. Numerous corrections for the effects of measurement error have been proposed and studied, often under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Dylan Spicker , Michael Wallace , Grace Yi

Distributional regression aims to estimate the full conditional distribution of a target variable, given covariates. Popular methods include linear and tree-ensemble based quantile regression. We propose a neural network-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-08 Xinwei Shen , Nicolai Meinshausen

Canonical work handling distribution shifts typically necessitates an entire target distribution that lands inside the training distribution. However, practical scenarios often involve only a handful of target samples, potentially lying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-17 Lingjing Kong , Guangyi Chen , Petar Stojanov , Haoxuan Li , Eric P. Xing , Kun Zhang

Inferring the causal effect of a non-randomly assigned exposure on an outcome requires adjusting for common causes of the exposure and outcome to avoid biased conclusions. Notwithstanding the efforts investigators routinely make to measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-04 Wen Wei Loh , Stijn Vansteelandt

The method of extrapolating asymptotic series, based on the Self-Similar Approximation Theory, is developed. Several important questions are answered, which makes the foundation of the method unambiguous and its application straightforward.…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 V. I. Yukalov

Real-world machine learning applications often involve deploying neural networks to domains that are not seen in the training time. Hence, we need to understand the extrapolation of nonlinear models -- under what conditions on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Kefan Dong , Tengyu Ma

Classical approximation and learning methods are typically optimized for interpolation over a sampled domain {\Omega}, with no guarantees on their behavior in an extrapolation region {\Xi}, where small in-domain errors may amplify. We…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-11 Guy Hay , Nir Sharon

This paper deals with probabilistic upper bounds for the error in functional estimation defined on some interpolation and extrapolation designs, when the function to estimate is supposed to be analytic. The error pertaining to the estimate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-01-26 Michel Broniatowski , Giorgio Celant , Marco Di Battista , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

Extrapolation -- the ability to make inferences that go beyond the scope of one's experiences -- is a hallmark of human intelligence. By contrast, the generalization exhibited by contemporary neural network algorithms is largely limited to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Taylor W. Webb , Zachary Dulberg , Steven M. Frankland , Alexander A. Petrov , Randall C. O'Reilly , Jonathan D. Cohen

All scientific interpretations of statistical outputs depend on background (auxiliary) assumptions that are rarely delineated or explicitly interrogated. These include not only the usual modeling assumptions, but also deeper assumptions…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-01 Sander Greenland , Zad Rafi , Robert Matthews , Megan Higgs

The paper suggests a method of extrapolation of notion of one-sided semi-infinite sequences representing traces of two-sided band-limited sequences; this features ensure uniqueness of this extrapolation and possibility to use this for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-08 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Almost every numerical task can be cast as extrapolation with respect to the fidelity or tolerance parameters of a consistent numerical method. This perspective enables probabilistic uncertainty quantification and optimal experimental…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Chris. J. Oates , Richard Howey , Toni Karvonen

Generative models can be trained to emulate complex empirical data, but are they useful to make predictions in the context of previously unobserved environments? An intuitive idea to promote such extrapolation capabilities is to have the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Michel Besserve , Rémy Sun , Dominik Janzing , Bernhard Schölkopf

Extrapolation is a generic problem in physics and mathematics: how to use asymptotic data in one parametric regime to learn about the behavior of a function in another parametric regime. For example: extending weak coupling expansions to…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2019-10-25 Ovidiu Costin , Gerald V. Dunne

Many common estimators in machine learning and causal inference are linear smoothers, where the prediction is a weighted average of the training outcomes. Some estimators, such as ordinary least squares and kernel ridge regression, allow…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 David Arbour , Harsh Parikh , Bijan Niknam , Elizabeth Stuart , Kara Rudolph , Avi Feller

The ultimate purpose of most computational models is to make predictions, commonly in support of some decision-making process (e.g., for design or operation of some system). The quantities that need to be predicted (the quantities of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-19 Todd A. Oliver , Gabriel Terejanu , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser
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