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We consider the problem of predicting the covariance of a zero mean Gaussian vector, based on another feature vector. We describe a covariance predictor that has the form of a generalized linear model, i.e., an affine function of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-01 Shane Barratt , Stephen Boyd

We consider the eigenvalues of sample covariance matrices of the form $\mathcal{Q}=(\Sigma^{1/2}X)(\Sigma^{1/2}X)^*$. The sample $X$ is an $M\times N$ rectangular random matrix with real independent entries and the population covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-16 Jinwoong Kwak , Ji Oon Lee , Jaewhi Park

This note presents an analytic construction of the optimal unit-norm direction hat(x) = x/|x| that maximizes or minimizes the objective linear expression, B . hat(x), subject to a system of linear constraints of the form [A] . x = 0, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-09-23 John Ellis , Jae Sik Lee , Apostolos Pilaftsis

This work investigates the finite-horizon optimal covariance steering problem for discrete-time linear systems subject to both additive and multiplicative uncertainties as well as state and input chance constraints. In particular, a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-19 Jacob Knaup , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Instrumental variable models allow us to identify a causal function between covariates $X$ and a response $Y$, even in the presence of unobserved confounding. Most of the existing estimators assume that the error term in the response $Y$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-23 Sorawit Saengkyongam , Leonard Henckel , Niklas Pfister , Jonas Peters

We present an optimal transport framework for performing regression when both the covariate and the response are probability distributions on a compact Euclidean subset $\Omega\subset\mathbb{R}^d$, where $d>1$. Extending beyond compactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-05 Laya Ghodrati , Victor M. Panaretos

We consider a model selection estimator of the covariance of a random process. Using the Unbiased Risk Estimation (URE) method, we build an estimator of the risk which allows to select an estimator in a collection of model. Then, we present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-22 Hélène Lescornel , Jean-Michel Loubes , Claudie Chabriac

Sequential estimation of a probability $p$ by means of inverse binomial sampling is considered. For $\mu_1,\mu_2>1$ given, the accuracy of an estimator $\hat{p}$ is measured by the confidence level $P[p/\mu_2\leq\hat{p}\leq p\mu_1]$. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-12 Luis Mendo , José M. Hernando

We give the first polynomial-time, polynomial-sample, differentially private estimator for the mean and covariance of an arbitrary Gaussian distribution $\mathcal{N}(\mu,\Sigma)$ in $\mathbb{R}^d$. All previous estimators are either…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-15 Gautam Kamath , Argyris Mouzakis , Vikrant Singhal , Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to constructing unbiased estimators when computing expectations of path functionals associated with stochastic differential equations (SDEs). Our randomization idea is closely related to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-11 Chang-han Rhee , Peter W. Glynn

The use of massive survival data has become common in survival analysis. In this study, a subsampling algorithm is proposed for the Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates when the sample is extraordinarily large but…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-07 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Feng Xiao , Cunjie Lin , Yong Zhou

In the realm of high-dimensional data analysis, the estimation of covariance matrices is a fundamental task, and this holds true for interval-valued data as well. However, there is no unified definition for the covariance matrix of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Wan Tian , Wenhao Cui , Rui Zhang , Bingyi Jing , Yang Liu , Yijie Peng

Consider the task of matrix estimation in which a dataset $X \in \mathbb{R}^{n\times m}$ is observed with sparsity $p$, and we would like to estimate $\mathbb{E}[X]$, where $\mathbb{E}[X_{ui}] = f(\alpha_u, \beta_i)$ for some Holder smooth…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-28 Christina Lee Yu

When shrinking a covariance matrix towards (a multiple) of the identity matrix, the trace of the covariance matrix arises naturally as the optimal scaling factor for the identity target. The trace also appears in other context, for example…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Ansgar Steland

Testing uniformity on the $p$-dimensional unit sphere is arguably the most fundamental problem in directional statistics. In this paper, we consider this problem in the framework of axial data, that is, under the assumption that the $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-22 Christine Cutting , Davy Paindaveine , Thomas Verdebout

We extend conformal prediction methodology beyond the case of exchangeable data. In particular, we show that a weighted version of conformal prediction can be used to compute distribution-free prediction intervals for problems in which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-08 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Rina Foygel Barber , Emmanuel J. Candes , Aaditya Ramdas

We want to reconstruct a signal based on inhomogeneous data (the amount of data can vary strongly), using the model of regression with a random design. Our aim is to understand the consequences of inhomogeneity on the accuracy of estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Stéphane Gaiffas

We propose a nonconvex estimator for joint multivariate regression and precision matrix estimation in the high dimensional regime, under sparsity constraints. A gradient descent algorithm with hard thresholding is developed to solve the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-06-03 Jinghui Chen , Quanquan Gu

We investigate how to improve efficiency using regression adjustments with covariates in covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) with imperfect subject compliance. Our regression-adjusted estimators, which are based on the doubly robust…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-19 Liang Jiang , Oliver B. Linton , Haihan Tang , Yichong Zhang

In biometrics and related fields, the Cox proportional hazards model are widely used to analyze with covariate adjustment. However, when some covariates are not observed, an unbiased estimator usually cannot be obtained. Even if there are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Shunichiro Orihara