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Numerical simulations are crucial for modeling complex systems, but calibrating them becomes challenging when data are noisy or incomplete and likelihood evaluations are computationally expensive. Bayesian calibration offers an interesting…

The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-18 Faicel Chamroukhi , Marius Bartcus , Hervé Glotin

Aiming at the prediction problem of transport capacity risk caused by the mismatch between the carrying capacity of rail transit network and passenger flow demand, this paper proposes an explainable prediction method of rail transit network…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-04 Zhang Zhengyang , Dong Wei , Liu jun , Sun Xinya , Ji Yindong

The PROmotion of Breastfeeding Intervention Trial (PROBIT) cluster-randomized a program encouraging breastfeeding to new mothers in hospital centers. The original studies indicated that this intervention successfully increased duration of…

Microsimulation models (MSMs) are used to predict population-level effects of health care policies by simulating individual-level outcomes. Simulated outcomes are governed by unknown parameters that are chosen so that the model accurately…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Carolyn Rutter , Jonathan Ozik , Maria DeYoreo , Nicholson Collier

We present a means of formulating and solving the well known structure-and-motion problem in computer vision with probabilistic graphical models. We model the unknown camera poses and 3D feature coordinates as well as the observed 2D…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Simon Streicher , Willie Brink , Johan du Preez

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

Crystallization processes at the mesoscopic scale, where faceted, dendritic growth, and multigrain formation can be observed, are of particular interest within materials science and metallurgy. These processes are highly nonlinear,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Pol Timmer , Koen Minartz , Vlado Menkovski

Obesity rates have been increasing over recent decades, causing significant concern among policy makers. Excess body fat, commonly measured by body mass index (BMI), is a major risk factor for several common disorders including diabetes and…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-12 Keming Yu , Rahim Alhamzawi , Frauke Becker , Joanne Lord

This paper presents a novel incremental learning algorithm for pedestrian motion prediction, with the ability to improve the learned model over time when data is incrementally available. In this setup, trajectories are modeled as simple…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-11-22 Golnaz Habibi , Nikita Japuria , Jonathan P. How

Accurate estimation of meal macronutrient composition is a pre-perquisite for precision nutrition, metabolic health monitoring, and glycemic management. Traditional dietary assessment methods, such as self-reported food logs or diet recalls…

A weighted likelihood approach for robust fitting of a mixture of multivariate Gaussian components is developed in this work. Two approaches have been proposed that are driven by a suitable modification of the standard EM and CEM…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-19 Luca Greco , Claudio Agostinelli

Recent developments in big data and analytics research have produced an abundance of large data sets that are too big to be analyzed in their entirety, due to limits on computer memory or storage capacity. To address these issues,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Alexey Miroshnikov , Erin M. Conlon

We propose a Bayesian approach for model-based clustering of multivariate categorical data where variables are allowed to be associated within clusters and the number of clusters is unknown. The approach uses a two-layer mixture of finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Bettina Grün , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

Current observational evidence suggests that all large galaxies contain globular clusters (GCs), while the smallest galaxies do not. Over what galaxy mass range does the transition from GCs to no GCs occur? We investigate this question…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2022-03-02 Gwendolyn M. Eadie , William E. Harris , Aaron Springford

The ability to predict future states is crucial to informed decision-making while interacting with dynamic environments. With cameras providing a prevalent and information-rich sensing modality, the problem of predicting future states from…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Nikhil U. Shinde , Xiao Liang , Florian Richter , Michael C. Yip

Bayesian methods for learning Gaussian graphical models offer a principled framework for quantifying model uncertainty and incorporating prior knowledge. However, their scalability is constrained by the computational cost of jointly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Reza Mohammadi , Marit Schoonhoven , Lucas Vogels , S. Ilker Birbil

Continuous-time birth-death-shift (BDS) processes are frequently used in stochastic modeling, with many applications in ecology and epidemiology. In particular, such processes can model evolutionary dynamics of transposable elements -…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-02 Jason Xu , Peter Guttorp , Midori Kato-Maeda , Vladimir N. Minin

Clustering is commonly performed as an initial analysis step for uncovering structure in 'omics datasets, e.g. to discover molecular subtypes of disease. The high-throughput, high-dimensional nature of these datasets means that they provide…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-02 Paul D. W. Kirk , Filippo Pagani , Sylvia Richardson

This paper describes a computational model, called the Dirichlet process Gaussian mixture model with latent joints (DPGMM-LJ), that can find latent tree structure embedded in data distribution in an unsupervised manner. By combining…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Tomohiro Mimura , Yoshinobu Hagiwara , Tadahiro Taniguchi , Tetsunari Inamura