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As a key component in online marketing, uplift modeling aims to accurately capture the degree to which different treatments motivate different users, such as coupons or discounts, also known as the estimation of individual treatment effect…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-02 Dugang Liu , Xing Tang , Han Gao , Fuyuan Lyu , Xiuqiang He

Uplift modeling is a collection of machine learning techniques for estimating causal effects of a treatment at the individual or subgroup levels. Over the last years, causality and uplift modeling have become key trends in personalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Felipe Moraes , Hugo Manuel Proença , Anastasiia Kornilova , Javier Albert , Dmitri Goldenberg

A primary challenge in ITE estimation is sample selection bias. Traditional approaches utilize treatment regularization techniques such as the Integral Probability Metrics (IPM), re-weighting, and propensity score modeling to mitigate this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Hangtao Zhang , Zhe Li , Kairui Zhang

Improving user engagement and platform revenue is crucial for online marketing platforms. Uplift modeling is proposed to solve this problem, which applies different treatments (e.g., discounts, bonus) to satisfy corresponding users. Despite…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Zexu Sun , Qiyu Han , Minqin Zhu , Hao Gong , Dugang Liu , Chen Ma

Uplift modeling is a fundamental component of marketing effect modeling, which is commonly employed to evaluate the effects of treatments on outcomes. Through uplift modeling, we can identify the treatment with the greatest benefit. On the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-16 Haowen Wang , Xinyan Ye , Yangze Zhou , Zhiyi Zhang , Longhan Zhang , Jing Jiang

Uplift modeling is essential for optimizing marketing strategies by selecting individuals likely to respond positively to specific marketing campaigns. This importance escalates in multi-treatment marketing campaigns, where diverse…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-28 Yoon Tae Park , Ting Xu , Mohamed Anany

Uplift modeling is widely used in performance marketing to estimate effects of promotion campaigns (e.g., increase of customer retention rate). Since it is impossible to observe outcomes of a recipient in treatment (e.g., receiving a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Yao Zhao , Haipeng Zhang , Shiwei Lyu , Ruiying Jiang , Jinjie Gu , Guannan Zhang

Uplift models support decision-making in marketing campaign planning. Estimating the causal effect of a marketing treatment, an uplift model facilitates targeting communication to responsive customers and efficient allocation of marketing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Robin M. Gubela , Stefan Lessmann , Szymon Jaroszewicz

Individual Treatment Effect (ITE) prediction is an important area of research in machine learning which aims at explaining and estimating the causal impact of an action at the granular level. It represents a problem of growing interest in…

As a key component in boosting online user growth, uplift modeling aims to measure individual user responses (e.g., whether to play the game) to various treatments, such as gaming bonuses, thereby enhancing business outcomes. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Yuxiang Wei , Zhaoxin Qiu , Yingjie Li , Yuke Sun , Xiaoling Li

Promotions play a crucial role in e-commerce platforms, and various cost structures are employed to drive user engagement. This paper focuses on promotions with response-dependent costs, where expenses are incurred only when a purchase is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-11 Hugo Manuel Proença , Felipe Moraes

Uplift is a particular case of individual treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention. In practice, these models are built on customer data who…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Belbahri Mouloud , Gandouet Olivier , Kazma Ghaith

Uplift modeling is an emerging machine learning approach for estimating the treatment effect at an individual or subgroup level. It can be used for optimizing the performance of interventions such as marketing campaigns and product designs.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Zhenyu Zhao , Totte Harinen

In online advertising, marketing interventions such as coupons introduce significant confounding bias into Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction. Observed clicks reflect a mixture of users' intrinsic preferences and the uplift induced by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Siyun Yang , Shixiao Yang , Jian Wang , Di Fan , Kehe Cai , Haoyan Fu , Jiaming Zhang , Wenjin Wu , Peng Jiang

Modern e-commerce services frequently target customers with incentives or interventions to engage them in their products such as games, shopping, video streaming, etc. This customer engagement increases acquisition of more customers and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Qiqi Li , Roopali Singh , Charin Polpanumas , Tanner Fiez , Namita Kumar , Shreya Chakrabarti

In this tech report we discuss the evaluation problem of contextual uplift modeling from the causal inference point of view. More particularly, we instantiate the individual treatment effect (ITE) estimation, and its evaluation counterpart.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-03 Christophe Renaudin , Matthieu Martin

Estimating causal effects in e-commerce tends to involve costly treatment assignments which can be impractical in large-scale settings. Leveraging machine learning to predict such treatment effects without actual intervention is a standard…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-04 George Panagopoulos , Daniele Malitesta , Fragkiskos D. Malliaros , Jun Pang

Uplift modeling is a causal learning technique that estimates subgroup-level treatment effects. It is commonly used in industry and elsewhere for tasks such as targeting ads. In a typical setting, uplift models can take thousands of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-15 Zhenyu Zhao , Yumin Zhang , Totte Harinen , Mike Yung

Uplift modeling has achieved significant success in various fields, particularly in online marketing. It is a method that primarily utilizes machine learning and deep learning to estimate individual treatment effects. This paper we apply…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-25 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

In modern online platforms, incentives are essential factors that enhance user engagement and increase platform revenue. Over recent years, uplift modeling has been introduced as a strategic approach to assign incentives to individual…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Zexu Sun , Hao Yang , Dugang Liu , Yunpeng Weng , Xing Tang , Xiuqiang He
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