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Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) describe dynamical systems evolving deterministically in continuous time. Accurate data-driven modeling of systems as ODEs, a central problem across the natural sciences, remains challenging,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Maximilian Mauel , Manuel Hinz , Patrick Seifner , David Berghaus , Ramses J. Sanchez

System inference for nonlinear dynamic models, represented by ordinary differential equations (ODEs), remains a significant challenge in many fields, particularly when the data are noisy, sparse, or partially observable. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Hyunwoo Cho , Hyeontae Jo , Hyung Ju Hwang

Real-world sensing challenges such as sensor failures, communication issues, and power constraints lead to data intermittency. An issue that is known to undermine the traditional classification task that assumes a continuous data stream.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Abdelwahed Khamis , Sara Khalifa

Missing data is a relevant issue in time series, especially in biomedical sequences such as those corresponding to smooth pursuit eye movements, which often contain gaps due to eye blinks and track losses, complicating the analysis and…

Handling missing data in time series is a complex problem due to the presence of temporal dependence. General-purpose imputation methods, while widely used, often distort key statistical properties of the data, such as variance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Guilherme Pumi , Taiane Schaedler Prass , Douglas Krauthein Verdum

We develop a numerical method to reconstruct systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from time series data without {\it a priori} knowledge of the underlying ODEs using sparse basis learning and sparse function reconstruction. We…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-05-19 Manuel Mai , Mark D. Shattuck , Corey S. O'Hern

As power systems transition toward renewable-rich and inverter-dominated operations, accurate time-domain dynamic analysis becomes increasingly critical. Such analysis supports key operational tasks, including transient stability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-17 Haoran Li , Lihao Mai , Chenhan Xiao , Erik Blasch , Yang Weng

To derive the hidden dynamics from observed data is one of the fundamental but also challenging problems in many different fields. In this study, we propose a new type of interpretable network called the ordinary differential equation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Pipi Hu , Wuyue Yang , Yi Zhu , Liu Hong

Time-series forecasting is a challenging problem that traditionally requires specialized models custom-trained for the specific task at hand. Recently, inspired by the success of large language models, foundation models pre-trained on vast…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Yuanzhao Zhang , William Gilpin

Informative missingness is unavoidable in the digital processing of continuous time series, where the value for one or more observations at different time points are missing. Such missing observations are one of the major limitations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-22 Mansura Habiba , Barak A. Pearlmutter

Learning models of dynamical systems with external inputs, which may be, for example, nonsmooth or piecewise, is crucial for studying complex phenomena and predicting future state evolution, which is essential for applications such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Zhaoyi Li , Wenjie Mei , Ke Yu , Yang Bai , Shihua Li

In the traditional framework of spectral learning of stochastic time series models, model parameters are estimated based on trajectories of fully recorded observations. However, real-world time series data often contain missing values, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-22 Tianlin Liu

We introduce a flexible, scalable Bayesian inference framework for nonlinear dynamical systems characterised by distinct and hierarchical variability at the individual, group, and population levels. Our model class is a generalisation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-03 Geoffrey Roeder , Paul K. Grant , Andrew Phillips , Neil Dalchau , Edward Meeds

Time series are all around in real-world applications. However, unexpected accidents for example broken sensors or missing of the signals will cause missing values in time series, making the data hard to be utilized. It then does harm to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Chenguang Fang , Chen Wang

We provide a method to identify system parameters of dynamical systems, called ID-ODE -- Inference by Differentiation and Observing Delay Embeddings. In this setting, we are given a dataset of trajectories from a dynamical system with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-17 Alex Tong Lin , Adrian S. Wong , Robert Martin , Stanley J. Osher , Daniel Eckhardt

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

Neural ODEs (NODEs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling time series data, offering the flexibility to adapt to varying input scales and capture complex dynamics. However, they face significant challenges: first, their reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Muhao Guo , Yang Weng

Modeling the evolution of system with time-series data is a challenging and critical task in a wide range of fields, especially when the time-series data is regularly sampled and partially observable. Some methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Mengbang Zou , Weisi Guo

Dynamical systems modeling is a core pillar of scientific inquiry across natural and life sciences. Increasingly, dynamical system models are learned from data, rendering identifiability a paramount concept. For systems that are not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Cecilia Casolo , Sören Becker , Niki Kilbertus

A theoretical framework that supports automated construction of dynamic prime models purely from experimental time series data has been invented and developed, which can automatically generate (construct) data-driven models of any time…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-12 Michael A. Idowu
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