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Related papers: Tighter Generalisation Bounds via Interpolation

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We derive PAC-Bayesian learning guarantees for heavy-tailed losses, and obtain a novel optimal Gibbs posterior which enjoys finite-sample excess risk bounds at logarithmic confidence. Our core technique itself makes use of PAC-Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-19 Matthew J. Holland

We investigate a stochastic counterpart of majority votes over finite ensembles of classifiers, and study its generalization properties. While our approach holds for arbitrary distributions, we instantiate it with Dirichlet distributions:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-20 Valentina Zantedeschi , Paul Viallard , Emilie Morvant , Rémi Emonet , Amaury Habrard , Pascal Germain , Benjamin Guedj

Recent research in robust optimization has shown an overfitting-like phenomenon in which models trained against adversarial attacks exhibit higher robustness on the training set compared to the test set. Although previous work provided…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-24 Zifan Wang , Nan Ding , Tomer Levinboim , Xi Chen , Radu Soricut

This work investigates theoretically the interplay between interpolation and aggregation in regression. We establish that the $\gamma$-graph dimension characterizes learnability for a broad class of natural aggregation procedures.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Mikael Møller Høgsgaard , Kasper Green Larsen , Liang-Yu Zou

We introduce a new notion of complexity of functions and we show that it has the following properties: (i) it governs a PAC Bayes-like generalization bound, (ii) for neural networks it relates to natural notions of complexity of functions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-15 Grzegorz Głuch , Rudiger Urbanke

Algorithm- and data-dependent generalization bounds are required to explain the generalization behavior of modern machine learning algorithms. In this context, there exists information theoretic generalization bounds that involve (various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-07 Sarah Sachs , Tim van Erven , Liam Hodgkinson , Rajiv Khanna , Umut Simsekli

Recent studies have empirically investigated different methods to train stochastic neural networks on a classification task by optimising a PAC-Bayesian bound via stochastic gradient descent. Most of these procedures need to replace the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-01 Eugenio Clerico , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in a Bayesian setting and propose a general lower-bound that includes part of the family of $f$-Divergences. The results are then applied to specific settings of interest and compared to other…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Adrien Vandenbroucque , Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar

Machine learning (ML) models often struggle to maintain performance under distribution shifts, leading to inaccurate predictions on unseen future data. In this work, we investigate whether and under what conditions models can achieve such a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Divyam Madaan , Sumit Chopra , Kyunghyun Cho

In this paper, we extend the correspondence between Bayes' estimation and optimal interpolation in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) to the case of linear inequality constraints such as boundedness, monotonicity or convexity. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Xavier Bay , Laurence Grammont , Hassan Maatouk

Recently, there has been a significant focus on exploring the theoretical aspects of deep learning, especially regarding its performance in classification tasks. Bayesian deep learning has emerged as a unified probabilistic framework,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-24 The Tien Mai

In their seminal 1990 paper, Wasserman and Kadane establish an upper bound for the Bayes' posterior probability of a measurable set $A$, when the prior lies in a class of probability measures $\mathcal{P}$ and the likelihood is precise.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-13 Michele Caprio , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier , Insup Lee

In recent years, inconsistency in Bayesian deep learning has attracted significant attention. Tempered or generalized posterior distributions are frequently employed as direct and effective solutions. Nonetheless, the underlying mechanisms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Yinsong Chen , Samson S. Yu , Zhong Li , Chee Peng Lim

Understanding generalization is crucial to confidently engineer and deploy machine learning models, especially when deployment implies a shift in the data domain. For such domain adaptation problems, we seek generalization bounds which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-16 Adam Breitholtz , Fredrik D. Johansson

We propose a new PAC-Bayesian bound and a way of constructing a hypothesis space, so that the bound is convex in the posterior distribution and also convex in a trade-off parameter between empirical performance of the posterior distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-25 Niklas Thiemann , Christian Igel , Olivier Wintenberger , Yevgeny Seldin

Bayesian optimisation has proven to be a powerful tool for expensive global black-box optimisation problems. In this paper, we propose new Bayesian optimisation variants of the popular Knowledge Gradient acquisition functions for problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-22 Xietao Wang Lin , Juan Ungredda , Max Butler , James Town , Alma Rahat , Hemant Singh , Juergen Branke

One of the main theoretical challenges in learning dynamical systems from data is providing upper bounds on the generalization error, that is, the difference between the expected prediction error and the empirical prediction error measured…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Daniel Racz , Martin Gonzalez , Mihaly Petreczky , Andras Benczur , Balint Daroczy

Hypergraph neural networks have been promising tools for handling learning tasks involving higher-order data, with notable applications in web graphs, such as modeling multi-way hyperlink structures and complex user interactions. Yet, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Yifan Wang , Gonzalo R. Arce , Guangmo Tong

We consider a teacher-student model of supervised learning with a fully-trained two-layer neural network whose width $k$ and input dimension $d$ are large and proportional. We provide an effective theory for approximating the Bayes-optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-02 Jean Barbier , Francesco Camilli , Minh-Toan Nguyen , Mauro Pastore , Rudy Skerk

Generalization bounds for deep learning models are typically vacuous, not computable or restricted to specific model classes. In this paper, we tackle these issues by providing new disagreement-based certificates for the gap between the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Mathieu Bazinet , Valentina Zantedeschi , Pascal Germain