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We derive a connection between performance of estimators the performance of the ideal observer on related detection tasks. Specifically we show how Shannon Information for the task of detecting a change in a parameter is related to the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Eric Clarkson

This study considers multi-objective Bayesian optimization (MOBO) through the information gain of the Pareto-frontier. To calculate the information gain, a predictive distribution conditioned on the Pareto-frontier plays a key role, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-04 Masanori Ishikura , Masayuki Karasuyama

A common way of characterizing minimax estimators in point estimation is by moving the problem into the Bayesian estimation domain and finding a least favorable prior distribution. The Bayesian estimator induced by a least favorable prior,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-24 Alex Dytso , Mario Goldenbaum , H. Vincent Poor , Shlomo Shamai

In statistical inference problems, we wish to obtain lower bounds on the minimax risk, that is to bound the performance of any possible estimator. A standard technique to obtain risk lower bounds involves the use of Fano's inequality. In an…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-04-06 Ramji Venkataramanan , Oliver Johnson

We address the problem of non-parametric density estimation under the additional constraint that only privatised data are allowed to be published and available for inference. For this purpose, we adopt a recent generalisation of classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Cristina Butucea , Amandine Dubois , Martin Kroll , Adrien Saumard

Loss tomography has received considerable attention in recent years and a number of estimators based on maximum likelihood (ML) or Bayesian principles have been proposed. Almost all of the estimators are devoted to the tree topology despite…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Weiping Zhu , Ke Deng

This paper proposes an alternative approach for constructing invariant Jeffreys prior distributions tailored for hierarchical or multilevel models. In particular, our proposal is based on a flexible decomposition of the Fisher information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-29 Thaís C. O. Fonseca , Helio S. Migon , Heudson Mirandola

We present a unifying picture of PAC-Bayesian and mutual information-based upper bounds on the generalization error of randomized learning algorithms. As we show, Tong Zhang's information exponential inequality (IEI) gives a general recipe…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Pradeep Kr. Banerjee , Guido Montúfar

The principle of minimum Fisher information states that in the set of acceptable probability distributions characterizing the given system, it is best done by the one that minimizes the corresponding Fisher information. This principle can…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-03-24 Marcin Makowski , Edward W. Piotrowski , Piotr Frąckiewicz , Marek Szopa

In location estimation, we are given $n$ samples from a known distribution $f$ shifted by an unknown translation $\lambda$, and want to estimate $\lambda$ as precisely as possible. Asymptotically, the maximum likelihood estimate achieves…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price

Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-12 Anulekha Dhara , Bikramjit Das , Karthik Natarajan

We derive information-theoretic lower bounds on the Bayes risk and generalization error of realizable machine learning models. In particular, we employ an analysis in which the rate-distortion function of the model parameters bounds the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-09 Matthew Nokleby , Ahmad Beirami

Bounds on the log partition function are important in a variety of contexts, including approximate inference, model fitting, decision theory, and large deviations analysis. We introduce a new class of upper bounds on the log partition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Martin Wainwright , Tommi S. Jaakkola , Alan Willsky

Neural networks are increasingly used to estimate parameters in quantitative MRI, in particular in magnetic resonance fingerprinting. Their advantages over the gold standard non-linear least square fitting are their superior speed and their…

Linear Least Squares is a very well known technique for parameter estimation, which is used even when sub-optimal, because of its very low computational requirements and the fact that exact knowledge of the noise statistics is not required.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Michael Krikheli , Amir Leshem

We consider the problem of distributed mean estimation (DME), in which $n$ machines are each given a local $d$-dimensional vector $x_v \in \mathbb{R}^d$, and must cooperate to estimate the mean of their inputs $\mu = \frac 1n\sum_{v = 1}^n…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Peter Davies , Vijaykrishna Gurunathan , Niusha Moshrefi , Saleh Ashkboos , Dan Alistarh

We consider the problem of parameter estimation in a Bayesian setting and propose a general lower-bound that includes part of the family of $f$-Divergences. The results are then applied to specific settings of interest and compared to other…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Adrien Vandenbroucque , Amedeo Roberto Esposito , Michael Gastpar

The Cramer-Rao product of the Fisher information and the variance of a probability density \rho(x), defined on a domain \Delta \in R^D, is found to have a minimum value reached by the density associated with the ground state of the harmonic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-01-20 J. S. Dehesa , A. R. Plastino , P. Sanchez-Moreno , C. Vignat

The simplest and most widely applied method for guaranteeing differential privacy is to add instance-independent noise to a statistic of interest that is scaled to its global sensitivity. However, global sensitivity is a worst-case notion…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Mark Bun , Thomas Steinke

We investigate the connection between the time-evolution of averages of stochastic quantities and the Fisher information and its induced statistical length. As a consequence of the Cramer-Rao bound, we find that the rate of change of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-07-01 Sosuke Ito , Andreas Dechant