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Surrogate modelling techniques have opened up new possibilities to overcome the limitations of computationally intensive numerical models in various areas of engineering and science. However, while fundamental in many engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-20 José Calos García-Marino , Carmen Calvo-Jurado , Enrique García-Macías

Uncertainties from model parameters and model discrepancy from small-scale models impact the accuracy and reliability of predictions of large-scale systems. Inadequate representation of these uncertainties may result in inaccurate and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-18 K. Sham Bhat , David S. Mebane , Curtis B. Storlie , Priyadarshi Mahapatra

The weighted essentially non-oscillatory (WENO) methods are popular and effective spatial discretization methods for nonlinear hyperbolic partial differential equations. Although these methods are formally first-order accurate when a shock…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-29 David Frenzel , Jens Lang

Deep Learning (DL) methods have been transforming computer vision with innovative adaptations to other domains including climate change. For DL to pervade Science and Engineering (S&E) applications where risk management is a core component,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-25 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Jennifer Dy , Sangram Ganguly , Ramakrishna Nemani , Auroop R. Ganguly

In this paper, a physics-oriented stochastic kinetic scheme will be developed that includes random inputs from both flow and electromagnetic fields via a hybridization of stochastic Galerkin and collocation methods. Based on the BGK-type…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-03-17 Tianbai Xiao , Martin Frank

In this work we propose an Uncertainty Quantification methodology for sedimentary basins evolution under mechanical and geochemical compaction processes, which we model as a coupled, time-dependent, non-linear, monodimensional (depth-only)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-11-22 Ivo Colombo , Fabio Nobile , Giovanni Porta , Anna Scotti , Lorenzo Tamellini

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have emerged as a powerful framework for solving PDEs, yet existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) approaches for PINNs generally lack rigorous statistical guarantees. In this work, we bridge this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Yifan Yu , Cheuk Hin Ho , Yangshuai Wang

This work suggests several methods of uncertainty treatment in multiscale modelling and describes their application to a system of coupled turbulent transport simulations of a tokamak plasma. We propose a method to quantify the usually…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2023-07-10 Yehor Yudin , David Coster , Udo von Toussaint , Frank Jenko

With the increased prevalence of neural operators being used to provide rapid solutions to partial differential equations (PDEs), understanding the accuracy of model predictions and the associated error levels is necessary for deploying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Nick Winovich , Mitchell Daneker , Lu Lu , Guang Lin

In quantum embedding theories, a quantum many-body system is divided into localized clusters of sites which are treated with an accurate `high-level' theory and glued together self-consistently by a less accurate `low-level' theory at the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-08 Yuehaw Khoo , Michael Lindsey

Eigenvalue analysis is a well-established tool for stability analysis of dynamical systems. However, there are situations where eigenvalues miss some important features of physical models. For example, in models of incompressible fluid…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-23 Howard C. Elman , David J. Silvester

Boundary problem for linear partial differential algebraic equations system with multiple characteristic curves is considered. It is supposed that matrix-functions pencil of the system under consideration is smoothly equivalent to special…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Svetlana Gaidomak

We consider the effect of multiple stochastic parameters on the time-average quantities of chaotic systems. We employ the recently proposed \cite{Kantarakias_Papadakis_2023} sensitivity-enhanced generalized polynomial chaos expansion,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2023-11-02 George Papadakis , Kyriakos D. Kantarakias

In the last few decades, uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods have been used widely to ensure the robustness of engineering designs. This chapter aims to detail recent advances in popular uncertainty quantification methods used in…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-08 Dinesh Kumar , Farid Ahmed , Shoaib Usman , Ayodeji Alajo , Syed Alam

In this article, we show how the theory of rough paths can be used to provide a notion of solution to a class of nonlinear stochastic PDEs of Burgers type that exhibit too high spatial roughness for classical analytical methods to apply. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-11 Martin Hairer

For decades, uncertainty quantification techniques based on the spectral approach have been demonstrated to be computationally more efficient than the Monte Carlo method for a wide variety of problems, particularly when the dimensionality…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Hugo Esquivel , Arun Prakash , Guang Lin

In this work we introduce a manifold learning-based method for uncertainty quantification (UQ) in systems describing complex spatiotemporal processes. Our first objective is to identify the embedding of a set of high-dimensional data…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-05-18 Katiana Kontolati , Dimitrios Loukrezis , Ketson R. M. dos Santos , Dimitrios G. Giovanis , Michael D. Shields

Modeling real-world problems with partial differential equations (PDEs) is a prominent topic in scientific machine learning. Classic solvers for this task continue to play a central role, e.g. to generate training data for deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Tim Weiland , Marvin Pförtner , Philipp Hennig

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-11 Nikolas Kantas , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Jan Maciejowski , Nicolas Chopin

A series of recent articles introduced a method to construct stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) which are invariant with respect to the distribution of a given conditioned diffusion. These works are restricted to the case of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-04-08 Martin Hairer , Andrew M. Stuart , Jochen Voss