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Process Outcome Prediction entails predicting a discrete property of an unfinished process instance from its partial trace. High-capacity outcome predictors discovered with ensemble and deep learning methods have been shown to achieve top…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Francesco Folino , Luigi Pontieri , Pietro Sabatino

Predicting pedestrian motion trajectories is crucial for path planning and motion control of autonomous vehicles. Accurately forecasting crowd trajectories is challenging due to the uncertain nature of human motions in different…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Yu Liu , Yuexin Zhang , Kunming Li , Yongliang Qiao , Stewart Worrall , You-Fu Li , He Kong

Real-world time series exhibit complex and evolving dynamics, making accurate forecasting extremely challenging. Recent multi-modal forecasting methods leverage textual information such as news reports to improve prediction, but most rely…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Lige Zhang , Ali Maatouk , Jialin Chen , Leandros Tassiulas , Rex Ying

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Predicting the states of dynamic traffic actors into the future is important for autonomous systems to operate safelyand efficiently. Remarkably, the most critical scenarios aremuch less frequent and more complex than the uncriticalones.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Osama Makansi , Özgün Cicek , Yassine Marrakchi , Thomas Brox

Linear mixed-effects model (LMM) is a cornerstone of longitudinal data analysis, but is limited to adeptly make heterogeneous analyses predictable under both group-specific fixed effects and subject-specific random effects. To address this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Xinkai Yue , Xiaodong Yan , Haohui Han , Liya Fu

Decision-making in long-tail scenarios is pivotal to autonomous-driving development, and realistic and challenging simulations play a crucial role in testing safety-critical situations. However, existing open-source datasets lack systematic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Chuancheng Zhang , Zhenhao Wang , Jiangcheng Wang , Kun Su , Qiang Lv , Bin Jiang , Kunkun Hao , Wenyu Wang

Predicting human trajectories is a challenging task due to the complexity of pedestrian behavior, which is influenced by external factors such as the scene's topology and interactions with other pedestrians. A special challenge arises from…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-31 Raphael Korbmacher , Huu-Tu Dang , Antoine Tordeux

In an era of information explosion, recommendation systems play an important role in people's daily life by facilitating content exploration. It is known that user activeness, i.e., number of behaviors, tends to follow a long-tail…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Zheqi Lv , Feng Wang , Shengyu Zhang , Kun Kuang , Hongxia Yang , Fei Wu

The advancement of socially-aware autonomous vehicles hinges on precise modeling of human behavior. Within this broad paradigm, the specific challenge lies in accurately predicting pedestrian's trajectory and intention. Traditional…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-25 Farzeen Munir , Tomasz Piotr Kucner

Predicting the motion of a driver's vehicle is crucial for advanced driving systems, enabling detection of potential risks towards shared control between the driver and automation systems. In this paper, we propose a variational neural…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Xin Huang , Stephen McGill , Brian C. Williams , Luke Fletcher , Guy Rosman

Pedestrian trajectory prediction plays a pivotal role in ensuring the safety and efficiency of various applications, including autonomous vehicles and traffic management systems. This paper proposes a novel method for pedestrian trajectory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Xiuen Wu , Tao Wang , Yuanzheng Cai , Lingyu Liang , George Papageorgiou

Tremendous efforts have been put forth on predicting pedestrian trajectory with generative models to accommodate uncertainty and multi-modality in human behaviors. An individual's inherent uncertainty, e.g., change of destination, can be…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Yao Liu , Zesheng Ye , Rui Wang , Binghao Li , Quan Z. Sheng , Lina Yao

Non-recurrent conditions caused by incidents are different from recurrent conditions that follow periodic patterns. Existing traffic speed prediction studies are incident-agnostic and use one single model to learn all possible patterns from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Zemian Ke , Haocheng Duan , Sean Qian

Trajectory prediction is critical for applications of planning safe future movements and remains challenging even for the next few seconds in urban mixed traffic. How an agent moves is affected by the various behaviors of its neighboring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-01-14 Hao Cheng , Wentong Liao , Michael Ying Yang , Bodo Rosenhahn , Monika Sester

Accurate motion prediction of surrounding traffic participants is crucial for the safe and efficient operation of automated vehicles in dynamic environments. Marginal prediction models commonly forecast each agent's future trajectories…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Fabian Konstantinidis , Ariel Dallari Guerreiro , Raphael Trumpp , Moritz Sackmann , Ulrich Hofmann , Marco Caccamo , Christoph Stiller

Predicting human motion behavior in a crowd is important for many applications, ranging from the natural navigation of autonomous vehicles to intelligent security systems of video surveillance. All the previous works model and predict the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-07 Rongqin Liang , Yuanman Li , Xia Li , yi tang , Jiantao Zhou , Wenbin Zou

A mixture of experts models the conditional density of a response variable using a mixture of regression models with covariate-dependent mixture weights. We extend the finite mixture of experts model by allowing the parameters in both the…

Computation · Statistics 2022-10-14 Parfait Munezero , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

Trajectory prediction plays a crucial role in autonomous driving. Existing mainstream research and continuoual learning-based methods all require training on complete datasets, leading to poor prediction accuracy when sudden changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-13 Pengfei Yao , Tianlu Mao , Min Shi , Jingkai Sun , Zhaoqi Wang

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is an essential component in a wide range of AI applications such as autonomous driving and robotics. Existing methods usually assume the training and testing motions follow the same pattern while ignoring…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-29 Yi Xu , Lichen Wang , Yizhou Wang , Yun Fu