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We present a distributionally robust formulation of a stochastic optimization problem for non-i.i.d vector autoregressive data. We use the Wasserstein distance to define robustness in the space of distributions and we show, using duality…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-10 Xialiang Dou , Mihai Anitescu

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) incorporates robustness against uncertainty in the specification of probabilistic models. This paper focuses on mitigating the curse of dimensionality in data-driven DRO problems with optimal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Lotfi M. Chaouach , Tom Oomen , Dimitris Boskos

In this paper we discuss distributional robustness in the context of stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) for linear time-invariant systems. We derive a simple approximation of the MPC problem under an additive zero-mean i.i.d. noise…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

A common goal in statistics and machine learning is to learn models that can perform well against distributional shifts, such as latent heterogeneous subpopulations, unknown covariate shifts, or unmodeled temporal effects. We develop and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-21 John Duchi , Hongseok Namkoong

Multivariate time series imputation is often compromised by mismatch between the observed and true data distributions, a bias induced by the combined effects of time-series non-stationarity and systematic missingness. Standard methods that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-07 Che-Yi Liao , Zheng Dong , Gian-Gabriel Garcia , Kamran Paynabar

We consider learning in an adversarial environment, where an $\varepsilon$-fraction of samples from a distribution $P$ are arbitrarily modified (global corruptions) and the remaining perturbations have average magnitude bounded by $\rho$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-26 Sloan Nietert , Ziv Goldfeld , Soroosh Shafiee

This paper studies a class of multiagent stochastic optimization problems where the objective is to minimize the expected value of a function which depends on a random variable. The probability distribution of the random variable is unknown…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-18 Ashish Cherukuri , Jorge Cortes

We investigate the problem of synthesizing distributionally robust control policies for stochastic systems under safety and reach-avoid specifications. Using a game-theoretical framework, we consider the setting where the probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-04 Yu Chen , Yuda Li , Shaoyuan Li , Xiang Yin

We study a class of distributionally robust games where agents are allowed to heterogeneously choose their risk aversion with respect to distributional shifts of the uncertainty. In our formulation, heterogeneous Wasserstein ball…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Zifan Wang , Georgios Pantazis , Sergio Grammatico , Michael M. Zavlanos , Karl H. Johansson

In this work, we study how to ensure probabilistic safety for nonlinear systems under distributional ambiguity. Our approach builds on a backup-based safety filtering framework that switches between a high-performance nominal policy and a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Daniel M. Cherenson , Haejoon Lee , Taekyung Kim , Dimitra Panagou

In this work, we propose Wasserstein distributionally robust shallow convex neural networks (WaDiRo-SCNNs) to provide reliable nonlinear predictions when subject to adverse and corrupted datasets. Our approach is based on the reformulation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Julien Pallage , Antoine Lesage-Landry

We consider a general class of two-stage distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems where the ambiguity set is constrained by fixed marginal probability laws that are not necessarily discrete. We derive primal and dual formulations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Ariel Neufeld , Qikun Xiang

We study distributionally robust quantile regression using type-$p$ Wasserstein ambiguity sets. We derive a closed-form expression for the worst-case quantile regression loss under general $p$-Wasserstein uncertainty. We further give a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-17 Chunxu Zhang , Tiantian Mao , Ruodu Wang

When propagating uncertainty in the data of differential equations, the probability laws describing the uncertainty are typically themselves subject to uncertainty. We present a sensitivity analysis of uncertainty propagation for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Oliver G. Ernst , Alois Pichler , Björn Sprungk

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are known to be sensitive to parameter specification. Distributionally robust MDPs alleviate this issue by allowing for \emph{ambiguity sets} which give a set of possible distributions over parameter sets.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Julien Grand-Clément , Christian Kroer

This paper studies distributionally robust regret-optimal (DRRO) control with purified output feedback for linear systems subject to additive disturbances and measurement noise. These uncertainties (including the initial system state) are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Shuhao Yan , Carsten W. Scherer

This paper investigates two optimal insurance contracting problems under distributional uncertainty from the perspective of a potential policyholder, utilizing a Bregman-Wasserstein (BW) ball to characterize the ambiguity set of loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Wenjun Jiang , Qingqing Zhang , Yiying Zhang

This paper studies the expected optimal value of a mixed 0-1 programming problem with uncertain objective coefficients following a joint distribution. We assume that the true distribution is not known exactly, but a set of independent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-08-28 Guanglin Xu , Samuel Burer

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a widely used framework for optimizing objective functionals in the presence of both randomness and model-form uncertainty. A key step in the practical solution of many DRO problems is a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Jeremiah Birrell

In this paper, we introduce a framework for contextual distributionally robust optimization (DRO) that considers the causal and continuous structure of the underlying distribution by developing interpretable and tractable decision rules…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-03 Fenglin Zhang , Jie Wang