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Penalized (or regularized) regression, as represented by Lasso and its variants, has become a standard technique for analyzing high-dimensional data when the number of variables substantially exceeds the sample size. The performance of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-13 Yunan Wu , Lan Wang

Many varieties of cross validation would be statistically appealing for the estimation of smoothing and other penalized regression hyperparameters, were it not for the high cost of evaluating such criteria. Here it is shown how to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-06 Simon N. Wood

The future predictive performance of a Bayesian model can be estimated using Bayesian cross-validation. In this article, we consider Gaussian latent variable models where the integration over the latent values is approximated using the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-09 Aki Vehtari , Tommi Mononen , Ville Tolvanen , Tuomas Sivula , Ole Winther

Despite its prevalence in statistical datasets, heteroscedasticity (non-constant sample variances) has been largely ignored in the high-dimensional statistics literature. Recently, studies have shown that the Lasso can accommodate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-31 James Sharpnack , Mladen Kolar

Beta regression is commonly employed when the outcome variable is a proportion. Since its conception, the approach has been widely used in applications spanning various scientific fields. A series of extensions have been proposed over time,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Niloofar Ramezani , Martin Slawski

The MDL two-part coding $ \textit{index of resolvability} $ provides a finite-sample upper bound on the statistical risk of penalized likelihood estimators over countable models. However, the bound does not apply to unpenalized maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-01 W. D. Brinda , Jason M. Klusowski

Large-scale empirical data, the sample size and the dimension are high, often exhibit various characteristics. For example, the noise term follows unknown distributions or the model is very sparse that the number of critical variables is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-06-18 Yuehan Yang , Hu Yang

We propose a new measure of variable importance in high-dimensional regression based on the change in the LASSO solution path when one covariate is left out. The proposed procedure provides a novel way to calculate variable importance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-11 Xiangyang Cao , Karl Gregory , Dewei Wang

We propose a test of many zero parameter restrictions in a high dimensional linear iid regression model with $k$ $>>$ $n$ regressors. The test statistic is formed by estimating key parameters one at a time based on many low dimension…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Jonathan B. Hill

Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis is widely used for evaluating diagnostic systems. Recent studies have shown that estimating an area under ROC curve (AUC) with standard cross-validation methods suffers from a large bias. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-25 Ileana Montoya Perez , Antti Airola , Peter J. Boström , Ivan Jambor , Tapio Pahikkala

I briefly report on some unexpected results that I obtained when optimizing the model parameters of the Lasso. In simulations with varying observations-to-variables ratio n=p, I typically observe a strong peak in the test error curve at the…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-04-29 Nicole Kraemer

When evaluating and comparing models using leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV), the uncertainty of the estimate is typically assessed using the variance of the sampling distribution. Considering the uncertainty is important, as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Tuomas Sivula , Måns Magnusson , Aki Vehtari

We derive information theoretic generalization bounds for supervised learning algorithms based on a new measure of leave-one-out conditional mutual information (loo-CMI). Contrary to other CMI bounds, which are black-box bounds that do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-04 Mohamad Rida Rammal , Alessandro Achille , Aditya Golatkar , Suhas Diggavi , Stefano Soatto

We consider the problem of fitting the parameters of a high-dimensional linear regression model. In the regime where the number of parameters $p$ is comparable to or exceeds the sample size $n$, a successful approach uses an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-04 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari

We derive high-dimensional Gaussian comparison results for the standard $V$-fold cross-validated risk estimates. Our results combine a recent stability-based argument for the low-dimensional central limit theorem of cross-validation with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-15 Nicholas Kissel , Jing Lei

Subject-exclusive cross-validation is the standard evaluation protocol for facial Action Unit (AU) detection, yet reported improvements are often small. We show that cross-validation itself introduces measurable stochastic variance. On…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Saurabh Hinduja , Gurmeet Kaur , Maneesh Bilalpur , Jeffrey Cohn , Shaun Canavan

This paper proposes a theory for $\ell_1$-norm penalized high-dimensional $M$-estimators, with nonconvex risk and unrestricted domain. Under high-level conditions, the estimators are shown to attain the rate of convergence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Jad Beyhum , François Portier

The lasso and related sparsity inducing algorithms have been the target of substantial theoretical and applied research. Correspondingly, many results are known about their behavior for a fixed or optimally chosen tuning parameter specified…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Darren Homrighausen , Daniel J. McDonald

We present a simple algorithm for identifying and correcting real-valued noisy labels from a mixture of clean and corrupted sample points using Gaussian process regression. A heteroscedastic noise model is employed, in which additive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-30 Yu-Hang Tang , Yuanran Zhu , Wibe A. de Jong

We propose leave-out estimators of quadratic forms designed for the study of linear models with unrestricted heteroscedasticity. Applications include analysis of variance and tests of linear restrictions in models with many regressors. An…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-28 Patrick Kline , Raffaele Saggio , Mikkel Sølvsten