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Future trajectories play an important role across domains such as autonomous driving, hurricane forecasting, and epidemic modeling, where practitioners commonly generate ensemble paths by sampling probabilistic models or leveraging multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Ruipu Li , Daniel Menacho , Alexander Rodríguez

Trajectory prediction is a fundamental technology for advanced autonomous driving systems and represents one of the most challenging problems in the field of cognitive intelligence. Accurately predicting the future trajectories of each…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-24 Qu Weiming , Wang Jia , Du Jiawei , Zhu Yuanhao , Yu Jianfeng , Xia Rui , Cao Song , Wu Xihong , Luo Dingsheng

Past research on pedestrian trajectory forecasting mainly focused on deterministic predictions which provide only point estimates of future states. These future estimates can help an autonomous vehicle plan its trajectory and avoid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian , Zachary Doerzaph

Accurately predicting the consequences of agents' actions is a key prerequisite for planning in robotic control. Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) is one paradigm which relies on the iterative learning and prediction of state-action…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Nathan Lambert , Kristofer Pister , Roberto Calandra

Human motion is stochastic and ensuring safe robot navigation in a pedestrian-rich environment requires proactive decision-making. Past research relied on incorporating deterministic future states of surrounding pedestrians which can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Anshul Nayak , Azim Eskandarian

Pedestrian crossing prediction is a crucial task for autonomous driving. Numerous studies show that an early estimation of the pedestrian's intention can decrease or even avoid a high percentage of accidents. In this paper, different…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Javier Lorenzo , Ignacio Parra , Florian Wirth , Christoph Stiller , David Fernandez Llorca , Miguel Angel Sotelo

In this paper, we study adversarial training on datasets that obey the long-tailed distribution, which is practical but rarely explored in previous works. Compared with conventional adversarial training on balanced datasets, this process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Guanlin Li , Guowen Xu , Tianwei Zhang

Autonomous mobile robots require accurate human motion predictions to safely and efficiently navigate among pedestrians, whose behavior may adapt to environmental changes. This paper introduces a self-supervised continual learning framework…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-02-16 Luzia Knoedler , Chadi Salmi , Hai Zhu , Bruno Brito , Javier Alonso-Mora

Most pedestrian trajectory prediction methods rely on a huge amount of trajectories annotation, which is time-consuming and expensive. Moreover, a well-trained model may not effectively generalize to a new scenario captured by another…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Pingxuan Huang , Zhenhua Cui , Jing Li , Shenghua Gao , bo Hu , Yanyan Fang

Predicting the future movements of surrounding vehicles is essential for ensuring the safe operation and efficient navigation of autonomous vehicles (AVs) in urban traffic environments. Existing vehicle trajectory prediction methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-12-10 Yuansheng Lian , Ke Zhang , Meng Li

The imbalance (or long-tail) is the nature of many real-world data distributions, which often induces the undesirable bias of deep classification models toward frequent classes, resulting in poor performance for tail classes. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Fudong Lin , Xu Yuan

Long-term trajectory forecasting is an important and challenging problem in the fields of computer vision, machine learning, and robotics. One fundamental difficulty stands in the evolution of the trajectory that becomes more and more…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-04 Sourav Das , Guglielmo Camporese , Shaokang Cheng , Lamberto Ballan

The modelling of multivariate extreme events is important in a wide variety of applications, including flood risk analysis, metocean engineering and financial modelling. A wide variety of statistical techniques have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Callum John Rowlandson Murphy-Barltrop , Ed Mackay , Philip Jonathan

Planning an autonomous vehicle's (AV) path in a space shared with pedestrians requires reasoning about pedestrians' future trajectories. A practical pedestrian trajectory prediction algorithm for the use of AVs needs to consider the effect…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-15 Mahsa Golchoubian , Moojan Ghafurian , Kerstin Dautenhahn , Nasser Lashgarian Azad

Motion forecasting is crucial in enabling autonomous vehicles to anticipate the future trajectories of surrounding agents. To do so, it requires solving mapping, detection, tracking, and then forecasting problems, in a multi-step pipeline.…

Recurrent neural networks are able to learn complex long-term relationships from sequential data and output a pdf over the state space. Therefore, recurrent models are a natural choice to address path prediction tasks, where a trained model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-30 Ronny Hug , Stefan Becker , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

To tackle ever-increasing city traffic congestion problems, researchers have proposed deep learning models to aid decision-makers in the traffic control domain. Although the proposed models have been remarkably improved in recent years,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-10 Hyunwook Lee , Cheonbok Park , Seungmin Jin , Hyeshin Chu , Jaegul Choo , Sungahn Ko

Analyzing and forecasting trajectories of agents like pedestrians plays a pivotal role for embodied intelligent applications. The inherent indeterminacy of human behavior and complex social interaction among a rich variety of agents make…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Huajian Liu , Wei Dong , Kunpeng Fan , Chao Wang , Yongzhuo Gao

With the popularity of location-based services, human mobility prediction plays a key role in enhancing personalized navigation, optimizing recommendation systems, and facilitating urban mobility and planning. This involves predicting a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-16 Xiaohang Xu , Renhe Jiang , Chuang Yang , Zipei Fan , Kaoru Sezaki

Pedestrian trajectory modelling in an urban complex is challenging because pedestrians can have many possible destinations, such as shops, escalators, and attractions. Moreover, weather and time-of-day may affect pedestrian behavior. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Ho Chun Wu , Esther Hoi Shan Lau , Paul Yuen , Kevin Hung , John Kwok Tai Chui , Andrew Kwok Fai Lui