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Irregular multivariate time series impose a trade-off for long-horizon forecasting: discrete methods can distort temporal structure via re-gridding, while continuous-time models often require sequential solvers prone to drift. To bridge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Zinuo You , Jin Zheng , John Cartlidge

We propose a randomized version of the non-local means (NLM) algorithm for large-scale image filtering. The new algorithm, called Monte Carlo non-local means (MCNLM), speeds up the classical NLM by computing a small subset of image patch…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-06-18 Stanley H. Chan , Todd Zickler , Yue M. Lu

We introduce an auxiliary technique, called residual nudging, to the particle filter to enhance its performance in cases that it performs poorly. The main idea of residual nudging is to monitor, and if necessary, adjust the residual norm of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-06-03 Xiaodong Luo , Ibrahim Hoteit

Laplace approximation is a very useful tool in Bayesian inference and it claims a nearly Gaussian behavior of the posterior. \cite{SpLaplace2022} established some rather accurate finite sample results about the quality of Laplace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Vladimir Spokoiny

Current Lagrangian (particle-tracking) algorithms used to simulate diffusion-reaction equations must employ a certain number of particles to properly emulate the system dynamics---particularly for imperfectly-mixed systems. The number of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-03-08 Michael Schmidt , Stephen Pankavich , David Benson

Consider a real-valued function that can only be observed with stochastic noise at a finite set of design points within a Euclidean space. We wish to determine whether there exists a convex function that goes through the true function…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-07-30 Nanjing Jian , Shane G. Henderson

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-21 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

We develop variational Laplace for Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) which exploits a local approximation of the curvature of the likelihood to estimate the ELBO without the need for stochastic sampling of the neural-network weights. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-11 Ali Unlu , Laurence Aitchison

A rectangular grid formed by liquid filaments on a partially wetting substrate evolves in a series of breakups leading to arrays of drops with different shapes distributed in a rather regular bidimensional pattern. Our study is focused on…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-10-25 Ingrith Cuellar , Pablo D. Ravazzoli , Javier A. Diez , Alejandro G. González

The task of using machine learning to approximate the mapping $\mathbf{x}\mapsto\sum_{i=1}^d x_i^2$ with $x_i\in[-1,1]$ seems to be a trivial one. Given the knowledge of the separable structure of the function, one can design a sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Jiefu Zhang , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez , Yuan Yao , Lin Lin

We introduce an efficient numerical implementation of a Markov Chain Monte Carlo method to sample a probability distribution on a manifold (introduced theoretically in Zappa, Holmes-Cerfon, Goodman (2018)), where the manifold is defined by…

Computation · Statistics 2023-08-22 Kerun Xu , Miranda Holmes-Cerfon

A frequently faced task in experimental physics is to measure the probability distribution of some quantity. Often this quantity to be measured is smeared by a non-ideal detector response or by some physical process. The procedure of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-11 Andras Laszlo

interpretable, and well understood models that are routinely employed even though, as is revealed through prior and posterior predictive checks, these can poorly characterise the spatial heterogeneity in the underlying process of interest.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-08 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Michael D. Kaminski , Ba-Hien Tran , Maurizio Filippone , Noel Cressie

While learning the maximum likelihood value of parameters of an undirected graphical model is hard, modelling the posterior distribution over parameters given data is harder. Yet, undirected models are ubiquitous in computer vision and text…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Max Welling , Sridevi Parise

The reliable and accurate numerical approximation of the $p$-Laplacian is particularly challenging in the extreme regimes $p \to 1^{+}$ and $p \gg 1$, where the operator becomes either highly singular or strongly degenerate, often causing…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Tianhao Hu , Guanglian Li , Fengru Wang , Yifeng Xu , Zhi Zhou

The Probe Method is an analytical reconstruction scheme for inverse obstacle problems utilizing the Dirichlet-to-Neumann map associated with the governing partial differential equation. It consists of two distinct parts: Side A and Side B.…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Masaru Ikehata

Quantiles are useful characteristics of random variables that can provide substantial information on distributions compared with commonly used summary statistics such as means. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian quantile trend filtering…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-23 Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The remarkable range of biological forms in and around us, such as the undulating shape of a leaf or flower in the garden, the coils in our gut, or the folds in our brain, raise a number of questions at the interface of biology, physics and…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2021-05-13 Marta Lewicka , L. Mahadevan

A concise method for following the evolving geometry of a moving surface using Lagrangian coordinates is described. All computations can be done in the fixed geometry of the initial surface despite the evolving complexity of the moving…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2013-05-29 Mark A. Peterson

Several Lagrangian methodologies have been proposed in recent years to simulate advection-dispersion of solutes in fluids as a mass exchange between numerical particles carrying the fluid. In this paper, we unify these methodologies,…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-02-26 Guillem Sole-Mari , Michael J. Schmidt , Stephen D. Pankavich , David A. Benson