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Uncertainty quantification (UQ) plays a major role in verification and validation of computational engineering models and simulations, and establishes trust in the predictive capability of computational models. In the materials science and…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-06-14 Anh Tran , Tim Wildey , Hojun Lim

We study a numerical method to compute probability density functions of solutions of stochastic differential equations. The method is sometimes called the numerical path integration method and has been shown to be fast and accurate in…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-11-29 Linghua Chen , Espen Robstad Jakobsen , Arvid Naess

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

In this work, we propose a novel two-level discretization for solving semilinear elliptic equations with random coefficients. Motivated by the two-grid method for deterministic partial differential equations (PDEs) introduced by Xu…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-11-30 Luoping Chen , Bin Zheng , Guang Lin , Nikolaos Voulgarakis

We present an enriched formulation of the Least Squares (LSQ) regression method for Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) using generalised polynomial chaos (gPC). More specifically, we enrich the linear system with additional equations for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-09 Kyriakos D. Kantarakias , George Papadakis

Uncertainty quantification appears today as a crucial point in numerous branches of science and engineering. In the past two decades, a growing interest has been devoted to stochastic finite element method (SFEM) for the propagation of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-11 Zhibao Zheng

The study of uncertainty propagation is of fundamental importance in plasma physics simulations. To this end, in the present work we propose a novel stochastic Galerkin (sG) particle {method} for collisional kinetic models of plasmas under…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Andrea Medaglia , Lorenzo Pareschi , Mattia Zanella

This paper aims to investigate the numerical approximation of a general second order parabolic stochastic partial differential equation(SPDE) driven by multiplicative and additive noise. Our main interest is on such SPDEs where the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Jean Daniel Mukam , Antoine Tambue

Presence of a high-dimensional stochastic parameter space with discontinuities poses major computational challenges in analyzing and quantifying the effects of the uncertainties in a physical system. In this paper, we propose a stochastic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Anindya Bhaduri , Yanyan He , Michael D. Shields , Lori Graham-Brady , Robert M. Kirby

Uncertainty Quantification for nonlinear hyperbolic problems becomes a challenging task in the vicinity of shocks. Standard intrusive methods lead to oscillatory solutions and can result in non-hyperbolic moment systems. The intrusive…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Jonas Kusch , Ryan G. McClarren , Martin Frank

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is vital for trustworthy deep learning, yet existing methods are either computationally intensive, such as Bayesian or ensemble methods, or provide only partial, task-specific estimates, such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Zhizhong Zhao , Ke Chen

We analyze the recent Multi-index Stochastic Collocation (MISC) method for computing statistics of the solution of a partial differential equation (PDEs) with random data, where the random coefficient is parametrized by means of a countable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Fabio Nobile , Lorenzo Tamellini , Raul Tempone

Inspired by the stochastic particle method, this paper establishes an easily implementable explicit numerical method for McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations (MV-SDEs) with superlinear growth coefficients. The paper establishes…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Yuanping Cui , Xiaoyue Li , Yi Liu , Fengyu Wang

In this paper we investigate the numerical solution of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) for a wider class of stochastic equations. We focus on non-diagonal colored noise instead of the usual space-time white noise. By…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-11-12 Dirk Blömker , Minoo Kamrani

In this paper, we consider Burgers' equation with uncertain boundary and initial conditions. The polynomial chaos (PC) approach yields a hyperbolic system of deterministic equations, which can be solved by several numerical methods. Here,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-02-04 Philipp Öffner , Jan Glaubitz , Hendrik Ranocha

We consider a one-dimensional nonlocal hyperbolic model introduced to describe the formation and movement of self-organizing collectives of animals in homogeneous 1D environments. Previous research has shown that this model exhibits a large…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-13 Thanh Trung Le , Raluca Eftimie

As machine learning (ML) models are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains, trustworthy uncertainty quantification (UQ) is critical for ensuring the safety and reliability of these models. Traditional UQ methods rely on specifying a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-14 Abhineet Agarwal , Michael Xiao , Rebecca Barter , Omer Ronen , Boyu Fan , Bin Yu

In this article, we propose the use of partitioning and clustering methods as an alternative to Gaussian quadrature for stochastic collocation. The key idea is to use cluster centers as the nodes for collocation. In this way, we can extend…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-04-16 A. W. Eggels , D. T. Crommelin , J. A. S. Witteveen

Parameter estimation for non-stationary stochastic differential equations (SDE) with an arbitrary nonlinear drift, and nonlinear diffusion is accomplished in combination with a non-parametric clustering methodology. Such a model-based…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Vyacheslav Boyko , Sebastian Krumscheid , Nikki Vercauteren

The development of surrogate models to study uncertainties in hydrologic systems requires significant effort in the development of sampling strategies and forward model simulations. Furthermore, in applications where prediction time is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Chen Chen , Clint Dawson , Eirik Valseth