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Related papers: Predicting the Emergence of Solar Active Regions U…

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We investigate the use of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Decomposition-LSTM (DLSTM) networks, combined with an ensemble algorithm, to predict solar flare occurrences using time-series data from the GOES catalog. The dataset spans from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zeinab Hassani , Davud Mohammadpur , Hossein Safari

The solar interior is probed by the properties of the Sun's acoustic oscillations (p-modes) observed on the solar surface. The frequencies of these p-modes measured in the last three decades show long term variation similar to the 11 year…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-23 Rekha Jain , Akash Kumar , Sushanta C. Tripathy

We conduct a post hoc analysis of solar flare predictions made by a Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) model employing data in the form of Space-weather HMI Active Region Patches (SHARP) parameters calculated from data in proximity to the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-03-11 Hu Sun , Ward Manchester , Zhenbang Jiao , Xiantong Wang , Yang Chen

Prediction of the Sun's magnetic activity is important because of its effect on space environment and climate. However, recent efforts to predict the amplitude of the solar cycle have resulted in diverging forecasts with no consensus.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-12-07 Bidya Binay Karak , Dibyendu Nandy

Solar Energetic Particle events (SEPs) are among the most dangerous transient phenomena of solar activity. As hazardous radiation, SEPs may affect the health of astronauts in outer space and adversely impact current and future space…

Solar active regions and the processes that occur in them have been extensively studied and analyzed and many types of models and characterizations have been proposed for the occurrence of different eruptive events that take place in the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2020-12-09 N. Granados Hernández , S. Vargas Domínguez

Active regions (ARs) play an important role in the magnetic dynamics of the Sun. Solar surface flux transport models (SFTMs) are used to describe the evolution of the radial magnetic field at the solar surface. There is however uncertainty…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-30 Nils Gottschling , Hannah Schunker , Aaron C. Birch , Robert Cameron , Laurent Gizon

In recent years (2000-2021), human-space activities have been increasing faster than ever. More than 36000 Earth' orbiting objects, all larger than 10 cm, in orbit around the Earth, are currently tracked by the European Space Agency (ESA).…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-07-12 S. Aljbaae , J. Murcia-Pineros , A. F. B. A. Prado , R. V. Moraes , V. Carruba , G. A. Carita

Recently observed oscillations in the solar atmosphere have been interpreted and modeled as magnetohydrodynamic wave modes. This has allowed the estimation of parameters that are otherwise hard to derive, such as the coronal magnetic-field…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-07-07 Jack Ireland , Michael S. Marsh , Therese A. Kucera , Christopher A. Young

We explore the general properties of near-surface flows around solar active regions. Helioseismic holography is applied to HMI Dopplergrams yielding nearly 5000 flow measurements of 336 unique active regions observed by the Solar Dynamics…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-20 D. C. Braun

We present a method for performing data-driven simulations of solar active region formation and evolution. The approach is based on magnetofriction, which evolves the induction equation assuming the plasma velocity is proportional to the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-11 Mark C. M. Cheung , Marc L. DeRosa

Solar flares create adverse space weather impacting space and Earth-based technologies. However, the difficulty of forecasting flares, and by extension severe space weather, is accentuated by the lack of any unique flare trigger or a single…

Context. Local helioseismology has detected spatially extended converging surface flows into solar active regions. These play an important role in flux-transport models of the solar dynamo. Aims. We aim to validate the existence of the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-10-04 B. Löptien , A. C. Birch , T. L. Duvall , L. Gizon , B. Proxauf , J. Schou

Solar energetic particles are mainly protons and originate from the Sun during solar flares or coronal shock waves. Forecasting the Solar Energetic Protons (SEP) flux is critical for several operational sectors, such as communication and…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-10-19 Mohamed Nedal , Kamen Kozarev , Nestor Arsenov , Peijin Zhang

While the {\it Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager} (HMI) onboard the {\it Solar Dynamics Observatory} (SDO) provides Doppler velocity [$V$], continuum intensity [$I_C$], and line-depth [$Ld$] observations, each of which is sensitive to the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-09-24 Rachel Howe , Kiran Jain , Richard S. Bogart , Deborah A. Haber , Charles S. Baldner

Emerging active regions are associated with convective flows on the spatial scale and lifetimes of supergranules. To understand how these flows are involved in the formation of active regions, we aim to identify where active regions emerge…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-07-17 Hannah Schunker , William Roland-Batty , Aaron C. Birch , Douglas C. Braun , Robert H. Cameron , L. Gizon

This paper addresses the pressing need for an accurate solar energy prediction model, which is crucial for efficient grid integration. We explore the influence of the Air Quality Index and weather features on solar energy generation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Arjun Shah , Varun Viswanath , Kashish Gandhi , Nilesh Madhukar Patil

We discuss a prediction of the solar activity on a short time-scale applying the method based on a combination of a nonlinear mean-field dynamo model and the artificial neural network. The artificial neural network which serves as a…

The emergence of active regions on the Sun is an integral feature of the solar dynamo mechanism. However, details about the generation of active-region-scale magnetism and the journey of this magnetic flux to the photosphere are still in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-13 Maria A. Weber , Hannah Schunker , Laurène Jouve , Emre Işık

The dynamics of horizontal plasma flows during the first hours of the emergence of active region magnetic flux in the solar photosphere have been analyzed using SOHO/MDI data. Four active regions emerging near the solar limb have been…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-05-01 A. Khlystova