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A foundation model like GPT elicits many emergent abilities, owing to the pre-training with broad inclusion of data and the use of the powerful Transformer architecture. While foundation models in natural languages are prevalent, can we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Ziyuan Tang , Jie Chen

Multivariate time series forecasting, which analyzes historical time series to predict future trends, can effectively help decision-making. Complex relations among variables in MTS, including static, dynamic, predictable, and latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Yueyang Wang , Ziheng Duan , Yida Huang , Haoyan Xu , Jie Feng , Anni Ren

In recent years, there has been a rapid development of spatio-temporal prediction techniques in response to the increasing demands of traffic management and travel planning. While advanced end-to-end models have achieved notable success in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-09 Zhonghang Li , Lianghao Xia , Yong Xu , Chao Huang

Learning time-series representations for discriminative tasks, such as classification and regression, has been a long-standing challenge in the healthcare domain. Current pre-training methods are limited in either unidirectional next-token…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Ziyang Song , Qincheng Lu , He Zhu , David Buckeridge , Yue Li

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

Multivariate time series (MTS) analysis prevails in real-world applications such as finance, climate science and healthcare. The various self-attention mechanisms, the backbone of the state-of-the-art Transformer-based models, efficiently…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Quang Minh Nguyen , Lam M. Nguyen , Subhro Das

The key problem in multivariate time series (MTS) analysis and forecasting aims to disclose the underlying couplings between variables that drive the co-movements. Considerable recent successful MTS methods are built with graph neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Kun Yi , Qi Zhang , Liang Hu , Hui He , Ning An , LongBing Cao , ZhenDong Niu

This paper addresses the problem of multi-step time series forecasting for non-stationary signals that can present sudden changes. Current state-of-the-art deep learning forecasting methods, often trained with variants of the MSE, lack the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-18 Vincent Le Guen , Nicolas Thome

Time series underwent the transition from statistics to deep learning, as did many other machine learning fields. Although it appears that the accuracy has been increasing as the model is updated in a number of publicly available datasets,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-16 Gedi Liu , Yifeng Jiang , Yi Ouyang , Keyang Zhong , Yang Wang

Effectively modeling time information and incorporating it into applications or models involving chronologically occurring events is crucial. Real-world scenarios often involve diverse and complex time patterns, which pose significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-15 Xi Chen , Yateng Tang , Jiarong Xu , Jiawei Zhang , Siwei Zhang , Sijia Peng , Xuehao Zheng , Yun Xiong

Spatio-Temporal video grounding (STVG) focuses on retrieving the spatio-temporal tube of a specific object depicted by a free-form textual expression. Existing approaches mainly treat this complicated task as a parallel frame-grounding…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-12-02 Yang Jin , Yongzhi Li , Zehuan Yuan , Yadong Mu

The Transformer is a highly successful deep learning model that has revolutionised the world of artificial neural networks, first in natural language processing and later in computer vision. This model is based on the attention mechanism…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Riccardo Ughi , Eugenio Lomurno , Matteo Matteucci

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has a wide range of applications in both industry and academia. Recently, spatial-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have gained popularity as MTS forecasting methods. However, current STGNNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Huiliang Zhang , Ping Nie , Lijun Sun , Benoit Boulet

This work presents a generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) designed for modeling financial time series. The GPT functions as an order generation engine within a discrete event simulator, enabling realistic replication of limit order book…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-26 Aaron Wheeler , Jeffrey D. Varner

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder, and decoder-only designs, raise a crucial question: What…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

Encoder-decoder deep neural networks have been increasingly studied for multi-horizon time series forecasting, especially in real-world applications. However, to forecast accurately, these sophisticated models typically rely on a large…

Transformers have demonstrated impressive strength in long-term series forecasting. Existing prediction research mostly focused on mapping past short sub-series (lookback window) to future series (forecast window). The longer training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Julong Young , Junhui Chen , Feihu Huang , Jian Peng

Effective resource allocation in higher education depends on reliable enrolment forecasts, yet institutional planners frequently face data series disrupted by structural shifts. This paper investigates whether zero-shot Time Series…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Jittarin Jetwiriyanon , Teo Susnjak , Surangika Ranathunga

Graph Transformers (GTs) have recently demonstrated remarkable performance across diverse domains. By leveraging attention mechanisms, GTs are capable of modeling long-range dependencies and complex structural relationships beyond local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Jiachen Tang , Zhonghao Wang , Sirui Chen , Sheng Zhou , Jiawei Chen , Jiajun Bu

The scaling of model and data sizes has reshaped the AI landscape, establishing finetuning pretrained models as the standard paradigm for solving downstream tasks. However, dominant finetuning methods typically rely on weight adaptation,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Leyang Hu , Matteo Gamba , Randall Balestriero
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