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The predict-then-optimize (PTO) framework is a standard approach in data-driven decision-making, where a decision-maker first estimates an unknown parameter from historical data and then uses this estimate to solve an optimization problem.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Michael Albert , Max Biggs , Ningyuan Chen , Guan Wang

Prediction deviations of different uncertainties have varying impacts on downstream decision-making. Improving the prediction accuracy of critical uncertainties with significant impacts on decision-making quality yields better optimization…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-17 Yingrui Zhuang , Lin Cheng , Can Wan , Rui Xie , Ning Qi , Yue Chen

Time series forecasting underpins vital decision-making across various sectors, yet raw predictions from sophisticated models often harbor systematic errors and biases. We examine the Forecast-Then-Optimize (FTO) framework, pioneering its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Jinhang Jiang , Nan Wu , Ben Liu , Mei Feng , Xin Ji , Karthik Srinivasan

Learning to Rank (LTR) is one of the most widely used machine learning applications. It is a key component in platforms with profound societal impacts, including job search, healthcare information retrieval, and social media content feeds.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-09 My H. Dinh , James Kotary , Ferdinando Fioretto

Improving the fairness of machine learning models is a nuanced task that requires decision makers to reason about multiple, conflicting criteria. The majority of fair machine learning methods transform the error-fairness trade-off into a…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-04-25 William G. La Cava

Many real-world decision processes are modeled by optimization problems whose defining parameters are unknown and must be inferred from observable data. The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Christopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

The study of online algorithms with machine-learned predictions has gained considerable prominence in recent years. One of the common objectives in the design and analysis of such algorithms is to attain (Pareto) optimal tradeoffs between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Spyros Angelopoulos , Christoph Dürr , Alex Elenter , Yanni Lefki

In the application of machine learning to real-life decision-making systems, e.g., credit scoring and criminal justice, the prediction outcomes might discriminate against people with sensitive attributes, leading to unfairness. The commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-21 Suyun Liu , Luis Nunes Vicente

The Predict-Then-Optimize framework uses machine learning models to predict unknown parameters of an optimization problem from exogenous features before solving. This setting is common to many real-world decision processes, and recently it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 James Kotary , Vincenzo Di Vito , Jacob Cristopher , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Ferdinando Fioretto

When some parameters of a constrained optimization problem (COP) are uncertain, this gives rise to a predict-then-optimize (PtO) problem, comprising two stages: the prediction of the unknown parameters from contextual information and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Jayanta Mandi , Marianne Defresne , Senne Berden , Tias Guns

Combinatorial optimization assumes that all parameters of the optimization problem, e.g. the weights in the objective function is fixed. Often, these weights are mere estimates and increasingly machine learning techniques are used to for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-25 Jaynta Mandi , Emir Demirović , Peter. J Stuckey , Tias Guns

We investigate an optimization problem in a queueing system where the service provider selects the optimal service fee p and service capacity \mu to maximize the cumulative expected profit (the service revenue minus the capacity cost and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Xinyun Chen , Guiyu Hong , Yunan Liu

Real-world problems are often multi-objective with decision-makers unable to specify a priori which trade-off between the conflicting objectives is preferable. Intuitively, building machine learning solutions in such cases would entail…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Timo M. Deist , Monika Grewal , Frank J. W. M. Dankers , Tanja Alderliesten , Peter A. N. Bosman

The predict-then-optimize (PTO) framework is indispensable for addressing practical stochastic decision-making tasks. It consists of two crucial steps: initially predicting unknown parameters of an optimization model and subsequently…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-11-20 Jixian Liu , Tao Xu , Jianping He , Chongrong Fang

Multi-objective optimization (MOO) problems require balancing competing objectives, often under constraints. The Pareto optimal solution set defines all possible optimal trade-offs over such objectives. In this work, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-19 Soumyajit Gupta , Gurpreet Singh , Raghu Bollapragada , Matthew Lease

Improvements in return forecast accuracy do not always lead to proportional improvements in portfolio decision quality, especially under realistic trading frictions and constraints. This paper adopts the Smart Predict--then--Optimize (SPO)…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-13 Wang Yi , Takashi Hasuike

Many real-world analytics problems involve two significant challenges: prediction and optimization. Due to the typically complex nature of each challenge, the standard paradigm is predict-then-optimize. By and large, machine learning tools…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Adam N. Elmachtoub , Paul Grigas

Deep learning models form one of the most powerful machine learning models for the extraction of important features. Most of the designs of deep neural models, i.e., the initialization of parameters, are still manually tuned. Hence,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-18 Mrittika Chakraborty , Wreetbhas Pal , Sanghamitra Bandyopadhyay , Ujjwal Maulik

End-to-end learning has become a widely applicable and studied problem in training predictive ML models to be aware of their impact on downstream decision-making tasks. These end-to-end models often outperform traditional methods that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-19 Rares Cristian , Pavithra Harsha , Georgia Perakis , Brian Quanz

Multi-objective optimization (MOO) problems are prevalent in machine learning. These problems have a set of optimal solutions, called the Pareto front, where each point on the front represents a different trade-off between possibly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Aviv Navon , Aviv Shamsian , Gal Chechik , Ethan Fetaya
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