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Deployed supervised machine learning models make predictions that interact with and influence the world. This phenomenon is called performative prediction by Perdomo et al. (ICML 2020). It is an ongoing challenge to understand the influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Gavin Brown , Shlomi Hod , Iden Kalemaj

The widespread use of deep neural networks has achieved substantial success in many tasks. However, there still exists a huge gap between the operating mechanism of deep learning models and human-understandable decision making, so that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-03-08 Xiaowei Zhou , Jie Yin , Ivor Tsang , Chen Wang

We propose new ensemble models for multivariate functional data classification as combinations of semi-metric-based weak learners. Our models extend current semi-metric-type methods from the univariate to the multivariate case, propose new…

Particularly in low-data regimes, an outstanding challenge in machine learning is developing principled techniques for augmenting our models with suitable priors. This is to encourage them to learn in ways that are compatible with our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Kristy Choi , Chris Cundy , Sanjari Srivastava , Stefano Ermon

In this chapter, we present the main classic machine learning methods. A large part of the chapter is devoted to supervised learning techniques for classification and regression, including nearest-neighbor methods, linear and logistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Johann Faouzi , Olivier Colliot

It is typical for a machine learning system to have numerous hyperparameters that affect its learning rate and prediction quality. Finding a good combination of the hyperparameters is, however, a challenging job. This is mainly because…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-08 Dobromir Marinov , Daniel Karapetyan

Machine learning (ML) approaches are used more and more widely in biodiversity monitoring. In particular, an important application is the problem of predicting biodiversity indicators such as species abundance, species occurrence or species…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-18 Geneviève Robin , Cathia Le Hasif

In traditional machine learning techniques, the degree of closeness between true and predicted values generally measures the quality of predictions. However, these learning algorithms do not consider prescription problems where the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Mehmet Kolcu , Alper E. Murat

The evaluation of supervised machine learning models is a critical stage in the development of reliable predictive systems. Despite the widespread availability of machine learning libraries and automated workflows, model assessment is often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Xuanyan Liu , Ignacio Cabrera Martin , Marcello Trovati , Xiaolong Xu , Nikolaos Polatidis

Selective inference aims at providing valid inference after a data-driven selection of models or hypotheses. It is essential to avoid overconfident results and replicability issues. While significant advances have been made in this area for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-14 Matteo D'Alessandro , Magne Thoresen

We consider the on-line predictive version of the standard problem of linear regression; the goal is to predict each consecutive response given the corresponding explanatory variables and all the previous observations. We are mainly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-22 Vladimir Vovk , Ilia Nouretdinov , Alex Gammerman

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Estimating population quantities such as mean outcomes from user feedback is fundamental to platform evaluation and social science, yet feedback is often missing not at random (MNAR): users with stronger opinions are more likely to respond,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-19 Hongyu Chen , David Simchi-Levi , Ruoxuan Xiong

When multitudes of features can plausibly be associated with a response, both privacy considerations and model parsimony suggest grouping them to increase the predictive power of a regression model. Specifically, the identification of…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Brandon Woosuk Park , Anand N. Vidyashankar , Tucker S. McElroy

Scientific knowledge expands by observing the world, hypothesizing some theories about it, and testing them against collected data. When those theories take the form of statistical models, statistical analyses are involved in the process of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-11 Arnaud Delaunoy

Most machine learning techniques are based upon statistical learning theory, often simplified for the sake of computing speed. This paper is focused on the uncertainty aspect of mathematical modeling in machine learning. Regression analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Valentin Arkov

In this article, we propose a new algorithm for supervised learning methods, by which one can both capture the non-linearity in data and also find the best subset model. To produce an enhanced subset of the original variables, an ideal…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-23 Peyman Tavallali , Marianne Razavi , Sean Brady

Smart surveys are surveys that make use of sensors and machine intelligence to reduce respondent burden and increase data quality. Smart surveys have been tests as a way to improve diary surveys in official statistics, where data are…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Danielle Mccool , Peter Lugtig , Bella Struminskaya

Student performance prediction is a critical research problem to understand the students' needs, present proper learning opportunities/resources, and develop the teaching quality. However, traditional machine learning methods fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-23 Yinkai Wang , Aowei Ding , Kaiyi Guan , Shixi Wu , Yuanqi Du

Sample surveys are widely used to obtain information about totals, means, medians, and other parameters of finite populations. In many applications, similar information is desired for subpopulations such as individuals in specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-30 Jiahua Chen , Yukun Liu