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In complicated/nonlinear parametric models, it is generally hard to know whether the model parameters are point identified. We provide computationally attractive procedures to construct confidence sets (CSs) for identified sets of full…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen , Elie Tamer

The construction of confidence intervals for the mean of a bounded random variable is a classical problem in statistics with numerous applications in machine learning and virtually all scientific fields. In particular, obtaining the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Václav Voráček , Francesco Orabona

In most prediction and estimation situations, scientists consider various statistical models for the same problem, and naturally want to select amongst the best. Hansen et al. (2011) provide a powerful solution to this problem by the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-23 Sebastian Arnold , Georgios Gavrilopoulos , Benedikt Schulz , Johanna Ziegel

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a sequence of random elements $f(X_1, \theta)$ $, \ldots, $ $f(X_n, \theta)$ where $f$ is a fixed scalar function, $S=(X_1, \ldots, X_n)$ are independent random variables, and $\theta$ is a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-14 Kyoungseok Jang , Kwang-Sung Jun , Ilja Kuzborskij , Francesco Orabona

We propose a sequential optimizing betting strategy in the multi-dimensional bounded forecasting game in the framework of game-theoretic probability of Shafer and Vovk (2001). By studying the asymptotic behavior of its capital process, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Masayuki Kumon , Akimichi Takemura , Kei Takeuchi

A new framework of compressive sensing (CS), namely statistical compressive sensing (SCS), that aims at efficiently sampling a collection of signals that follow a statistical distribution and achieving accurate reconstruction on average, is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2010-10-22 Guoshen Yu , Guillermo Sapiro

We consider a discrete time stochastic model with infinite variance and study the mean estimation problem as in Wang and Ramdas (2023). We refine the Catoni-type confidence sequence (abbr. CS) and use an idea of Bhatt et al. (2022) to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-10 Chengfu Wei , Jordan Stoyanov , Yiming Chen , Zijun Chen

The partial monitoring (PM) framework provides a theoretical formulation of sequential learning problems with incomplete feedback. On each round, a learning agent plays an action while the environment simultaneously chooses an outcome. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Maxime Heuillet , Ola Ahmad , Audrey Durand

We consider a statistical test whose p-value can only be approximated using Monte Carlo simulations. We are interested in deciding whether the p-value for an observed data set lies above or below a given threshold such as 5%. We want to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-10 Dong Ding , Axel Gandy , Georg Hahn

In this paper, we propose a general method for testing composite hypotheses. Our idea is to use confidence limits to define stopping and decision rules. The requirements of operating characteristic function can be satisfied by adjusting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-10 Xinjia Chen

We provide statistical learning guarantees for two unsupervised learning tasks in the context of compressive statistical learning, a general framework for resource-efficient large-scale learning that we introduced in a companion paper.The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Rémi Gribonval , Gilles Blanchard , Nicolas Keriven , Yann Traonmilin

A classic problem in statistics is the estimation of the expectation of random variables from samples. This gives rise to the tightly connected problems of deriving concentration inequalities and confidence sequences, that is confidence…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-02 Francesco Orabona , Kwang-Sung Jun

Within the domain of data mining, one critical objective is the discovery of sequential rules with high utility. The goal is to discover sequential rules that exhibit both high utility and strong confidence, which are valuable in real-world…

Databases · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Chunkai Zhang , Jiarui Deng , Maohua Lyu , Wensheng Gan , Philip S. Yu

We consider a class of nonlocal games that are related to binary constraint systems (BCSs) in a manner similar to the games implicit in the work of Mermin [N.D. Mermin, "Simple unified form for the major no-hidden-variables theorems," Phys.…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-10-17 Richard Cleve , Rajat Mittal

Stability Selection was recently introduced by Meinshausen and Buhlmann (2010) as a very general technique designed to improve the performance of a variable selection algorithm. It is based on aggregating the results of applying a selection…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Rajen D. Shah , Richard J. Samworth

We introduce the first probabilistic framework tailored for sequential random projection, an approach rooted in the challenges of sequential decision-making under uncertainty. The analysis is complicated by the sequential dependence and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Yingru Li

In this article, we consider a stochastic numerical simulator to assess the impact of some factors on a phenomenon. The simulator is seen as a black box with inputs and outputs. The quality of a simulation, hereafter referred to as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-27 Rémi Stroh , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

We propose a stochastic model predictive control (MPC) framework for linear systems subject to joint-in-time chance constraints under unknown disturbance distributions. Unlike existing approaches that rely on parametric or Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Lukas Vogel , Andrea Carron , Eleftherios E. Vlahakis , Dimos V. Dimarogonas

We describe a general framework -- compressive statistical learning -- for resource-efficient large-scale learning: the training collection is compressed in one pass into a low-dimensional sketch (a vector of random empirical generalized…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-23 Rémi Gribonval , Gilles Blanchard , Nicolas Keriven , Yann Traonmilin

In this paper, we study the possibility of designing non-trivial random CSP models by exploiting the intrinsic connection between structures and typical-case hardness. We show that constraint consistency, a notion that has been developed to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-10-12 J. Culberson , Y. Gao