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We study in this paper the consequences of using the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) as a measure of quality for regression models. We prove the existence of an optimal MAPE model and we show the universal consistency of Empirical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-07-11 Arnaud De Myttenaere , Boris Golden , Bénédicte Le Grand , Fabrice Rossi

In countries where population census data are limited, generating accurate subnational estimates of health and demographic indicators is challenging. Existing model-based geostatistical methods leverage covariate information and spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Peter A. Gao , Jon Wakefield

Covariate-adaptive randomization (CAR) procedures are frequently used in comparative studies to increase the covariate balance across treatment groups. However, because randomization inevitably uses the covariate information when forming…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-08 Wei Ma , Yichen Qin , Yang Li , Feifang Hu

Small area estimation (SAE) plays a central role in survey statistics and epidemiology, providing reliable estimates for domains with limited sample sizes. The multivariate Fay-Herriot model has been extensively used for this purpose,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Shushi Nishina , Takahiro Onizuka , Shintaro Hashimoto

In order to learn the complex features of large spatio-temporal data, models with large parameter sets are often required. However, estimating a large number of parameters is often infeasible due to the computational and memory costs of…

Computation · Statistics 2018-07-02 Matthew Edwards , Stefano Castruccio , Dorit Hammerling

The semiparametric accelerated failure time model is not as widely used as the Cox relative risk model mainly due to computational difficulties. Recent developments in least squares estimation and induced smoothing estimating equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Steven Chiou , Junghi Kim , Jun Yan

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

We introduce a new class of conditional autoregressive models for spatially dependent functional data, formulated through conditional means given neighboring functional observations and characterized by a covariance operator and a spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sooran Kim

Variational autoencoders (VAEs) are a popular class of deep generative models with many variants and a wide range of applications. Improvements upon the standard VAE mostly focus on the modelling of the posterior distribution over the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-02 James Langley , Miguel Monteiro , Charles Jones , Nick Pawlowski , Ben Glocker

We propose new methods for multivariate linear regression when the regression coefficient matrix is sparse and the error covariance matrix is dense. We assume that the error covariance matrix has equicorrelation across the response…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Daeyoung Ham , Bradley S. Price , Adam J. Rothman

The multiple-subject vector autoregression (multi-VAR) model captures heterogeneous network Granger causality across subjects by decomposing individual sparse VAR transition matrices into commonly shared and subject-unique paths. The model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Younghoon Kim , Zachary F. Fisher , Vladas Pipiras

We propose a variational autoencoder (VAE) approach for parameter estimation in nonlinear mixed-effects models based on ordinary differential equations (NLME-ODEs) using longitudinal data from multiple subjects. In moderate dimensions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Zhe Li , Mélanie Prague , Rodolphe Thiébaut , Quentin Clairon

Sparse additive models have attracted much attention in high-dimensional data analysis due to their flexible representation and strong interpretability. However, most existing models are limited to single-level learning under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Xuelin Zhang , Xinyue Liu , Lingjuan Wu , Hong Chen

This paper considers a semiparametric generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (S-GARCH) model. For this model, we first estimate the time-varying long run component for unconditional variance by the kernel estimator, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-05 Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Ke Zhu

We consider distributed estimation of the inverse covariance matrix, also called the concentration or precision matrix, in Gaussian graphical models. Traditional centralized estimation often requires global inference of the covariance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-15 Zhaoshi Meng , Dennis Wei , Ami Wiesel , Alfred O. Hero

In multivariate time series analysis, spectral coherence measures the linear dependency between two time series at different frequencies. However, real data applications often exhibit nonlinear dependency in the frequency domain.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Cristian F. Jiménez-Varón , Ying Sun , Ta-Hsin Li

Spatial confounding is a fundamental issue in spatial regression models which arises because spatial random effects, included to approximate unmeasured spatial variation, are typically not independent of covariates in the model. This can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-15 Emiko Dupont , Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib

In recent years, spatial and spatio-temporal modeling have become an important area of research in many fields (epidemiology, environmental studies, disease mapping). In this work we propose different spatial models to study hospital…

Applications · Statistics 2010-06-21 Erik A. Sauleau , Valentina Mameli , Monica Musio

Inference methods in traditional statistics, machine learning and data mining assume that data is generated from an independent and identically distributed (iid) process. Spatial data exhibits behavior for which the iid assumption must be…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-08 Somwrita Sarkar , Sanjay Chawla

This paper studies resilient distributed estimation under measurement attacks. A set of agents each makes successive local, linear, noisy measurements of an unknown vector field collected in a vector parameter. The local measurement models…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Yuan Chen , Soummya Kar , José M. F. Moura
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