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This paper introduces an innovative application of Large Event Models (LEMs), akin to Large Language Models, to the domain of soccer analytics. By learning the language of soccer - predicting variables for subsequent events rather than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Tiago Mendes-Neves , Luís Meireles , João Mendes-Moreira

Traditional video-based tasks like soccer action spotting rely heavily on visual inputs, often requiring complex and computationally expensive models to process dense video data. We propose a shift from this video-centric approach to a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Ritabrata Chakraborty , Rajatsubhra Chakraborty , Avijit Dasgupta , Sandeep Chaurasia

Soccer attracts the attention of many researchers and professionals in the sports industry. Therefore, the incorporation of science into the sport is constantly growing, with increasing investments in performance analysis and sports…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Eduardo Alves Baratela , Felipe Jordão Xavier , Thomas Peron , Paulino Ribeiro Villas-Boas , Francisco Aparecido Rodrigues

Forecasting future events is important for policy and decision making. In this work, we study whether language models (LMs) can forecast at the level of competitive human forecasters. Towards this goal, we develop a retrieval-augmented LM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Danny Halawi , Fred Zhang , Chen Yueh-Han , Jacob Steinhardt

Advances in deep learning systems have allowed large models to match or surpass human accuracy on a number of skills such as image classification, basic programming, and standardized test taking. As the performance of the most capable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Sarah Pratt , Seth Blumberg , Pietro Kreitlon Carolino , Meredith Ringel Morris

The deployment of robots into human scenarios necessitates advanced planning strategies, particularly when we ask robots to operate in dynamic, unstructured environments. RoboCup offers the chance to deploy robots in one of those scenarios,…

This paper employs a Bayesian methodology to predict the results of soccer matches in real-time. Using sequential data of various events throughout the match, we utilize a multinomial probit regression in a novel framework to estimate the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-17 Chinmay Divekar , Soudeep Deb , Rishideep Roy

In the constantly changing field of data-driven decision making, accurately predicting future events is crucial for strategic planning in various sectors. The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) marks a significant advancement in this…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-10 Tommaso Soru , Jim Marshall

Machine learning has become a common approach to predicting the outcomes of soccer matches, and the body of literature in this domain has grown substantially in the past decade and a half. This chapter discusses available datasets, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Rory Bunker , Calvin Yeung , Keisuke Fujii

Large language models have shown astonishing performance on a wide range of reasoning tasks. In this paper, we investigate whether they could reason about real-world events and help improve the prediction performance of event sequence…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Xiaoming Shi , Siqiao Xue , Kangrui Wang , Fan Zhou , James Y. Zhang , Jun Zhou , Chenhao Tan , Hongyuan Mei

This paper investigates models of event implications. Specifically, how well models predict entity state-changes, by targeting their understanding of physical attributes. Nominally, Large Language models (LLM) have been exposed to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-11-11 Evangelia Spiliopoulou , Artidoro Pagnoni , Yonatan Bisk , Eduard Hovy

Predicting future events is an important activity with applications across multiple fields and domains. For example, the capacity to foresee stock market trends, natural disasters, business developments, or political events can facilitate…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-01-13 Petraq Nako , Adam Jatowt

Past work has studied event prediction and event language modeling, sometimes mediated through structured representations of knowledge in the form of event schemas. Such schemas can lead to explainable predictions and forecasting of unseen…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-05-25 Anisha Gunjal , Greg Durrett

In this paper, we present a new application-focused benchmark dataset and results from a set of baseline Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning models for prediction of match outcomes for games of football (soccer). By doing so we…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-12-09 Ryan Beal , Stuart E. Middleton , Timothy J. Norman , Sarvapali D. Ramchurn

Predicting the results of soccer matches is of great interest. This is not only due to the popularity of the sport and the joy of private "betting rounds", but also due to the large sports betting market. Where previously expert knowledge…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Mirko Fischer , Andreas Heuer

Event sequence models have been found to be highly effective in the analysis and prediction of events. Building such models requires availability of abundant high-quality event sequence data. In certain applications, however, clean…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-07-03 Somin Wadhwa , Oktie Hassanzadeh , Debarun Bhattacharjya , Ken Barker , Jian Ni

Forecasting sporting events encapsulate a compelling intellectual endeavor, underscored by the substantial financial activity of an estimated $80 billion wagered in global sports betting during 2022, a trend that grows yearly. Motivated by…

Salient facts of sociopolitical events are distilled into quadruples following a format of subject, relation, object, and timestamp. Machine learning methods, such as graph neural networks (GNNs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs), have…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Libo Zhang , Yue Ning

Many recent papers have studied the development of superforecaster-level event forecasting LLMs. While methodological problems with early studies cast doubt on the use of LLMs for event forecasting, recent studies with improved evaluation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-28 Sang-Woo Lee , Sohee Yang , Donghyun Kwak , Noah Y. Siegel

The automatic detection of events in sport videos has im-portant applications for data analytics, as well as for broadcasting andmedia companies. This paper presents a comprehensive approach for de-tecting a wide range of complex events in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-06-23 Lia Morra , Francesco Manigrasso , Giuseppe Canto , Claudio Gianfrate , Enrico Guarino , Fabrizio Lamberti
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