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We discuss several algorithms for sampling from unnormalized probability distributions in statistical physics, but using the language of statistics and machine learning. We provide a self-contained introduction to some key ideas and…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-05 Michael F. Faulkner , Samuel Livingstone

We study online prediction under distribution shift, where inputs arrive chronologically and outcomes are revealed only after prediction. In this setting, predictors must remain stable in quiet regimes yet adapt when regimes shift, and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Yutong Wang , Yannig Goude , Qiwei Yao

This paper studies a distributed policy gradient in collaborative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL), where agents over a communication network aim to find the optimal policy to maximize the average of all agents' local returns. Due…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Xiaoxiao Zhao , Jinlong Lei , Li Li , Jie Chen

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

Segmented models are widely used to describe non-stationary sequential data with discrete change points. Their estimation usually requires solving a mixed discrete-continuous optimization problem, where the segmentation is the discrete part…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-19 Erik Scharwächter , Jonathan Lennartz , Emmanuel Müller

Hidden Markov models with observations in a Euclidean space play an important role in signal and image processing. Previous work extending to models where observations lie in Riemannian manifolds based on the Baum-Welch algorithm suffered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Quinten Tupker , Salem Said , Cyrus Mostajeran

A major hurdle in machine learning is scalability to massive datasets. Approaches to overcome this hurdle include compression of the data matrix and distributing the computations. \textit{Leverage score sampling} provides a compressed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Neophytos Charalambides , Mert Pilanci , Alfred O. Hero

Networks are a popular tool for representing elements in a system and their interconnectedness. Many observed networks can be viewed as only samples of some true underlying network. Such is frequently the case, for example, in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-29 Yaonan Zhang , Eric D. Kolaczyk , Bruce D. Spencer

The recently proposed Unbiased Online Recurrent Optimization algorithm (UORO, arXiv:1702.05043) uses an unbiased approximation of RTRL to achieve fully online gradient-based learning in RNNs. In this work we analyze the variance of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-08 Tim Cooijmans , James Martens

We study the well-motivated problem of online distribution shift in which the data arrive in batches and the distribution of each batch can change arbitrarily over time. Since the shifts can be large or small, abrupt or gradual, the length…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-11 Dheeraj Baby , Boran Han , Shuai Zhang , Cuixiong Hu , Yuyang Wang , Yu-Xiang Wang

The goal of this paper is to develop provably efficient importance sampling Monte Carlo methods for the estimation of rare events within the class of linear stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs). We find that if a spectral gap…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-05 Michael Salins , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Stochastic gradient descent samples uniformly the training set to build an unbiased gradient estimate with a limited number of samples. However, at a given step of the training process, some data are more helpful than others to continue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Thibault Lahire

Principled Bayesian deep learning (BDL) does not live up to its potential when we only focus on marginal predictive distributions (marginal predictives). Recent works have highlighted the importance of joint predictives for (Bayesian)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Andreas Kirsch , Jannik Kossen , Yarin Gal

Estimating the probability of failure is a critical step in developing safety-critical autonomous systems. Direct estimation methods such as Monte Carlo sampling are often impractical due to the rarity of failures in these systems. Existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Harrison Delecki , Sydney M. Katz , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

The variational lower bound (a.k.a. ELBO or free energy) is the central objective for many established as well as for many novel algorithms for unsupervised learning. Such algorithms usually increase the bound until parameters have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-25 Jörg Lücke , Jan Warnken

Online prediction methods are typically presented as serial algorithms running on a single processor. However, in the age of web-scale prediction problems, it is increasingly common to encounter situations where a single processor cannot…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-01 Ofer Dekel , Ran Gilad-Bachrach , Ohad Shamir , Lin Xiao

Many kinds of data can be represented as a network or graph. It is crucial to infer the latent structure underlying such a network and to predict unobserved links in the network. Mixed Membership Stochastic Blockmodel (MMSB) is a promising…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-12-10 Tomoki Kobayashi , Koji Eguchi

In modern data analysis, random sampling is an efficient and widely-used strategy to overcome the computational difficulties brought by large sample size. In previous studies, researchers conducted random sampling which is according to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-05 Rong Zhu

We present a new adaptive algorithm for learning discrete distributions under distribution drift. In this setting, we observe a sequence of independent samples from a discrete distribution that is changing over time, and the goal is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-11 Alessio Mazzetto

We initiate the study of numerical linear algebra in the sliding window model, where only the most recent $W$ updates in a stream form the underlying data set. We first introduce a unified row-sampling based framework that gives randomized…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-04-12 Vladimir Braverman , Petros Drineas , Cameron Musco , Christopher Musco , Jalaj Upadhyay , David P. Woodruff , Samson Zhou
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