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We study the dynamics of a generalized Minority Game (GMG) and of the Bar Attendance Model (BAM) in which a number of agents self-organize to match an attendance that is fixed externally as a control parameter. We compare the usual dynamics…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 E. Burgos , H. Ceva , R. P. J. Perazzo

In this paper, we introduce BNN-DP, an efficient algorithmic framework for analysis of adversarial robustness of Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs). Given a compact set of input points $T\subset \mathbb{R}^n$, BNN-DP computes lower and upper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Steven Adams , Andrea Patane , Morteza Lahijanian , Luca Laurenti

Due to its causal semantics, Bayesian networks (BN) have been widely employed to discover the underlying data relationship in exploratory studies, such as brain research. Despite its success in modeling the probability distribution of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-06-24 Luping Zhou , Lei Wang , Lingqiao Liu , Philip Ogunbona , Dinggang Shen

A new class of critical points, termed as perpetual points, where acceleration becomes zero but the velocity remains non-zero, are observed in dynamical systems. The velocity at these points is either maximum or minimum or of inflection…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-06-22 Awadhesh Prasad

In evolutionary game theory, it is customary to be partial to the dynamical models possessing fixed points so that they may be understood as the attainment of evolutionary stability, and hence, Nash equilibrium. Any show of periodic or…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Archan Mukhopadhyay , Sagar Chakraborty

We study probabilistic safety for Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) under adversarial input perturbations. Given a compact set of input points, $T \subseteq \mathbb{R}^m$, we study the probability w.r.t. the BNN posterior that all the points…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-22 Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane , Marta Kwiatkowska

Several notions of game enjoy a Nash-like notion of equilibrium without guarantee of existence. There are different ways of weakening a definition of Nash-like equilibrium in order to guarantee the existence of a weakened equilibrium.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2007-12-11 Stéphane Le Roux

Mathematical solvers use parametrized Optimization Problems (OPs) as inputs to yield optimal decisions. In many real-world settings, some of these parameters are unknown or uncertain. Recent research focuses on predicting the value of these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-10 Alan A. Lahoud , Erik Schaffernicht , Johannes A. Stork

As a compact representation of joint probability distributions over a dependence graph of random variables, and a tool for modelling and reasoning in the presence of uncertainty, Bayesian networks are of great importance for artificial…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-10-06 Michael de Oliveira , Luis Soares Barbosa

Many biological networks include cyclic structures. In such cases, Bayesian networks (BNs), which must be acyclic, are not sound models for structure learning. Dynamic BNs can be used but require relatively large time series data. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-18 Witold Wiecek , Frederic Y. Bois , Ghislaine Gayraud

Language emergence and evolution has recently gained growing attention through multi-agent models and mathematical frameworks to study their behavior. Here we investigate further the Naming Game, a model able to account for the emergence of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-07-21 Andrea Baronchelli , Vittorio Loreto , Luc Steels

Given a large population of players, each player has three possible choices between option 1 or 2 or no option. The two options are equally favorable and the population has to reach consensus on one of the two options quickly and in a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Leonardo Stella , Dario Bauso

In this paper we study mean field games with possibly multiple mean field equilibria. Instead of focusing on the individual equilibria, we propose to study the set of values over all possible equilibria, which we call the set value of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-19 Melih Iseri , Jianfeng Zhang

Sports organizations often want to estimate athlete strengths. For games with scored outcomes, a common approach is to assume observed game scores follow a normal distribution conditional on athletes' latent abilities, which may change over…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-18 Jonathan Che , Mark Glickman

The purpose of this paper is to provide a discussion, with illustrating examples, on Bayesian forecasting for dynamic generalized linear models (DGLMs). Adopting approximate Bayesian analysis, based on conjugate forms and on Bayes linear…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

Toward explaining the persistence of biased inferences, we propose a framework to evaluate competing (mis)specifications in strategic settings. Agents with heterogeneous (mis)specifications coexist and draw Bayesian inferences about their…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-14 Kevin He , Jonathan Libgober

We study the problem of non-Bayesian social learning with uncertain models, in which a network of agents seek to cooperatively identify the state of the world based on a sequence of observed signals. In contrast with the existing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-09-11 César A. Uribe , James Z. Hare , Lance Kaplan , Ali Jadbabaie

Data generated from dynamical systems with unknown dynamics enable the learning of state observers that are: robust to modeling error, computationally tractable to design, and capable of operating with guaranteed performance. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-28 Ankush Chakrabarty , Mouhacine Benosman

The process of transforming observed data into predictive mathematical models of the physical world has always been paramount in science and engineering. Although data is currently being collected at an ever-increasing pace, devising…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-08 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

Active learning methods for neural networks are usually based on greedy criteria which ultimately give a single new design point for the evaluation. Such an approach requires either some heuristics to sample a batch of design points at one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Evgenii Tsymbalov , Sergei Makarychev , Alexander Shapeev , Maxim Panov