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Existing methods for quantifying predictive uncertainty in neural networks are either computationally intractable for large language models or require access to training data that is typically unavailable. We derive a lightweight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Nils Grünefeld , Jes Frellsen , Christian Hardmeier

Analysis of brain connectivity is important for understanding how information is processed by the brain. We propose a novel Bayesian vector autoregression (VAR) hierarchical model for analyzing brain connectivity in a resting-state fMRI…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-09 Bertil Wegmann , Anders Lundquist , Anders Eklund , Mattias Villani

Undirected graphical models are powerful tools for uncovering complex relationships among high-dimensional variables. This paper aims to fully recover the structure of an undirected graphical model when the data naturally take matrix form,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-08 Minsub Shin , Johan Lim , Seongoh Park

A lot of effort is currently invested in safeguarding autonomous driving systems, which heavily rely on deep neural networks for computer vision. We investigate the coupling of different neural network calibration measures with a special…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Dominik Werner Wolf , Prasannavenkatesh Balaji , Alexander Braun , Markus Ulrich

A wide range of systems exhibit high dimensional incomplete data. Accurate estimation of the missing data is often desired, and is crucial for many downstream analyses. Many state-of-the-art recovery methods involve supervised learning…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Adrian V. Dalca , John Guttag , Mert R. Sabuncu

High-dimensional vector autoregression with measurement error is frequently encountered in a large variety of scientific and business applications. In this article, we study statistical inference of the transition matrix under this model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-18 Xiang Lyu , Jian Kang , Lexin Li

Covariance matrix estimation concerns the problem of estimating the covariance matrix from a collection of samples, which is of extreme importance in many applications. Classical results have shown that $O(n)$ samples are sufficient to…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Wei Cui , Xu Zhang , Yulong Liu

Covariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform graph convolutions on the covariance matrix of input data to leverage correlation information as pairwise connections. They have achieved success in a multitude of applications such as neuroscience,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Andrea Cavallo , Zhan Gao , Elvin Isufi

This manuscript presents an approach to perform generalized linear regression with multiple high dimensional covariance matrices as the outcome. Model parameters are proposed to be estimated by maximizing a pseudo-likelihood. When the data…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-28 Yi Zhao , Brian S. Caffo , Xi Luo

Statistical inference is considered for variables of interest, called primary variables, when auxiliary variables are observed along with the primary variables. We consider the setting of incomplete data analysis, where some primary…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-27 Shinpei Imori , Hidetoshi Shimodaira

Parameter inference with an estimated covariance matrix systematically loses information due to the remaining uncertainty of the covariance matrix. Here, we quantify this loss of precision and develop a framework to hypothetically restore…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-03-16 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

We aim to provably complete a sparse and highly-missing tensor in the presence of covariate information along tensor modes. Our motivation comes from online advertising where users click-through-rates (CTR) on ads over various devices form…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-08 Hilda S Ibriga , Will Wei Sun

Inferring the connectivity of neural circuits from incomplete observations is a fundamental challenge in neuroscience. We present a covariance-based method for estimating the weight matrix of a recurrent neural network from sparse, partial…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-20 Quilee Simeon

We consider the problem of quantifying the quality of a model selection problem for a graphical model. We discuss this by formulating the problem as a detection problem. Model selection problems usually minimize a distance between the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-10-19 Navid Tafaghodi Khajavi , Anthony Kuh

We develop a method for estimating well-conditioned and sparse covariance and inverse covariance matrices from a sample of vectors drawn from a sub-gaussian distribution in high dimensional setting. The proposed estimators are obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Ashwini Maurya

Missing data arises when certain values are not recorded or observed for variables of interest. However, most of the statistical theory assume complete data availability. To address incomplete databases, one approach is to fill the gaps…

Besides the well-known effect of autocorrelations in time series of Monte Carlo simulation data resulting from the underlying Markov process, using the same data pool for computing various estimates entails additional cross correlations.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-11-20 Martin Weigel , Wolfhard Janke

Combined inference for heterogeneous high-dimensional data is critical in modern biology, where clinical and various kinds of molecular data may be available from a single study. Classical genetic association studies regress a single…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hélène Ruffieux , Anthony C. Davison , Jörg Hager , Irina Irincheeva

CoVariance Neural Networks (VNNs) perform convolutions on the graph determined by the covariance matrix of the data, which enables expressive and stable covariance-based learning. However, covariance matrices are typically dense, fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Andrea Cavallo , Samuel Rey , Antonio G. Marques , Elvin Isufi

Seemingly unrelated regression is a natural framework for regressing multiple correlated responses on multiple predictors. The model is very flexible, with multiple linear regression and covariance selection models being special cases.…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Yunfan Li , Jyotishka Datta , Bruce A. Craig , Anindya Bhadra
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