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In this paper, we investigate reflected backward stochastic differential equations driven by rough paths (rough RBSDEs), which can be viewed as probabilistic representations of nonlinear rough partial differential equations (rough PDEs) or…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Hanwu Li , Huilin Zhang , Kuan Zhang

Rough volatility models are known to reproduce the behavior of historical volatility data while at the same time fitting the volatility surface remarkably well, with very few parameters. However, managing the risks of derivatives under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-16 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) have emerged as powerful generative models for complex distributions, yet their use in arbitrage-free derivative pricing remains largely unexplored. Financial asset prices are naturally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-24 Nilay Tiwari

This study investigates enhancing option pricing by extending the Black-Scholes model to include stochastic volatility and interest rate variability within the Partial Differential Equation (PDE). The PDE is solved using the finite…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Nikhil Shivakumar Nayak

We propose three different data-driven approaches for pricing European-style call options using supervised machine-learning algorithms. These approaches yield models that give a range of fair prices instead of a single price point. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani , Atharva Tanksale

We study the pricing of European-style options written on forward contracts within function-valued infinite-dimensional affine stochastic volatility models. The dynamics of the underlying forward price curves are modeled within the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-14 Jian He , Sven Karbach , Asma Khedher

This paper introduced key aspects of applying Machine Learning (ML) models, improved trading strategies, and the Quasi-Reversibility Method (QRM) to optimize stock option forecasting and trading results. It presented the findings of the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-30 Zheng Cao , Raymond Guo , Wenyu Du , Jiayi Gao , Kirill V. Golubnichiy

In this paper, a multivariate constrained robust M-regression (MCRM) method is developed to estimate shaping coefficients for electricity forward prices. An important benefit of the new method is that model arbitrage can be ruled out at an…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-27 Peter Leoni , Pieter Segaert , Sven Serneels , Tim Verdonck

This paper presents a novel and direct approach to price boundary and final-value problems, corresponding to barrier options, using forward deep learning to solve forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs). Barrier…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-13 Narayan Ganesan , Yajie Yu , Bernhard Hientzsch

In American options, the early exercise feature allows the option to be exercised at any time prior to expiration. However, this flexibility introduces a challenge: the pricing model must value the option while simultaneously determining an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Rohan , Siddanth Shetty , Amit N. Kumar

We investigate the pricing of financial options under the 2-hypergeometric stochastic volatility model. This is an analytically tractable model that reproduces the volatility smile and skew effects observed in empirical market data. Using a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-04 Rúben Sousa , Ana Bela Cruzeiro , Manuel Guerra

Estimating volatility from recent high frequency data, we revisit the question of the smoothness of the volatility process. Our main result is that log-volatility behaves essentially as a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst exponent H of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-10-14 Jim Gatheral , Thibault Jaisson , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This paper presents a Monte-Carlo-based artificial neural network framework for pricing Bermudan options, offering several notable advantages. These advantages encompass the efficient static hedging of the target Bermudan option and the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-27 Vikranth Lokeshwar Dhandapani , Shashi Jain

We present an algorithm for the calibration of local volatility from market option prices through deep self-consistent learning, by approximating both market option prices and local volatility using deep neural networks. Our method uses the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-11 Zhe Wang , Ameir Shaa , Nicolas Privault , Claude Guet

A comparative analysis of deep learning models and traditional statistical methods for stock price prediction uses data from the Nigerian stock exchange. Historical data, including daily prices and trading volumes, are employed to implement…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Opeyemi Sheu Alamu , Md Kamrul Siam

High-fidelity direct numerical simulation of turbulent flows for most real-world applications remains an outstanding computational challenge. Several machine learning approaches have recently been proposed to alleviate the computational…

The present study investigates the numerical solution of Black-Scholes partial differential equation (PDE) for option valuation with multiple underlying assets. We develop a physics-informed (PI) machine learning algorithm based on a radial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Yan Ma , Yumeng Ren

The Constant Elasticity of Variance (CEV) model significantly outperforms the Black-Scholes (BS) model in forecasting both prices and options. Furthermore, the CEV model has a marked advantage in capturing basic empirical regularities such…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-29 Axel A. Araneda , Marcelo J. Villena

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

We introduce a fast and flexible Machine Learning (ML) framework for pricing derivative products whose valuation depends on volatility surfaces. By parameterizing volatility surfaces with the 5-parameter stochastic volatility inspired (SVI)…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-30 Lijie Ding , Egang Lu , Kin Cheung