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We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

Statistical thermodynamics delivers the probability distribution of the equilibrium state of matter through the constrained maximization of a special functional, entropy. Its elegance and enormous success have led to numerous attempts to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-22 Themis Matsoukas

Particle swarm optimisation is a metaheuristic algorithm which finds reasonable solutions in a wide range of applied problems if suitable parameters are used. We study the properties of the algorithm in the framework of random dynamical…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2015-11-20 J. Michael Herrmann , Adam Erskine , Thomas Joyce

Modeling is a challenging topic and using parametric models is an important stage to reach flexible function for modeling. Weibull distribution has two parameters which are shape $\alpha$ and scale $\beta$. In this study, bimodality…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-03 Roberto Vila , Mehmet Niyazi Çankaya

Parameter estimation in diffusion processes from discrete observations up to a first-hitting time is clearly of practical relevance, but does not seem to have been studied so far. In neuroscience, many models for the membrane potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-06 Enrico Bibbona , Susanne Ditlevsen

Overdamped Langevin dynamics are reversible stochastic differential equations which are commonly used to sample probability measures in high-dimensional spaces, such as the ones appearing in computational statistical physics and Bayesian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Tony Lelièvre , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Geneviève Robin , Régis Santet , Gabriel Stoltz

We address the now classical problem of a diffusion process that crosses over from a ballistic behavior at short times to a fractional diffusion (sub- or super-diffusion) at longer times. Using the standard non-Markovian diffusion equation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Valery Ilyin , Itamar Procaccia , Anatoly Zagorodny

This study explores a Gaussian quasi-likelihood approach for estimating parameters of diffusion processes with Markovian regime switching. Assuming the ergodicity under high-frequency sampling, we will show the asymptotic normality of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-19 Yuzhong Cheng , Hiroki Masuda

Statistical properties of a local fluctuational fluxes measured at the plasma edge are investigated in the work. It's shown that the amplitudes increments of the local fluctuational fluxes decrease by power law. For approximation of…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2012-09-12 Viacheslav Saenko

Nature-inspired algorithms are among the most powerful algorithms for optimization. This paper intends to provide a detailed description of a new Firefly Algorithm (FA) for multimodal optimization applications. We will compare the proposed…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2010-03-09 Xin-She Yang

This article is concerned with the mathematical analysis of a family of adaptive importance sampling algorithms applied to diffusion processes. These methods, referred to as Adaptive Biasing Potential methods, are designed to efficiently…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-10 Michel Benaïm , Charles-Edouard Bréhier

We propose a Likelihood Matching approach for training diffusion models by first establishing an equivalence between the likelihood of the target data distribution and a likelihood along the sample path of the reverse diffusion. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-23 Lei Qian , Wu Su , Yanqi Huang , Song Xi Chen

We consider the inference problem for parameters in stochastic differential equation models from discrete time observations (e.g. experimental or simulation data). Specifically, we study the case where one does not have access to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Sebastian Krumscheid

A practical introduction to stochastic modelling of reaction-diffusion processes is presented. No prior knowledge of stochastic simulations is assumed. The methods are explained using illustrative examples. The article starts with the…

Subcellular Processes · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-19 Radek Erban , Jonathan Chapman , Philip Maini

We present a class of diffusion-based algorithms to draw samples from high-dimensional probability distributions given their unnormalized densities. Ideally, our methods can transport samples from a Gaussian distribution to a specified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Anand Jerry George , Nicolas Macris

First-principles Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling is used to investigate uncertainty quantification and uncertainty propagation in parameters describing hydrogen kinetics. Specifically, we sample the posterior distribution of thirty-one…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-03-12 John Bell , Marcus Day , Jonathan Goodman , Ray Grout , Matthias Morzfeld

Chemical reactions inside cells are generally considered to happen within fixed-size compartments. Needless to say, cells and their compartments are highly dynamic. Thus, such stringent assumptions may not reflect biochemical reality, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Atiyo Ghosh , Tatiana T. Marquez-Lago

A recently introduced theoretical framework for modeling the dynamics of X-ray amplified spontaneous emission is based on stochastic sampling of the density matrix of quantum emitters and the radiation field, similarly to other phase-space…

Optics · Physics 2024-06-17 Stasis Chuchurka , Vladislav Sukharnikov , Nina Rohringer

We propose threshold diffusion processes as unique solutions to stochastic differential equations with step-function coefficients, and obtain explicit expressions for the conditional Laplace transform of the hitting times and the potential…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Lina Ji , Chuyang Li , Xiaowen Zhou

Thanks to recent advances in generative AI, computers can now simulate realistic and complex natural processes. We apply this capability to predict how wildfires spread, a task made difficult by the unpredictable nature of fire and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Wenbo Yu , Anirbit Ghosh , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Rossella Arcucci , Marc Bocquet , Sibo Cheng