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The socioeconomic impact of pollution naturally comes with uncertainty due to, e.g., current new technological developments in emissions' abatement or demographic changes. On top of that, the trend of the future costs of the environmental…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-28 Matteo Basei , Giorgio Ferrari , Neofytos Rodosthenous

Maritime Autonomous Surface Ships (MASS) have emerged as a promising solution to enhance navigational safety, operational efficiency, and long-term cost effectiveness. However, their reliable deployment requires rigorous verification and…

In this paper, we developed a new navigation system, which detects obstacles in a sliding window with an adaptive threshold clustering algorithm, classifies the detected obstacles with a decision tree, heuristically predicts potential…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-11 Meng-Yuan Chen , Yong-Jian Wu , Hongmei He

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

This paper proposes a new uncertainty measure, appropriate for quantifying the performance of transport models in assessing the origin or source of a given observation. It is found that in a neighbourhood of the observation the proposed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-29 Guillermo Garcia-Sanchez , Ana Maria Mancho , Makrina Agaoglou , Stephen Wiggins

Safety evaluation of self-driving technologies has been extensively studied. One recent approach uses Monte Carlo based evaluation to estimate the occurrence probabilities of safety-critical events as safety measures. These Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-19 Zhiyuan Huang , Mansur Arief , Henry Lam , Ding Zhao

We propose a novel framework for safe navigation in dynamic environments by integrating Koopman operator theory with conformal prediction. Our approach leverages data-driven Koopman approximation to learn nonlinear dynamics and employs…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-02 Kaier Liang , Guang Yang , Mingyu Cai , Cristian-Ioan Vasile

Operating unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in complex environments that feature dynamic obstacles and external disturbances poses significant challenges, primarily due to the inherent uncertainty in such scenarios. Additionally, inaccurate…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-09-29 Tianyu Liu , Fu Zhang , Fei Gao , Jia Pan

Policy steering is an emerging way to adapt robot behaviors at deployment-time: a learned verifier analyzes low-level action samples proposed by a pre-trained policy (e.g., diffusion policy) and selects only those aligned with the task.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jessie Yuan , Yilin Wu , Andrea Bajcsy

Robot-assisted navigation is a perfect example of a class of applications requiring flexible control approaches. When the human is reliable, the robot should concede space to their initiative. When the human makes inappropriate choices the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Placido Falqueto , Alessandro Antonucci , Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli

An open problem for autonomous driving is how to validate the safety of an autonomous vehicle in simulation. Automated testing procedures can find failures of an autonomous system but these failures may be difficult to interpret due to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Anthony Corso , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

This paper studies the multi-robot reliable navigation problem in uncertain topological networks, which aims at maximizing the robot team's on-time arrival probabilities in the face of road network uncertainties. The uncertainty in these…

Transportation planning depends on predictions of the travel times between loading and unloading locations. While accurate techniques exist for making deterministic predictions of travel times based on real-world data, making stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-22 Rodrigo Goncalves , Rui J. de Almeida , Remco M. Dijkman

Driving scene understanding is a critical real-world problem that involves interpreting and associating various elements of a driving environment, such as vehicles, pedestrians, and traffic signals. Despite advancements in autonomous…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Sriram Mandalika , Lalitha V , Athira Nambiar

We present Probabilistic Reciprocal Velocity Obstacle or PRVO as a general algorithm for navigating multiple robots under perception and motion uncertainty. PRVO is defined as the space of velocities that ensures dynamic collision avoidance…

Estimating collision probabilities between robots and environmental obstacles or other moving agents is crucial to ensure safety during path planning. This is an important building block of modern planning algorithms in many application…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Felix Herrmann , Sebastian Zach , Jacopo Banfi , Jan Peters , Georgia Chalvatzaki , Davide Tateo

A key challenge in off-road navigation is that even visually similar terrains or ones from the same semantic class may have substantially different traction properties. Existing work typically assumes no wheel slip or uses the expected…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Xiaoyi Cai , Michael Everett , Lakshay Sharma , Philip R. Osteen , Jonathan P. How

We consider the problem of performing Bayesian inference in probabilistic models where observations are accompanied by uncertainty, referred to as "uncertain evidence." We explore how to interpret uncertain evidence, and by extension the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-27 Andreas Munk , Alexander Mead , Frank Wood

We propose a (seemingly) new computationally tractable model for multi-stage decision making under stochastic uncertainty.

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Arkadi Nemirovski

Autonomous mobile robots are increasingly used in pedestrian-rich environments where safe navigation and appropriate human interaction are crucial. While Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) enables socially integrated robot behavior,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-07-10 Daniel Flögel , Marcos Gómez Villafañe , Joshua Ransiek , Sören Hohmann