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We develop non-asymptotically justified methods for hypothesis testing about the $p-$dimensional coefficients $\theta^{*}$ in (possibly nonlinear) regression models. Given a function $h:\,\mathbb{R}^{p}\mapsto\mathbb{R}^{m}$, we consider…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-01 Ying Zhu

Null Hypothesis Significance Testing (NHST) has long been central to the scientific project, guiding theory development and supporting evidence-based intervention and decision-making. Recent years, however, have seen growing awareness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-16 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

The composite binary hypothesis testing problem within the Neyman-Pearson framework is considered. The goal is to maximize the expectation of a nonlinear function of the detection probability, integrated with respect to a given probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-26 Yanglei Song , Berkan Dulek , Sinan Gezici

Predictive inference is a fundamental task in statistics, traditionally addressed using parametric assumptions about the data distribution and detailed analyses of how models learn from data. In recent years, conformal prediction has…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-26 Matteo Sesia , Stefano Favaro

We propose a general framework for constructing powerful, sequential hypothesis tests for a large class of nonparametric testing problems. The null hypothesis for these problems is defined in an abstract form using the action of two known…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-31 Teodora Pandeva , Patrick Forré , Aaditya Ramdas , Shubhanshu Shekhar

We discuss the so-called "simplifying assumption" of conditional copulas in a general framework. We introduce several tests of the latter assumption for non- and semiparametric copula models. Some related test procedures based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Alexis Derumigny , Jean-David Fermanian

Refining one's hypotheses in the light of data is a common scientific practice; however, the dependency on the data introduces selection bias and can lead to specious statistical analysis. An approach for addressing this is via conditioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-03 Jen Ning Lim , Makoto Yamada , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yoshikazu Terada , Shigeyuki Matsui , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Current statistical inference problems in areas like astronomy, genomics, and marketing routinely involve the simultaneous testing of thousands -- even millions -- of null hypotheses. For high-dimensional multivariate distributions, these…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-25 Weixin Cai , Nima S. Hejazi , Alan E. Hubbard

In cell biology, statistical analysis means testing the hypothesis that there was no effect. This weak form of hypothesis testing neglects effect size, is universally misinterpreted, and is disastrously prone to error when combined with…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-05-13 Josh L. Morgan

I present a critique of the methods used in a typical paper. This leads to three broad conclusions about the conventional use of statistical methods. First, results are often reported in an unnecessarily obscure manner. Second, the null…

Applications · Statistics 2013-03-05 Michael Wood

Clustering is part of unsupervised analysis methods that consist in grouping samples into homogeneous and separate subgroups of observations also called clusters. To interpret the clusters, statistical hypothesis testing is often used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Benjamin Hivert , Denis Agniel , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Boris P Hejblum

We discuss the role that the null hypothesis should play in the construction of a test statistic used to make a decision about that hypothesis. To construct the test statistic for a point null hypothesis about a binomial proportion, a…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-07-14 Jennifer A. Sinnott , Steven N. MacEachern , Mario Peruggia

In this paper, we investigate the hypothesis testing problem that checks whether part of covariates / confounders significantly affect the heterogeneous treatment effect given all covariates. This model checking is particularly useful in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-24 Niwen Zhou , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Statistical hypothesis testing, as formalized by 20th Century statisticians and taught in college statistics courses, has been a cornerstone of 100 years of scientific progress. Nevertheless, the methodology is increasingly questioned in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Brian Dennis , Mark L Taper , José M Ponciano

The issue addressed in this paper is that of testing for common breaks across or within equations of a multivariate system. Our framework is very general and allows integrated regressors and trends as well as stationary regressors. The null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-12 Tatsushi Oka , Pierre Perron

This article extends the hypotheses assessment method to the case with two competing simple hypotheses. In doing so we further clarify the benefits that hypotheses assessments can bring to classical statistical analyses. Given that…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-25 Graham N. Bornholt

Model misspecification can create significant challenges for the implementation of probabilistic models, and this has led to development of a range of robust methods which directly account for this issue. However, whether these more…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-22 Oscar Key , Arthur Gretton , François-Xavier Briol , Tamara Fernandez

In applied settings, tests of hypothesis where a nuisance parameter is only identifiable under the alternative often reduces into one of Testing One Hypothesis Multiple times (TOHM). Specifically, a fine discretization of the space of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , David A. van Dyk

Sequential hypothesis testing asks for decision rules that update as data arrive. A natural goal is \emph{eventual correctness}: the rule may change its mind early on, but it should make only finitely many wrong decisions almost surely.…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Amir Leshem

Compositionality supports the manipulation of large systems by working on their components. For model-based testing, this means that large systems can be tested by modelling and testing their components: passing tests for all components…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-08-01 Gijs van Cuyck , Lars van Arragon , Jan Tretmans