English
Related papers

Related papers: Mortality Prediction using Survival Energy Models …

200 papers

The increased availability of observation data from engineering systems in operation poses the question of how to incorporate this data into finite element models. To this end, we propose a novel statistical construction of the finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-25 Mark Girolami , Eky Febrianto , Ge Yin , Fehmi Cirak

We propose a nonstationary functional time series forecasting method with an application to age-specific mortality rates observed over the years. The method begins by taking the first-order differencing and estimates its long-run covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-20 Han Lin Shang , Yang Yang

A new semi-parametric Expected Shortfall (ES) estimation and forecasting framework is proposed. The proposed approach is based on a two-step estimation procedure. The first step involves the estimation of Value-at-Risk (VaR) at different…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-16 Giuseppe Storti , Chao Wang

Here, we address the problem of trend estimation for functional time series. Existing contributions either deal with detecting a functional trend or assuming a simple model. They consider neither the estimation of a general functional trend…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-24 Israel Martínez-Hernández , Marc G. Genton

Survival analysis holds a crucial role across diverse disciplines, such as economics, engineering and healthcare. It empowers researchers to analyze both time-invariant and time-varying data, encompassing phenomena like customer churn,…

Survival models are a popular tool for the analysis of time to event data with applications in medicine, engineering, economics, and many more. Advances like the Cox proportional hazard model have enabled researchers to better describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-16 Stefan Groha , Sebastian M Schmon , Alexander Gusev

Functional data are frequently accompanied by a parametric template that describes the typical shapes of the functions. However, these parametric templates can incur significant bias, which undermines both utility and interpretability. To…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-18 Daniel R. Kowal , Antonio Canale

Survival analysis concerns the study of timeline data where the event of interest may remain unobserved (i.e., censored). Studies commonly record more than one type of event, but conventional survival techniques focus on a single event…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-01 Hylke C. Donker , Harry J. M. Groen

Functional variables are often used as predictors in regression problems. A commonly-used parametric approach, called {\it scalar-on-function regression}, uses the $\ltwo$ inner product to map functional predictors into scalar responses.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Kyungmin Ahn , J. Derek Tucker , Wei Wu , Anuj Srivastava

Bioelectrical properties of cells such as relative permittivity, conductivity, and characteristic time constants vary significantly between healthy and malignant cells across different frequencies. These distinctions provide a promising…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-16 Shadeeb Hossain

Structural equation modeling (SEM) is a statistical method widely used in educational research to investigate relationships between variables. SEM models are typically constructed based on theoretical foundations and assessed through fit…

Physics Education · Physics 2024-05-31 Yangqiuting Li , Chandralekha Singh

Semi-structured networks (SSNs) merge the structures familiar from additive models with deep neural networks, allowing the modeling of interpretable partial feature effects while capturing higher-order non-linearities at the same time. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-15 David Rügamer , Bernard X. W. Liew , Zainab Altai , Almond Stöcker

In many scientific fields, the generation and evolution of data are governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) which are typically informed by established physical laws at the macroscopic level to describe general and predictable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Ziyuan Chen , Shunxing Yan , Fang Yao

Human mortality data sets can be expressed as multiway data arrays, the dimensions of which correspond to categories by which mortality rates are reported, such as age, sex, country and year. Regression models for such data typically assume…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-15 Bailey K. Fosdick , Peter D. Hoff

We consider the problem of predicting a real random variable from a functional explanatory variable. The problem is attacked by mean of nonparametric kernel approach which has been recently adapted to this functional context. We derive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Frédéric Ferraty , André Mas , Philippe Vieu

The abundance of observed data in recent years has increased the number of statistical augmentations to complex models across science and engineering. By augmentation we mean coherent statistical methods that incorporate measurements upon…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-07-12 Connor Duffin , Paul Branson , Matt Rayson , Mark Girolami , Edward Cripps , Thomas Stemler

The Dynamical Survival Analysis (DSA) is a framework for modeling epidemics based on mean field dynamics applied to individual (agent) level history of infection and recovery. Recently, DSA has been shown to be an effective tool in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-02 Colin Klaus , Matthew Wascher , Wasiur R. KhudaBukhsh , Grzegorz A. Rempala

Triangular systems with nonadditively separable unobserved heterogeneity provide a theoretically appealing framework for the modelling of complex structural relationships. However, they are not commonly used in practice due to the need for…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-10-08 Victor Chernozhukov , Iván Fernández-Val , Whitney Newey , Sami Stouli , Francis Vella

This work presents a novel semi-supervised learning approach for data-driven modeling of asset failures when health status is only partially known in historical data. We combine a generative model parameterized by deep neural networks with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-05 Andre S. Yoon , Taehoon Lee , Yongsub Lim , Deokwoo Jung , Philgyun Kang , Dongwon Kim , Keuntae Park , Yongjin Choi

As the fast growth and large integration of distributed generation, renewable energy resource, energy storage system and load response, the modern power system operation becomes much more complicated with increasing uncertainties and…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Guangyi Liu , Chen Yuan , Xi Chen , Jingjin Wu , Renchang Dai , Zhiwei Wang