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Accurate household electricity short-term load forecasting (STLF) is key to future and sustainable energy systems. While various studies have analyzed statistical, machine learning, or deep learning approaches for household electricity…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Marcel Meyer , David Zapata , Sascha Kaltenpoth , Oliver Müller

With the rise of time-of-use and tiered electricity pricing, energy consumers are encouraged to adopt peak-shifting strategies by automatically controlling high-power appliances. These help lower energy costs while enhancing the power…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Yunhao Yao , Jinwei Fang , Puhan Luo , Zhiqiang Wang , Jiahui Hou , Xiang-Yang Li

Electricity load consumption may be extremely complex in terms of profile patterns, as it depends on a wide range of human factors, and it is often correlated with several exogenous factors, such as the availability of renewable energy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Aleksei Kychkin , Georgios C. Chasparis

Performing analytic of household load curves (LCs) has significant value in predicting individual electricity consumption patterns, and hence facilitate developing demand-response strategy, and finally achieve energy efficiency improvement…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-11-27 Yunyou Huang , Jianfeng Zhan , Nana Wang , Chunjie Luo , Lei Wang , Rui Ren

We consider the co-optimization of flexible household consumption, electric vehicle charging, and behind-the-meter distributed energy resources under the net energy metering tariff. Using a stochastic dynamic programming formulation, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-01 Minjae Jeon , Lang Tong , Qing Zhao

Clustering analysis of daily load profiles represents an effective technique to classify and aggregate electric users based on their actual consumption patterns. Among other purposes, it may be exploited as a preliminary stage for load…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-11 Francesca Soldan , Alberto Maldarella , Gabriele Paludetto , Enea Bionda , Federico Belloni , Samuele Grillo

Probabilistic electricity price forecasting (PEPF) is subject of increasing interest, following the demand for proper quantification of prediction uncertainty, to support the operation in complex power markets with increasing share of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Alessandro Brusaferri , Andrea Ballarino , Luigi Grossi , Fabrizio Laurini

Investigation of household electricity usage patterns, and matching the patterns to behaviours, is an important area of research given the centrality of such patterns in addressing the needs of the electricity industry. Additional knowledge…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-24 Ian Dent , Tony Craig , Uwe Aickelin , Tom Rodden

This paper describes a method for defining representative load profiles for domestic electricity users in the UK. It considers bottom up and clustering methods and then details the research plans for implementing and improving existing…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-07-05 Ian Dent , Uwe Aickelin , Tom Rodden

Middle-term horizon (months to a year) power consumption prediction is a main challenge in the energy sector, in particular when probabilistic forecasting is considered. We propose a new modelling approach that incorporates trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-04 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

Some real-world decision-making problems require making probabilistic forecasts over multiple steps at once. However, methods for probabilistic forecasting may fail to capture correlations in the underlying time-series that exist over long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Arec Jamgochian , Di Wu , Kunal Menda , Soyeon Jung , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Models simulating household energy demand based on different occupant and household types and their behavioral patterns have received increasing attention over the last years due the need to better understand fundamental characteristics…

General Economics · Economics 2021-01-05 Max Kleinebrahm , Jacopo Torriti , Russell McKenna , Armin Ardone , Wolf Fichtner

This paper presents a novel data-driven technique based on the spatiotemporal pattern network (STPN) for energy/power prediction for complex dynamical systems. Built on symbolic dynamic filtering, the STPN framework is used to capture not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-07 Zhanhong Jiang , Chao Liu , Adedotun Akintayo , Gregor Henze , Soumik Sarkar

Optimal scheduling of batteries has significant potential to reduce electricity costs and to enhance grid resilience. However, effective battery scheduling must account for both physical constraints as well as uncertainties in consumption…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Janik Pinter , Maximilian Beichter , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer , Frederik Zahn

Forecasting natural gas consumption, considering seasonality and trends, is crucial in planning its supply and consumption and optimizing the cost of obtaining it, mainly by industrial entities. However, in times of threats to its supply,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Radek Svoboda , Sebastian Basterrech , Jedrzej Kozal , Jan Platos , Michal Wozniak

We introduce the concept of temporal hierarchy forecasting (THieF) in predicting day-ahead electricity prices and show that reconciling forecasts for hourly products and 2- to 24-hour blocks can significantly (up to 13%) improve accuracy at…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-06 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Kaja Bilinska , Nicolaos Kourentzes , Rafal Weron

The large scale deployment of Advanced Metering Infrastructure among residential energy customers has served as a boon for energy systems research relying on granular consumption data. Residential Demand Response aims to utilize the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-07-05 Datong Zhou , Maximilian Balandat , Claire Tomlin

Integrating renewable energy sources into the power grid is becoming increasingly important as the world moves towards a more sustainable energy future in line with SDG 7. However, the intermittent nature of renewable energy sources can…

The wide spread of new energy resources, smart devices, and demand side management strategies has motivated several analytics operations, from infrastructure load modeling to user behavior profiling. Energy Demand Forecasting (EDF) of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-25 Andreas Tritsarolis , Gil Sampaio , Nikos Pelekis , Yannis Theodoridis

In designing wireless sensor networks, it is important to reduce energy dissipation and prolong network lifetime. In this paper, a new model with energy and monitored objects heterogeneity is proposed for heterogeneous wireless sensor…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2011-06-01 Tang Liu , Jian Peng , Jin Yang , Chunli Wang