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Quantifying uncertainties in collective human behavior and decision making is crucial for ensuring public health and safety, enabling effective disaster response, informing the design of transportation and communication networks, and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-12-02 Kimberly J. Schlesinger , Chantal Nguyen , Imtiaz Ali , Jean M. Carlson

The maritime industry must prepare for the energy transition from fossil fuels to sustainable alternatives. Making ships future-proof is necessary given their long lifetime, but it is also complex because the future fuel type is uncertain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Berend Markhorst , Joost Berkhout , Alessandro Zocca , Jeroen Pruyn , Rob van der Mei

Although ground robotic autonomy has gained widespread usage in structured and controlled environments, autonomy in unknown and off-road terrain remains a difficult problem. Extreme, off-road, and unstructured environments such as…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-06-29 David D. Fan , Kyohei Otsu , Yuki Kubo , Anushri Dixit , Joel Burdick , Ali-Akbar Agha-Mohammadi

Safe navigation for an ego vehicle in uncertain environments characterized by dynamic obstacles with unknown nonlinear dynamics is a challenging problem of significant practical interest. Existing approaches in the literature either lack…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-17 Jiwon Lee , Hugo Matias , Daniel Silvestre , Thinh T. Doan

Autonomous driving heavily relies on perception systems to interpret the environment for decision-making. To enhance robustness in these safety critical applications, this paper considers a Deep Ensemble of Deep Neural Network regressors…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Xiao Li , Anouck Girard , Ilya Kolmanovsky

We present an approach to analyzing the safety of asynchronous, independent, non-deterministic, turn-to-bearing horizontal maneuvers for two vehicles. Future turn rates, final bearings, and continuously varying ground speeds throughout the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Yanni Kouskoulas , T. J. Machado , Daniel Genin , Aurora Schmidt , Ivan Papusha , Joshua Brulé

Uncertainty-aware robot motion prediction is crucial for downstream traversability estimation and safe autonomous navigation in unstructured, off-road environments, where terrain is heterogeneous and perceptual uncertainty is high. Most…

In driving scenarios with poor visibility or occlusions, it is important that the autonomous vehicle would take into account all the uncertainties when making driving decisions, including choice of a safe speed. The grid-based perception…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-11-09 Markus Kängsepp , Meelis Kull

In this paper, we develop an uncertainty-aware decision-making and motion-planning method for an autonomous ego vehicle in forced merging scenarios, considering the motion uncertainty of surrounding vehicles. The method dynamically captures…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

The high dynamics and heterogeneous interactions in the complicated urban systems have raised the issue of uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal human mobility, to support critical decision-makings in risk-aware web applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang , Xike Xie , Lei Qiao , Yuantao Li

Ensuring safe navigation in human-populated environments is crucial for autonomous mobile robots. Although recent advances in machine learning offer promising methods to predict human trajectories in crowded areas, it remains unclear how…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Kanghyun Ryu , Negar Mehr

In the realm of maritime transportation, autonomous vessel navigation in natural inland waterways faces persistent challenges due to unpredictable natural factors. Existing scheduling algorithms fall short in handling these uncertainties,…

Sailboat path-planning is a natural hybrid control problem (due to continuous steering and occasional "tack-switching" maneuvers), with the actual path-to-target greatly affected by stochastically evolving wind conditions. Previous studies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-26 MingYi Wang , Natasha Patnaik , Anne Somalwar , Jingyi Wu , Alexander Vladimirsky

This contribution addresses vessel trajectory prediction (VTP), focusing on the evaluation of different deep learning-based approaches. The objective is to assess model performance in diverse traffic complexities and compare the reliability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Zahra Rastin , Kathrin Donandt , Dirk Söffker

A stochastic approach is implemented to address the problem of a marine structure exposed to water wave impacts. The focus is on (i) the average frequency of wave impacts, and (ii) the related probability distribution of impact kinematic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-24 Romain Hascoët , Marc Prevosto , Nicolas Raillard , Nicolas Jacques , Alan Tassin

Urban intersections represent a complex environment for autonomous vehicles with many sources of uncertainty. The vehicle must plan in a stochastic environment with potentially rapid changes in driver behavior. Providing an efficient…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-04-17 Maxime Bouton , Akansel Cosgun , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In autonomous driving, accurate motion prediction is crucial for safe and efficient motion planning. To ensure safety, planners require reliable uncertainty estimates of the predicted behavior of surrounding agents, yet this aspect has…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-03 Aron Distelzweig , Andreas Look , Eitan Kosman , Faris Janjoš , Jörg Wagner , Abhinav Valada

In this paper, we introduce a probabilistic approach to risk assessment of robot systems by focusing on the impact of uncertainties. While various approaches to identifying systematic hazards (e.g., bugs, design flaws, etc.) can be found in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Woo-Jeong Baek , Tom P. Huck , Joschka Haas , Jonas Lewandrowski , Tamim Asfour , Torsten Kröger

In unstructured urban canals, regulation-aware interactions with other vessels are essential for collision avoidance and social compliance. In this paper, we propose a regulations aware motion planning framework for Autonomous Surface…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-20 Jitske de Vries , Elia Trevisan , Jules van der Toorn , Tuhin Das , Bruno Brito , Javier Alonso-Mora

When coping with the urgent challenge of locating and rescuing a deep-sea submersible in the event of communication or power failure, environmental uncertainty in the ocean can not be ignored. However, classic physical models are limited to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-05-06 Runhao Liu , Ziming Chen , Peng Zhang