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Several studies have shown that combining machine learning models in an appropriate way will introduce improvements in the individual predictions made by the base models. The key to make well-performing ensemble model is in the diversity of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studied for neural networks, the topic seems to be under-explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Andrey Malinin , Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Aleksei Ustimenko

In order to speed-up classification models when facing a large number of categories, one usual approach consists in organizing the categories in a particular structure, this structure being then used as a way to speed-up the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-26 Aurélia Léon , Ludovic Denoyer

The gradient boosting machine is a powerful ensemble-based machine learning method for solving regression problems. However, one of the difficulties of its using is a possible discontinuity of the regression function, which arises when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Gradient boosted decision trees are a popular machine learning technique, in part because of their ability to give good accuracy with small models. We describe two extensions to the standard tree boosting algorithm designed to increase this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Natalia Ponomareva , Thomas Colthurst , Gilbert Hendry , Salem Haykal , Soroush Radpour

Recently, deep neural networks have expanded the state-of-art in various scientific fields and provided solutions to long standing problems across multiple application domains. Nevertheless, they also suffer from weaknesses since their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Felipe Kenji Nakano , Konstantinos Pliakos , Celine Vens

Tree ensemble models such as random forests and boosted trees are among the most widely used and practically successful predictive models in applied machine learning and business analytics. Although such models have been used to make…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-11 Velibor V. Mišić

Tree-boosting is a widely used machine learning technique for tabular data. However, its out-of-sample accuracy is critically dependent on multiple hyperparameters. In this article, we empirically compare several popular methods for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Floris Jan Koster , Fabio Sigrist

Understanding how "black-box" models arrive at their predictions has sparked significant interest from both within and outside the AI community. Our work focuses on doing this by generating local explanations about individual predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-07-08 Ana Lucic , Hinda Haned , Maarten de Rijke

The gradient boosting machine is one of the powerful tools for solving regression problems. In order to cope with its shortcomings, an approach for constructing ensembles of gradient boosting models is proposed. The main idea behind the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

We propose a novel approach for using unsupervised boosting to create an ensemble of generative models, where models are trained in sequence to correct earlier mistakes. Our meta-algorithmic framework can leverage any existing base learner…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-25 Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

This paper investigates the integration of gradient boosted decision trees and varying coefficient models. We introduce the tree boosted varying coefficient framework which justifies the implementation of decision tree boosting as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-03 Yichen Zhou , Giles Hooker

The use of machine learning algorithms in finance, medicine, and criminal justice can deeply impact human lives. As a consequence, research into interpretable machine learning has rapidly grown in an attempt to better control and fix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Thibaut Vidal , Toni Pacheco , Maximilian Schiffer

Sepsis, a critical condition from the body's response to infection, poses a major global health crisis affecting all age groups. Timely detection and intervention are crucial for reducing healthcare expenses and improving patient outcomes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-12 MohammadAmin Ansari Khoushabar , Parviz Ghafariasl

We propose two algorithms for interpretation and boosting of tree-based ensemble methods. Both algorithms make use of mathematical programming models that are constructed with a set of rules extracted from an ensemble of decision trees. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 S. Ilker Birbil , Mert Edali , Birol Yuceoglu

Aggregating multiple learners through an ensemble of models aim to make better predictions by capturing the underlying distribution of the data more accurately. Different ensembling methods, such as bagging, boosting, and stacking/blending,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Mohsen Shahhosseini , Guiping Hu , Hieu Pham

Models obtained by decision tree induction techniques excel in being interpretable.However, they can be prone to overfitting, which results in a low predictive performance. Ensemble techniques are able to achieve a higher accuracy. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Gilles Vandewiele , Olivier Janssens , Femke Ongenae , Filip De Turck , Sofie Van Hoecke

This paper describes experiments, on two domains, to investigate the effect of averaging over predictions of multiple decision trees, instead of using a single tree. Other authors have pointed out theoretical and commonsense reasons for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Suk Wah Kwok , Chris Carter

In the field of decision trees, most previous studies have difficulty ensuring the statistical optimality of a prediction of new data and suffer from overfitting because trees are usually used only to represent prediction functions to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Yuta Nakahara , Shota Saito , Naoki Ichijo , Koki Kazama , Toshiyasu Matsushima

Cross-study replicability is a powerful model evaluation criterion that emphasizes generalizability of predictions. When training cross-study replicable prediction models, it is critical to decide between merging and treating the studies…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-14 Cathy Shyr , Pragya Sur , Giovanni Parmigiani , Prasad Patil