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We consider financial networks, where banks are connected by contracts such as debts or credit default swaps. We study the clearing problem in these systems: we want to know which banks end up in a default, and what portion of their…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-11-23 Pál András Papp , Roger Wattenhofer

The structure of many financial networks is protected by privacy and has to be inferred from aggregate observables. Here we consider one of the most successful network reconstruction methods, producing random graphs with desired link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-21 Andrea Gabrielli , Valentina Macchiati , Diego Garlaschelli

This paper introduces forward-looking measures of the network connectedness of fears in the financial system, arising due to the good and bad beliefs of market participants about uncertainty that spreads unequally across a network of banks.…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Jozef Barunik , Mattia Bevilacqua , Radu Tunaru

Financial networks help firms manage risk but also enable financial shocks to spread. Despite their importance, existing models of financial networks have several limitations. Prior works often consider a static network with a simple…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Akhil Jalan , Deepayan Chakrabarti , Purnamrita Sarkar

Systemic risk arises as a multi-layer network phenomenon. Layers represent direct financial exposures of various types, including interbank liabilities, derivative- or foreign exchange exposures. Another network layer of systemic risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-13 Anton Pichler , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

Networks are known to be prone to link failures. In this paper we set out to investigate how networks of varying connectivity patterns respond to different link failure schemes in terms of connectivity, clustering coefficient and shortest…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-08-14 Serdar Çolak , Hilmi Luş , Ali Rana Atılgan

Large scale networks delineating collective dynamics often exhibit cascading failures across nodes leading to a system-wide collapse. Prominent examples of such phenomena would include collapse on financial and economic networks.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-07 Sudarshan Kumar , Tiziana Di Matteo , Anindya S. Chakrabarti

We consider the average probability X of being informed on a gossip in a given social network. The network is modeled within the random graph theory of Erdos and Renyi. In this theory, a network is characterized by two parameters: the size…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 K. Malarz , Z. Szvetelszky , B. Szekfu , K. Kulakowski

The global financial system has become highly connected and complex. Has been proven in practice that existing models, measures and reports of financial risk fail to capture some important systemic dimensions. Only lately, advisory boards…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-12-07 Michalis Vafopoulos

Management of systemic risk in financial markets is traditionally associated with setting (higher) capital requirements for market participants. There are indications that while equity ratios have been increased massively since the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-16 Christian Diem , Anton Pichler , Stefan Thurner

We address the question of understanding the effect of the underlying network topology on the spread of a virus and the dissemination of information when users are mobile performing independent random walks on a graph. To this end we…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-20 M. Draief , A. Ganesh

Bayesian network models (Erdos Renyi, stochastic block models, random dot product graphs, graphons) are widely used in neuroscience, epidemiology, and the social sciences, yet real networks are sparse, heterogeneous, and exhibit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Marios Papamichalis , Regina Ruane , Simon Lunagomez , Swati Chandna

Exchange of resources among individual components of a system is fundamental to systems like a social network of humans and a network of cities and villages. For various reasons, the human society has come up with the notion of money as a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Harshit Agrawal , Ashwin Lahorkar , Snehal M. Shekatkar

Economic models with input-output networks assume that firm or sector (unit) growth is driven by a weighted sum of trade partners' growth and an independently-drawn idiosyncratic shock. I show that the idiosyncratic risk assumption in a…

General Economics · Economics 2022-08-03 Victor Sellemi

Node centrality is one of the most important and widely used concepts in the study of complex networks. Here, we extend the paradigm of node centrality in financial and economic networks to consider the changes of node "importance" produced…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-05 Paolo Bartesaghi , Michele Benzi , Gian Paolo Clemente , Rosanna Grassi , Ernesto Estrada

We consider a network of bank holdings, where every holding has two subsidiaries of different types. A subsidiary can trade with another holding's subsidiary of the same type. Holdings support their subsidiaries up to a certain level when…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-11 Maxim Bichuch , Nils Detering

Financial networks are typically estimated by applying standard time series analyses to price-based economic variables collected at low-frequency (e.g., daily or monthly stock returns or realized volatility). These networks are used for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-09 Kara Karpman , Sumanta Basu , David Easley

This paper studies how shocks to global banks' net worth transmit to Emerging Market Economies. Using the identification strategy of Ottonello and Song (2022), which isolates high-frequency surprises to banks' credit supply capacity, we…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-02 Luis Rodrigo Arnabal , Santiago Camara , Cecilia Dassatti

We consider the problem of determining the proportion of edges that are discovered in an Erdos-Renyi graph when one constructs all shortest paths from a given source node to all other nodes. This problem is equivalent to the one of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Vincent D. Blondel , Jean-Loup Guillaume , Julien M. Hendrickx , Raphael M. Jungers

We analyze random networks that change over time. First we analyze a dynamic Erdos-Renyi model, whose edges change over time. We describe its stationary distribution, its convergence thereto, and the SI contact process on the network, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Benjamin Armbruster , John Gunnar Carlsson
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