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Estimation of the covariance matrix of asset returns is crucial to portfolio construction. As suggested by economic theories, the correlation structure among assets differs between emerging markets and developed countries. It is therefore…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Xin Chen , Dan Yang , Yan Xu , Yin Xia , Dong Wang , Haipeng Shen

Relying on recent advances in statistical estimation of covariance distances based on random matrix theory, this article proposes an improved covariance and precision matrix estimation for a wide family of metrics. The method is shown to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-03 Malik Tiomoko , Florent Bouchard , Guillaume Ginholac , Romain Couillet

Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process. Mean-variance estimation networks can learn this type of uncertainty but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Jiaxiang Yi , Miguel A. Bessa

Blockwise missing data occurs frequently when we integrate multisource or multimodality data where different sources or modalities contain complementary information. In this paper, we consider a high-dimensional linear regression model with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Fei Xue , Rong Ma , Hongzhe Li

We derive a maximum a posteriori estimator for the linear observation model, where the signal and noise covariance matrices are both uncertain. The uncertainties are treated probabilistically by modeling the covariance matrices with prior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Dave Zachariah , Nafiseh Shariati , Mats Bengtsson , Magnus Jansson , Saikat Chatterjee

In linear models, omitting a covariate that is orthogonal to covariates in the model does not result in biased coefficient estimation. This in general does not hold for longitudinal data, where additional assumptions are needed to get…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Zhuowei Sun , Hongyuan Cao , Li Chen , Jason P. Fine

This paper introduces a subspace method for the estimation of an array covariance matrix. It is shown that when the received signals are uncorrelated, the true array covariance matrices lie in a specific subspace whose dimension is…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2014-11-04 Mostafa Rahmani , George Atia

Prior to clinical applications, it is critical that risk prediction models are evaluated in independent studies that did not contribute to model development. While prospective cohort studies provide a natural setting for model validation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-13 Parichoy Pal Choudhury , Anil K. Chaturvedi , Nilanjan Chatterjee

The major sources of abundant data are constantly expanding with the available data collection methodologies in various applications - medical, insurance, scientific, bio-informatics and business. These data sets may be distributed…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2016-06-24 Aruna Govada , Sanjay K. Sahay

We develop a new methodology for forecasting matrix-valued time series with historical matrix data and auxiliary vector time series data. We focus on a time series of matrices defined on a static 2-D spatial grid and an auxiliary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Hu Sun , Zuofeng Shang , Yang Chen

We consider high-dimensional measurement errors with high-frequency data. Our objective is on recovering the high-dimensional cross-sectional covariance matrix of the random errors with optimality. In this problem, not all components of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-03 Jinyuan Chang , Qiao Hu , Cheng Liu , Cheng Yong Tang

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the covariance matrix of a series of independent multivariate observations, in the case where the dimension of each observation is of the same order as the number of observations. Although…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-03 Jianfeng Yao , Abla Kammoun , Jamal Najim

Many high dimensional and high-throughput biological datasets have complex sample correlation structures, which include longitudinal and multiple tissue data, as well as data with multiple treatment conditions or related individuals. These…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-20 Chris McKennan , Dan Nicolae

We introduce a novel approach to estimation problems in settings with missing data. Our proposal -- the Correlation-Assisted Missing data (CAM) estimator -- works by exploiting the relationship between the observations with missing features…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-02 Timothy I. Cannings , Yingying Fan

In this paper, we present a sharp analysis for a class of alternating projected gradient descent algorithms which are used to solve the covariate adjusted precision matrix estimation problem in the high-dimensional setting. We demonstrate…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-13 Xiao Lv , Wei Cui , Yulong Liu

In this paper, we study the problem of high-dimensional approximately low-rank covariance matrix estimation with missing observations. We propose a simple procedure computationally tractable in high-dimension and that does not require…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-05-14 Karim Lounici

Obtaining reliable and accurate quantification of uncertainty estimates from deep neural networks is important in safety-critical applications. A well-calibrated model should be accurate when it is certain about its prediction and indicate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Ranganath Krishnan , Omesh Tickoo

In some multivariate problems with missing data, pairs of variables exist that are never observed together. For example, some modern biological tools can produce data of this form. As a result of this structure, the covariance matrix is…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-13 Max Grazier G'Sell , Shai S. Shen-Orr , Robert Tibshirani

Linear covariance (LinCov) techniques have gained widespread traction in the modeling of uncertainty, including in the preliminary study of spacecraft navigation performance. While LinCov methods offer improved computational efficiency…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-30 Jackson Kulik , Braden Hastings , Keith A. LeGrand

Through the Bayesian lens of data assimilation, uncertainty on model parameters is traditionally quantified through the posterior covariance matrix. However, in modern settings involving high-dimensional and computationally expensive…

Computation · Statistics 2023-11-16 Michael Stanley , Mikael Kuusela , Brendan Byrne , Junjie Liu