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Multicalibration is a notion of fairness for predictors that requires them to provide calibrated predictions across a large set of protected groups. Multicalibration is known to be a distinct goal than loss minimization, even for simple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Jarosław Błasiok , Parikshit Gopalan , Lunjia Hu , Adam Tauman Kalai , Preetum Nakkiran

High-quality data is crucial for the success of machine learning, but labeling large datasets is often a time-consuming and costly process. While semi-supervised learning can help mitigate the need for labeled data, label quality remains an…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Lars Schmarje , Vasco Grossmann , Tim Michels , Jakob Nazarenus , Monty Santarossa , Claudius Zelenka , Reinhard Koch

While reliable data-driven decision-making hinges on high-quality labeled data, the acquisition of quality labels often involves laborious human annotations or slow and expensive scientific measurements. Machine learning is becoming an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-01 Tijana Zrnic , Emmanuel J. Candès

Evaluation of clinical prediction models across multiple clusters, whether centers or datasets, is becoming increasingly common. A comprehensive evaluation includes an assessment of the agreement between the estimated risks and the observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-22 Lasai Barreñada , Bavo D. C. Campo , Laure Wynants , Ben Van Calster

Multicalibration [HJKRR18] is an algorithmic fairness perspective that demands that the predictions of a predictor are correct conditional on themselves and membership in a collection of potentially overlapping subgroups of a population.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-10 Lunjia Hu , Haipeng Luo , Spandan Senapati , Vatsal Sharan

We investigate the problem of multiclass classification with rejection, where a classifier can choose not to make a prediction to avoid critical misclassification. First, we consider an approach based on simultaneous training of a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-31 Chenri Ni , Nontawat Charoenphakdee , Junya Honda , Masashi Sugiyama

Model calibration seeks to ensure that models produce confidence scores that accurately reflect the true likelihood of their predictions being correct. However, existing calibration approaches are fundamentally tied to datasets of one-hot…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Haoyang Luo , Linwei Tao , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Deep metric learning has gained promising improvement in recent years following the success of deep learning. It has been successfully applied to problems in few-shot learning, image retrieval, and open-set classifications. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Maryna Karpusha , Sunghee Yun , Istvan Fehervari

We provide another look at the statistical calibration problem in computer models. This viewpoint is inspired by two overarching practical considerations of computer models: (i) many computer models are inadequate for perfectly modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-26 Xiaowu Dai , Peter Chien

Probability predictions are essential to inform decision making across many fields. Ideally, probability predictions are (i) well calibrated, (ii) accurate, and (iii) bold, i.e., spread out enough to be informative for decision making.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-07 Adeline P. Guthrie , Christopher T. Franck

We study a variant of Collaborative PAC Learning, in which we aim to learn an accurate classifier for each of the $n$ data distributions, while minimizing the number of samples drawn from them in total. Unlike in the usual collaborative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Yuyang Deng , Mingda Qiao

In this paper we refine the process of computing calibration functions for a number of multiclass classification surrogate losses. Calibration functions are a powerful tool for easily converting bounds for the surrogate risk (which can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-22 Bernardo Ávila Pires , Csaba Szepesvári

Sequence generation models are increasingly being used to translate natural language into programs, i.e. to perform executable semantic parsing. The fact that semantic parsing aims to predict programs that can lead to executed actions in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-07-10 Elias Stengel-Eskin , Benjamin Van Durme

As artificial intelligence systems move toward clinical deployment, ensuring reliable prediction behavior is fundamental for safety-critical decision-making tasks. One proposed safeguard is selective prediction, where models can defer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 L. Julián Lechuga López , Farah E. Shamout , Tim G. J. Rudner

We consider multi-label prediction problems with large output spaces under the assumption of output sparsity -- that the target (label) vectors have small support. We develop a general theory for a variant of the popular error correcting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2009-06-02 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , John Langford , Tong Zhang

Multicalibration requires predicted scores to agree with label probabilities across rich families of subgroups and score-dependent tests, but existing methods require clean input-label pairs for evaluation and post-processing. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Futoshi Futami , Takashi Ishida

We study several questions in the reliable agnostic learning framework of Kalai et al. (2009), which captures learning tasks in which one type of error is costlier than others. A positive reliable classifier is one that makes no false…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-02-25 Varun Kanade , Justin Thaler

Noise-tolerant PAC learning of linear models has been of central interests in machine learning community since the last century. In recent years, many computationally-efficient algorithms have been proposed for the problem of learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-19 Rita Adhikari , Shiwei Zeng

We introduce and study Swap Agnostic Learning. The problem can be phrased as a game between a predictor and an adversary: first, the predictor selects a hypothesis $h$; then, the adversary plays in response, and for each level set of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-23 Parikshit Gopalan , Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold

To be considered reliable, a model must be calibrated so that its confidence in each decision closely reflects its true outcome. In this blogpost we'll take a look at the most commonly used definition for calibration and then dive into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Maja Pavlovic
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